8=======>

2022-01-18 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0752
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.46%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.0%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.5654-1.61%4.35-6.25%0.0325✓0.95471k2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08034.027-1.31%3.9939-2.12%0.0031✓0.692,2572022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.404811-1.07%0.366-10.56%0.0772✓1.424.1M2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.907096-0.91%0.8466-7.52%0.0402✓1.7448.9M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2737.9466-0.85%37.07-3.14%0.0074✓0.9698.5M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.3527-0.75%3.282-2.84%0.0073✓1.731.2M2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.373204-0.74%0.349-7.18%0.0544✓0.7747k2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4111.3285-0.71%10.21-10.52%0.1010✓0.182.8M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.196409-0.70%0.19913+0.68%0.0394✗1.556,4462022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4132,382.67-0.66%32,142.29-1.39%0.0040✓0.6922.2M2022-01-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.07553-0.65%0.07511-1.20%0.0110✗1.001.1M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38211.3096-0.64%10.274-9.73%0.0942✓0.1144k2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.59901-0.61%0.5701-5.41%0.0265✓1.391.5M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.6976-0.60%3.56-4.30%0.0140✓1.452.2M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4642-0.60%1.537+4.34%0.0625✗0.841.1M2022-01-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03521.0291-0.59%1.0457+1.01%0.0339✗1.08108k2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6432.4522-0.58%31.27-4.20%0.0200✓1.033.0M2022-01-19
LUNATerraTerra 280.4980.0306-0.57%81.27+0.97%0.0465✗1.887.6M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.079146-0.57%0.0761-4.40%0.0217✓1.0621k2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.4314-0.54%3.39-1.74%0.0054✓1.06811k2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.5212-0.53%3.33-5.93%0.0346✓1.288.5M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45231.2388-0.52%210.15-9.59%0.0766✓1.1517.6M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.035.0039-0.52%4.9-2.58%0.0014✓1.183.2M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.2867-0.52%10.22-1.16%0.0059✗0.75872k2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2299-0.50%1.1693-5.40%0.0331✓1.052.6M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.4519-0.48%1.3366-8.38%0.0647✓1.0998.5M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.8718-0.47%21.56-6.18%0.0403✓1.1372.8M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0963-0.47%1.0492-4.75%0.0281✓0.9623.2M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.235-0.46%3.1-4.62%0.0221✓1.242.8M2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3829.2449-0.46%26.53-9.70%0.0744✓1.3934.3M2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.2782-0.46%19.951-2.06%0.0100✗1.5910.7M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0933.9353-0.45%32.43-4.87%0.0180✓1.662.7M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum6.216.1819-0.45%6.05-2.58%0.0004✓1.2817.7M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.846-0.45%2.7346-4.35%0.0230✓1.024.6M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.0722-0.45%2.0509-1.47%0.0069✗1.0489k2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.2088-0.45%3.1421-2.52%0.0015✓1.182.3M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.2668-0.45%2.219-2.55%0.0030✓1.112.0M2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum7.04647.0151-0.44%7.1+0.76%0.0254✗0.814.1M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.3122-0.43%1.2659-3.95%0.0171✓1.1430.5M2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.7794-0.42%46.67+3.78%0.0591✗1.0723.6M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027991-0.42%0.00002726-3.02%0.0041✓1.351.8M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.9156-0.41%4.793-2.90%0.0144✓0.66469k2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.21491.2099-0.41%1.1386-6.28%0.0380✓1.373.7M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.027053-0.41%0.026624-1.99%0.0010✓1.035.2M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.678859-0.40%0.6838+0.32%0.0281✗1.263.5M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.9171-0.39%15.12-5.38%0.0301✓1.2912.4M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.9197-0.39%5.4486-8.32%0.0637✓1.16457k2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0285.6849-0.39%82.64-3.93%0.0175✓1.13100.4M2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.7125-0.39%3.627-2.68%0.0116✓0.71526k2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.1005-0.38%3.8849-5.62%0.0316✓1.363.3M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.1013-0.38%3.956-3.91%0.0232✓0.781.1M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012692-0.38%0.01172-8.01%0.0396✓2.4223.7M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.064547-0.38%0.07162+10.54%0.1240✗1.2112.4M2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.174244-0.38%0.1712-2.12%0.0028✓0.89397k2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7442,211.04-0.37%41,674.27-1.64%0.0038✓1.00636.6M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.9103-0.37%8.26+4.03%0.0594✗0.973.9M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.5429-0.37%4.19-8.11%0.0582✓1.3732.4M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.185715-0.37%0.1786-4.18%0.0278✓0.68577k2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.976429-0.36%0.93-5.10%0.0171✓1.911.5M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.258071-0.36%0.2463-4.90%0.0249✓1.314.0M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.7088-0.36%201.62-1.38%0.0050✗0.923.1M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.955878-0.36%0.9271-3.36%0.0074✓1.401.5M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.01673-0.36%0.01585-5.60%0.0430✓0.6723k2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7877-0.35%1.709-4.74%0.0261✓1.142.0M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.051892-0.35%0.051115-1.85%0.0043✗1.179.0M2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.7827-0.35%7.57-3.07%0.0155✓0.73652k2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.088129-0.34%0.0853-3.54%0.0205✓0.7350k2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2756-0.34%1.17-8.59%0.0594✓1.63556k2022-01-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.062886-0.34%0.0575-8.87%0.0730✓1.0024.6M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.25314-0.34%0.245567-3.32%0.0134✓1.0324.4M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.1646-0.34%0.161705-2.09%0.0002✓1.096.0M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.311849-0.34%0.2982-4.70%0.0236✓1.282.0M2022-01-19
DASHDashDash130.54130.1029-0.33%126.8-2.87%0.0065✓1.162.8M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.497337-0.33%0.469-6.01%0.0374✓1.281.8M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2688-0.33%1.222-4.01%0.0151✓1.362.4M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.717695-0.33%0.684968-4.87%0.0284✓1.102.4M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.055.0335-0.33%4.91-2.77%0.0070✓1.082.1M2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.4089-0.33%6.36-1.09%0.0032✓0.66564k2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash131.97131.541-0.33%125.87-4.62%0.0239✓1.2210.6M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.607329-0.32%0.5784-5.07%0.0260✓1.382.7M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,150.66-0.32%3,085.27-2.39%0.0036✓1.05496.9M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase52.3252.1524-0.32%49.93-4.57%0.0203✓1.41642k2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.311828-0.31%0.2983-4.64%0.0273✓1.03397k2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.6942-0.31%14.85+0.75%0.0217✗0.67916k2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00431.0012-0.30%0.95676-4.73%0.0166✓1.74896k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.73678-0.30%0.701-5.14%0.0258✓1.458.0M2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1525.075-0.30%24.06-4.33%0.0194✓1.3260.5M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.758-0.29%26.13-6.14%0.0359✓1.481.0M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113864-0.29%0.1126-1.40%0.0057✗1.0243k2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5426-0.29%2.47-3.14%0.0073✓1.313.2M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.074921-0.29%0.07218-3.94%0.0137✓1.432.3M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration253.4252.6671-0.29%243.71-3.82%0.0169✓1.161.4M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47380.3675-0.29%369.1-3.24%0.0136✓1.007.0M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.8082-0.29%7.4032-5.46%0.0305✓1.38263k2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8673.6479-0.29%71.82-2.76%0.0073✓1.086.4M2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2627.1817-0.29%26.81-1.65%0.0025✓0.68353k2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.7554-0.28%8.43-3.99%0.0261✓0.71995k2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.013220.013183-0.28%0.01267-4.16%0.0192✓1.242.0M2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6835-0.28%2.623-2.53%0.0080✓0.9025k2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana141.35140.9606-0.28%135.33-4.26%0.0235✓1.04152.8M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.3348-0.27%7.272-1.13%0.0034✗0.72170k2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.014211-0.27%0.01394-2.18%0.0021✓1.292.1M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.4027-0.27%27.59-3.12%0.0112✓1.0815.1M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.023.0118-0.27%2.91-3.64%0.0184✓0.97891k2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.546-0.27%1.462-5.69%0.0413✓0.88423k2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.6612-0.27%3.6546-0.44%0.0029✓-0.07361k2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038768-0.26%0.03718-4.35%0.0271✓0.898.4M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.08059-0.26%0.0774-4.21%0.0172✓1.40990k2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53141.1635-0.26%136.2-3.77%0.0137✓1.3331.1M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.1091-0.26%4-2.91%0.0060✓1.264.1M2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9173-0.26%3.0555+4.47%0.0648✗1.12665k2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0054-0.26%0.96-4.76%0.0304✓0.962.2M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.7675-0.26%8.35-5.01%0.0490✓-0.011.3M2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.013267-0.25%0.0127-4.51%0.0273✓0.99654k2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41108.1383-0.25%109.45+0.96%0.0276✗0.941.9M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.862721-0.24%0.7592-12.21%0.1103✓1.062.6M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.128999-0.23%0.1191-7.89%0.0586✓1.282.1M2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.105166-0.23%0.10044-4.71%0.0275✓1.1230k2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.068262-0.23%0.069192+1.13%0.0290✗0.94494k2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.529683-0.23%0.5244-1.22%0.0101✗1.2111.7M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum13.0413.0104-0.23%12.52-3.99%0.0197✓1.132.7M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.049791-0.22%0.0486-2.61%0.0016✓1.371.3M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.153775-0.21%0.151-2.01%0.0021✗1.234.2M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.3452-0.21%1.294-4.01%0.0164✓1.353.8M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1855-0.21%2.09-4.57%0.0276✓1.032.7M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35177.9863-0.20%172.8-3.11%0.0107✓1.14100k2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.048042-0.20%0.04692-2.53%0.0063✓1.0523k2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.4249-0.20%7.01-5.78%0.0430✓0.881.1M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.9859-0.20%7.009+0.13%0.0242✗1.26271k2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.5212-0.20%19.03-2.71%0.0130✓0.75841k2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000095461-0.20%0.00009227-3.53%0.0174✓1.016.5M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4042,412.37-0.20%41,724.00-1.82%0.0001✓0.9814k2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.10481-0.18%0.1012-3.62%0.0164✓1.12244k2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019434-0.18%0.01895-2.67%0.0047✓1.242.7M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.7765-0.17%7.67-1.54%0.0034✓0.63680k2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum146.04145.8254-0.15%135.59-7.16%0.0577✓0.916.7M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385126.2604-0.10%120.5322-4.63%0.0300✓0.99489k2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1604-0.07%1.1835+1.92%0.0509✗1.891.3M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.3878-0.05%22.14-5.38%0.0240✓1.863.9M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.