2022-01-20 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0401

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-3.52%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

70.7%

in alpha space · 97.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-10.36%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.672426	+0.05%	0.5186	-22.84%	0.1418	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-01-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.1165	-0.02%	17.88	-15.34%	0.0380	✗	1.87	4.1M	2022-01-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0647	-0.05%	0.8678	-18.54%	0.0082	✗	1.94	1.2M	2022-01-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3706	-0.13%	6.31	-14.50%	0.0852	✓	0.64	652k	2022-01-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.1513	-0.13%	114.44	-13.51%	0.0405	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.342	-0.16%	9.94	-12.50%	0.0043	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-01-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.113919	-0.16%	0.0939	-17.70%	0.0519	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	161.8977	-0.17%	139.37	-14.06%	0.0199	✓	1.19	95k	2022-01-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.096237	-0.17%	0.08324	-13.65%	0.0185	✓	1.16	34k	2022-01-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.045293	-0.17%	0.03977	-12.34%	0.0097	✓	1.10	24k	2022-01-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018347	-0.17%	0.016171	-12.01%	0.0077	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	119.7217	-0.18%	95	-20.79%	0.1043	✓	1.16	489k	2022-01-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	18.3066	-0.18%	15.55	-15.21%	0.0527	✓	1.01	807k	2022-01-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	129.5573	-0.19%	114.51	-11.78%	0.0250	✗	1.36	30.5M	2022-01-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	7.0437	-0.19%	6.1225	-13.24%	0.0184	✗	1.45	251k	2022-01-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012246	-0.19%	0.01111	-9.45%	0.0472	✗	1.32	2.1M	2022-01-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.0261	-0.19%	1.84	-9.36%	0.0211	✗	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	357.0481	-0.19%	315.04	-11.94%	0.0130	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-01-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.045112	-0.19%	0.0363	-19.69%	0.0669	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.9537	-0.20%	6.72	-15.68%	0.1679	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-01-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	127.2518	-0.21%	112.32	-11.92%	0.0023	✗	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.012144	-0.21%	0.01044	-14.22%	0.0400	✓	1.02	641k	2022-01-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.9054	-0.21%	5.957	-13.92%	0.0703	✓	0.71	163k	2022-01-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000090339	-0.21%	0.00007968	-11.98%	0.0137	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3916	-0.21%	1.1848	-15.04%	0.0616	✓	0.91	402k	2022-01-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.035254	-0.21%	0.0303	-14.24%	0.0498	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-01-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.1076	-0.21%	0.97	-12.61%	0.0509	✗	1.68	556k	2022-01-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.07344	-0.22%	0.0619	-15.90%	0.0160	✓	1.42	826k	2022-01-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.936892	-0.22%	0.764	-18.64%	0.0955	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-01-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.9419	-0.23%	6.49	-18.47%	0.1208	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.904473	-0.23%	0.81011	-10.64%	0.0872	✗	1.80	866k	2022-01-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012311	-0.24%	0.01002	-18.80%	0.0685	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-01-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	104.0741	-0.24%	95.68	-8.28%	0.0214	✗	0.96	1.8M	2022-01-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.8736	-0.24%	5.68	-17.56%	0.0937	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-01-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.327214	-0.24%	0.271	-17.38%	0.1013	✓	0.80	51k	2022-01-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068684	-0.24%	0.05388	-21.74%	0.0926	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-01-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.42696	-0.24%	0.352	-17.76%	0.0468	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	47.484	-0.24%	38.94	-18.19%	0.0332	✓	1.51	620k	2022-01-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.3443	-0.24%	2	-14.89%	0.0131	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.49888	-0.24%	0.4366	-12.70%	0.0102	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2558	-0.25%	1.1211	-10.95%	0.0115	✗	1.14	100.6M	2022-01-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.052769	-0.25%	0.0417	-21.17%	0.1260	✓	1.00	23.9M	2022-01-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1402	-0.25%	0.984	-13.91%	0.0048	✗	1.39	2.3M	2022-01-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	26.1251	-0.25%	21.98	-16.07%	0.0510	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-01-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2688	-0.25%	1.209	-4.95%	0.1035	✗	1.39	4.0M	2022-01-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.793	-0.25%	2.46	-12.14%	0.0176	✓	1.00	855k	2022-01-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.2964	-0.25%	25.95	-11.64%	0.0023	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.9156	-0.25%	58.39	-15.49%	0.0441	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-01-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.282485	-0.25%	0.2523	-10.91%	0.0280	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-01-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.5326	-0.25%	2.197	-13.47%	0.0320	✓	1.01	24k	2022-01-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	118.5346	-0.26%	102.35	-13.88%	0.0018	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.233997	-0.26%	0.198	-15.60%	0.0183	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-01-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	24.3272	-0.26%	21.23	-12.96%	0.0349	✗	1.56	1.0M	2022-01-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.067518	-0.26%	0.061109	-9.73%	0.0045	✗	0.95	486k	2022-01-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	197.8443	-0.26%	171.09	-13.75%	0.0122	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-01-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.081354	-0.27%	0.07197	-11.77%	0.0415	✓	0.74	56k	2022-01-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.281744	-0.27%	0.2396	-15.19%	0.0481	✓	1.04	397k	2022-01-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.3616	-0.27%	23.31	-8.34%	0.0054	✓	0.72	342k	2022-01-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.147998	-0.27%	0.1206	-18.73%	0.0663	✓	1.27	4.2M	2022-01-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.177713	-0.27%	0.1639	-8.02%	0.0057	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.230865	-0.27%	0.202862	-12.37%	0.0143	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-01-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.559033	-0.28%	0.4811	-14.18%	0.0020	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-01-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.653705	-0.28%	0.55846	-14.81%	0.0302	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-01-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.7821	-0.28%	2.29	-17.92%	0.0528	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-01-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.9585	-0.29%	3.31	-16.62%	0.0188	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-01-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.680026	-0.29%	0.561	-17.74%	0.0270	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-01-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.9333	-0.29%	19.67	-14.48%	0.0036	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-01-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.07209	-0.29%	0.0634	-12.31%	0.0072	✓	1.11	21k	2022-01-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.9722	-0.29%	3.555	-10.76%	0.0183	✗	1.18	3.9M	2022-01-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.109175	-0.30%	0.097	-11.42%	0.0016	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015464	-0.30%	0.01394	-10.12%	0.0141	✓	0.82	21k	2022-01-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.7039	-0.30%	3.3417	-10.05%	0.0494	✗	1.39	3.1M	2022-01-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.1952	-0.31%	4.7186	-9.45%	0.0381	✗	1.23	443k	2022-01-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8649	-0.31%	1.6672	-10.88%	0.0130	✗	1.14	89k	2022-01-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,991.57	-0.31%	2,569.01	-14.39%	0.0345	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	120.7656	-0.32%	105.73	-12.73%	0.0012	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	188.1298	-0.32%	172.82	-8.43%	0.0246	✗	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.88716	-0.32%	0.73	-17.98%	0.0144	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.6651	-0.32%	3.96	-15.38%	0.0407	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	9.4017	-0.32%	7.826	-17.03%	0.1705	✓	0.12	38k	2022-01-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.154998	-0.33%	0.142057	-8.65%	0.0341	✗	1.11	6.5M	2022-01-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.4424	-0.33%	12.63	-12.84%	0.0106	✗	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	238.8192	-0.33%	213.87	-10.74%	0.0211	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-01-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.865307	-0.33%	0.6747	-22.29%	0.0948	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-01-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1194	-0.34%	5.64	-8.14%	0.0087	✓	0.67	505k	2022-01-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0663	-0.34%	0.906	-15.32%	0.0063	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-01-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	30.147	-0.34%	24.86	-17.82%	0.0089	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-01-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.6961	-0.34%	3.5345	-4.70%	0.0503	✓	-0.05	371k	2022-01-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	20.1106	-0.34%	17.44	-13.58%	0.0088	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-01-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1574	-0.34%	1.0303	-11.29%	0.0166	✗	1.22	30.5M	2022-01-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	79.0748	-0.35%	66.07	-16.74%	0.0463	✓	1.22	87.3M	2022-01-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.891	-0.36%	24.19	-3.16%	0.1290	✗	1.44	34.3M	2022-01-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	3.049	-0.36%	2.45	-19.93%	0.0764	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-01-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,524.73	-0.36%	36,456.94	-10.36%	0.0036	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.5372	-0.36%	13.42	-8.02%	0.0055	✓	0.68	813k	2022-01-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.165993	-0.36%	0.1474	-11.52%	0.0188	✓	0.91	362k	2022-01-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.8469	-0.36%	3.392	-12.15%	0.0382	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,265.55	-0.37%	36,607.80	-11.61%	0.0122	✓	0.98	16k	2022-01-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.7135	-0.37%	4.12	-12.91%	0.0605	✓	0.68	445k	2022-01-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.099828	-0.37%	0.0834	-16.77%	0.0571	✓	1.12	244k	2022-01-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.641787	-0.37%	0.5619	-12.78%	0.0094	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8097	-0.38%	2.3265	-17.51%	0.0624	✓	1.16	665k	2022-01-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6726	-0.38%	1.445	-13.94%	0.0180	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-01-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	3.083	-0.39%	2.795	-9.69%	0.0907	✗	1.73	1.1M	2022-01-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.628	-0.40%	2.2219	-15.79%	0.0534	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-01-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	9.482	-0.40%	7.97	-16.28%	0.1540	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-01-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.1024	-0.41%	1.738	-17.67%	0.0648	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-01-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.3696	-0.41%	6.56	-11.35%	0.0324	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	1.0131	-0.41%	0.857	-15.76%	0.0568	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-01-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.025931	-0.41%	0.022082	-15.20%	0.0467	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.1266	-0.41%	0.91734	-18.91%	0.0880	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-01-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.7173	-0.42%	6.6	-14.84%	0.0494	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-01-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.050423	-0.42%	0.041641	-17.77%	0.0596	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.012018	-0.43%	0.0092	-23.78%	0.0065	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-01-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.3432	-0.44%	16.808	-13.49%	0.0372	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-01-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.335	-0.45%	2.9	-13.43%	0.0204	✓	1.09	752k	2022-01-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000026361	-0.45%	0.00002226	-15.94%	0.0213	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.7834	-0.46%	4.96	-14.63%	0.0113	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-01-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	44.9572	-0.47%	38.52	-14.72%	0.0320	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-01-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.9988	-0.47%	6.243	-11.22%	0.0199	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.7571	-0.48%	4.17	-12.76%	0.0003	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.3438	-0.48%	2.71	-19.35%	0.0497	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-01-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.1437	-0.51%	3.11	-1.58%	0.1167	✗	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	77.0087	-0.52%	64.94	-16.11%	0.0353	✗	1.88	7.7M	2022-01-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	10.0376	-0.52%	9.4	-6.84%	0.0161	✗	0.75	800k	2022-01-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.18815	-0.52%	0.16704	-11.68%	0.0538	✗	1.58	6,611	2022-01-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.367322	-0.54%	0.2921	-20.90%	0.0641	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-01-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.067461	-0.57%	0.05552	-18.17%	0.0567	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-01-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.070524	-0.59%	0.061424	-13.41%	0.0288	✓	1.00	682k	2022-01-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.752366	-0.61%	0.6365	-15.92%	0.0293	✗	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	31,220.47	-0.62%	25,741.64	-18.06%	0.1175	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-01-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.4322	-0.65%	8.351	+11.63%	0.2574	✗	1.29	301k	2022-01-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.0763	-0.70%	0.8913	-17.77%	0.0778	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.573538	-0.70%	0.5351	-7.36%	0.0814	✗	1.38	1.7M	2022-01-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.1591	-0.74%	4.65	+10.98%	0.2196	✗	0.99	471k	2022-01-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.5562	-0.75%	3.168	-11.58%	0.0376	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.6949	-0.77%	8.647	-11.49%	0.0050	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.7724	-1.02%	3.2277	-15.31%	0.0729	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-01-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5652	-1.03%	1.4321	-9.45%	0.0028	✓	0.84	1.3M	2022-01-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	38.5124	-1.17%	34.64	-11.11%	0.0013	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-01-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.