8=======>

2022-01-19 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1768
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.3%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.75773-10.50%0.4198-50.41%0.5169✓1.7846.2M2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0733.3987-9.90%26.85-27.57%0.1781✓0.9798.5M2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.067934-9.55%0.026937-64.14%0.8836✓1.00719k2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.6878-7.67%2.9795-25.40%0.1822✓0.752,2572022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.4204-7.58%2.1176+37.77%0.4342✗0.841.2M2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0316-7.32%6.01+38.16%0.4398✗0.98471k2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN10.2749.5234-7.31%6.903-32.81%0.3177✓0.1040k2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04570.97253-7.00%1.6049+53.48%0.5451✗1.07108k2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.532258-6.64%0.5612-1.56%0.1107✗1.391.5M2022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.219.5435-6.53%6.93-32.13%0.3132✓0.162.8M2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.1149-6.46%1.58-52.55%0.6254✓1.298.5M2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.193.9268-6.28%2.81-32.94%0.2761✓1.4132.4M2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.055.6709-6.27%3.91-35.37%0.3182✓1.3017.7M2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.186811-6.19%0.17101-14.12%0.0235✓1.576,5192022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2930,161.26-6.16%21,934.46-31.76%0.2902✓0.6821.5M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 281.2776.2754-6.15%50.61-37.73%0.3331✓1.867.7M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.054055-5.99%0.0602+4.70%0.1491✗1.0024.3M2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.0913-5.81%2.581-21.36%0.1090✓1.721.2M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.01107-5.55%0.00516-55.97%0.6623✓2.4423.2M2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.229.6556-5.52%10.17-0.49%0.0829✗0.75808k2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.13861.0792-5.22%0.9999-12.18%0.0181✓1.413.7M2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.1036-5.20%1.674-24.56%0.1816✓1.131.9M2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6478.4266-5.10%83.75+1.34%0.1151✗1.1992.3M2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.068094-4.92%0.02552-64.37%0.9312✓1.2112.4M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.2043-4.87%0.895-29.30%0.2478✓1.1830.5M2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.3916-4.73%2.05-42.42%0.4432✓1.452.2M2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.651646-4.70%0.5229-23.53%0.1671✓1.283.3M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4330.9175-4.66%25.01-22.88%0.1430✓1.672.7M2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.348998-4.65%0.247-32.51%0.2835✓1.504.1M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.2392-4.45%2.43-28.32%0.2424✓1.09808k2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.12.9631-4.42%1.61-48.06%0.5583✓1.252.7M2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.0629-4.35%5.29-37.25%0.3913✓0.73995k2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.887354-4.29%0.5682-38.71%0.3877✓1.401.5M2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.267.9108-4.23%5.92-28.33%0.2502✓0.964.1M2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.6744.7396-4.14%43.09-7.67%0.0083✓1.1124.3M2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.05091.9666-4.11%1.6654-18.80%0.1201✓1.1189k2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.4785-4.10%3.02-16.74%0.1120✓0.71523k2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.0078-3.94%0.8015-23.61%0.1881✓0.9923.2M2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum7.16.8293-3.81%6.6403-6.47%0.0075✓0.864.3M2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.894818-3.78%0.89-4.30%0.0740✗1.921.4M2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8166.2849-3.77%121.52-29.68%0.2651✓1.1795k2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.451539-3.72%0.322-31.34%0.2838✓1.311.8M2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5325.5671-3.63%19.61-26.08%0.2063✓1.4234.3M2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.236811-3.57%0.200634-18.30%0.1228✓1.0423.9M2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.7473-3.54%3.6234-6.73%0.0235✓1.383.2M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.2561-3.53%4.35-20.16%0.1384✓1.23446k2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7271-3.53%4.37-10.82%0.0290✓1.203.2M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.082466-3.32%0.07167-15.98%0.1099✓0.7355k2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.165585-3.28%0.1446-15.54%0.0977✓0.91380k2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.288717-3.21%0.2677-10.26%0.0327✓1.03397k2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.0413-3.21%3.1093-1.04%0.0709✗1.182.1M2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000026388-3.20%0.00002815+3.26%0.1207✗1.351.7M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.7866-3.17%6.389-8.85%0.0068✓1.29271k2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.3808-3.16%15.2+2.36%0.0835✗0.68862k2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.2947-3.13%0.9958-25.50%0.2159✓1.1399.0M2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.6437-3.11%4.716-1.61%0.0433✗0.67457k2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero201.62195.3721-3.10%160.94-20.18%0.1530✓0.992.9M2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.1843-3.09%0.86-29.62%0.2632✓1.372.4M2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.663894-3.08%0.594984-13.14%0.0618✓1.152.3M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.8373-3.00%3.181-19.59%0.1546✓0.801.1M2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.289461-2.93%0.2543-14.72%0.0762✓1.292.0M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum7.016.8058-2.91%5.3-24.39%0.2134✓0.891.1M2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5620.9342-2.90%15.2-29.50%0.2703✓1.2072.8M2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1214.6814-2.90%10.16-32.80%0.3136✓1.3212.4M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.239203-2.88%0.1967-20.14%0.1402✓1.344.0M2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.6601-2.86%1.518-11.18%0.0415✓1.161.9M2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015408-2.79%0.01279-19.31%0.1553✓0.7522k2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.146799-2.78%0.1365-9.60%0.0204✓1.264.2M2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.73813-2.78%0.5205-31.44%0.3060✓1.052.5M2022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.930208-2.78%0.75452-21.14%0.1353✓1.79866k2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.3615-2.75%6.37-15.85%0.1129✓0.77638k2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.4068-2.73%19.552-2.00%0.0741✗1.6110.6M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.8318-2.69%2.38-18.21%0.1327✓0.99855k2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.339736-2.65%0.261-25.21%0.2311✓0.7951k2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013585-2.55%0.01204-13.63%0.0665✓1.312.1M2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.8989-2.53%3.076-23.10%0.1849✓1.264.0M2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.025954-2.52%0.019599-26.39%0.2383✓1.034.4M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.1577-2.48%0.138612-14.28%0.0836✓1.106.4M2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration243.71237.6954-2.47%150.07-38.42%0.4105✓1.191.3M2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.51158-2.44%0.4126-21.32%0.1608✓1.3111.3M2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.11260.109847-2.44%0.1011-10.21%0.0392✓1.0641k2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.049881-2.41%0.0487-4.72%0.0259✗1.208.4M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1325.502-2.40%20.51-21.51%0.1535✓1.551.0M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1415-2.38%1.196+2.28%0.0906✗1.062.4M2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.0994-2.37%5.881-19.13%0.1594✓0.70170k2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5926.9373-2.37%21.02-23.81%0.2029✓1.0914.5M2022-02-18
DASHDashDash126.8123.8006-2.37%105.32-16.94%0.1122✓1.192.8M2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.914.7943-2.36%4.7-4.28%0.0261✗1.112.2M2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45106.8856-2.34%87.44-20.11%0.1614✓0.951.8M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.6715-2.30%2.97+8.61%0.1488✗1.044.5M2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15205.4165-2.25%145.64-30.70%0.2939✓1.2117.6M2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.2185-2.23%5.25-17.45%0.1420✓0.66524k2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase49.9348.8582-2.15%37.11-25.68%0.2131✓1.49636k2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.1724-2.13%7.67-8.14%0.0639✓-0.011.3M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.2594-2.08%10.35-17.33%0.1219✓1.142.7M2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2730.6288-2.05%28.96-7.39%0.0115✓1.083.2M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.566671-2.03%0.4211-27.20%0.2394✓1.392.7M2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.57-2.02%2.222-15.29%0.1079✓0.9125k2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322118.0968-2.02%83.1979-30.97%0.3035✓1.13489k2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0623.5801-1.99%17.83-25.89%0.2234✓1.3658.5M2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4331-1.97%1.0419-28.73%0.2819✓0.89423k2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.075888-1.95%0.0812+4.91%0.1256✗1.40949k2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash125.87123.4779-1.90%109.21-13.24%0.0691✓1.309.5M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.175274-1.86%0.1609-9.91%0.0573✓0.68573k2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.07471-1.83%0.0682-10.38%0.0457✓1.1021k2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000090591-1.82%0.0000786-14.82%0.0998✓1.026.5M2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.688545-1.78%0.494-29.53%0.2703✓1.498.0M2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana135.33133.1776-1.59%89.9-33.57%0.3458✓1.14147.7M2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.047871-1.50%0.0302-37.86%0.4040✓1.371.3M2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.945699-1.49%0.771-19.69%0.1637✓0.982.1M2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.2942-1.47%7.2333-2.29%0.0514✗1.44263k2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.7557-1.44%14.44-24.12%0.2176✓1.06841k2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1664-1.44%0.877-25.90%0.2060✓1.911.3M2022-02-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,105.11-1.37%39,983.56-4.06%0.0138✓1.00636.6M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2764-1.36%1.104-14.68%0.0883✓1.373.8M2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.012670.0125-1.34%0.01063-16.10%0.1104✓1.251.9M2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,048.74-1.18%2,780.08-9.89%0.0477✓1.08485.8M2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.04641-1.09%0.04101-12.60%0.0783✓1.1023k2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.6152-1.08%5.708+56.19%0.4541✗-0.06371k2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.4454-1.00%1.82-26.32%0.2406✓1.323.2M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.071488-0.96%0.04965-31.21%0.3054✓1.432.3M2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012579-0.95%0.00961-24.33%0.2278✓1.00641k2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.01877-0.95%0.015984-15.65%0.1099✓1.232.7M2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.036841-0.91%0.02928-21.25%0.1919✓0.918.4M2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1612-0.75%0.99-15.38%0.0903✓1.67556k2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.62-0.65%5.97-22.16%0.2178✓0.63660k2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.099797-0.64%0.09046-9.94%0.0509✓1.1431k2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,461.77-0.63%40,196.70-3.66%0.0099✗0.9916k2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.100565-0.63%0.0797-21.25%0.1859✓1.13240k2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.6611-0.56%29.08+8.47%0.1162✗0.71353k2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.0812-0.42%1.59-23.92%0.2247✓1.072.7M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1367.773-0.36%310.22-15.95%0.1280✓1.026.6M2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8271.5796-0.33%55.59-22.60%0.2080✓1.086.4M2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.118728-0.31%0.0978-17.88%0.1404✓1.292.1M2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0503-0.17%2.0548-32.75%0.3482✓1.13665k2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.069308+0.17%0.063085-8.83%0.0549✗0.95489k2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum135.59136.2202+0.46%113.58-16.23%0.1429✗0.946.7M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2137.2937+0.80%114.85-15.68%0.1225✗1.3531.1M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1422.6096+2.12%15.77-28.77%0.2829✗1.873.9M2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.