2022-01-17 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1601

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+24.15%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

90.6%

in alpha space · 83.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.97%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	24.33	24.6154	+1.17%	17.65	-27.46%	0.4056	✗	1.87	3.9M	2022-02-16
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,814.50	41,884.44	+0.17%	43,960.80	+5.13%	0.0101	✓	0.98	14k	2022-02-16
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.070851	0.070793	-0.08%	0.066472	-6.18%	0.0996	✓	0.94	511k	2022-02-16
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0126	3.0083	-0.14%	2.2584	-25.04%	0.3305	✓	1.12	665k	2022-02-16
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	380.79	379.0153	-0.47%	334.55	-12.14%	0.1636	✓	1.00	6.6M	2022-02-16
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	159.74	158.7147	-0.64%	129.55	-18.90%	0.2388	✓	0.92	6.4M	2022-02-16
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.25	2.235	-0.67%	1.81	-19.56%	0.2512	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-16
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.77	7.713	-0.73%	6.52	-16.09%	0.1924	✓	0.63	720k	2022-02-16
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.95	27.7356	-0.77%	28.31	+1.29%	0.0061	✓	0.68	353k	2022-02-16
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	151.19	150.0183	-0.77%	127.84	-15.44%	0.2122	✓	1.34	31.1M	2022-02-16
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.6	2.5742	-0.99%	2.13	-18.08%	0.2404	✓	1.31	3.1M	2022-02-16
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10718	0.106093	-1.01%	0.09789	-8.67%	0.1241	✓	1.12	27k	2022-02-16
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1064	0.10531	-1.02%	0.0851	-20.02%	0.2570	✓	1.13	269k	2022-02-16
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1315	0.130118	-1.05%	0.1052	-20.00%	0.2627	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-16
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.2289	1.2151	-1.12%	0.9602	-21.87%	0.3093	✓	1.90	1.3M	2022-02-16
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	76.55	75.6637	-1.16%	63.42	-17.15%	0.2187	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-02-16
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.46	19.2079	-1.30%	15.91	-18.24%	0.2177	✓	0.75	841k	2022-02-16
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01352	0.013336	-1.36%	0.01078	-20.27%	0.2513	✓	0.99	654k	2022-02-16
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,210.98	3,165.89	-1.40%	3,124.45	-2.69%	0.0542	✓	1.05	478.4M	2022-02-16
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04011	0.039546	-1.41%	0.03216	-19.82%	0.2415	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-02-16
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0533	0.052546	-1.41%	0.0335	-37.15%	0.5038	✓	1.38	1.4M	2022-02-16
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,218.01	41,603.08	-1.46%	43,895.56	+3.97%	0.0147	✓	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-16
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07748	0.076333	-1.48%	0.05759	-25.67%	0.3374	✓	1.43	2.4M	2022-02-16
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7699	3.7139	-1.48%	5.8668	+55.62%	0.4597	✗	-0.06	361k	2022-02-16
XVG	Verge	native	0.01314	0.012944	-1.49%	0.01171	-10.88%	0.1484	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-02-16
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.391	1.37	-1.51%	1.274	-8.41%	0.1256	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-16
SOL	Solana	Solana	139.85	137.5603	-1.64%	101.94	-27.11%	0.3403	✓	1.04	152.8M	2022-02-16
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31	30.4666	-1.72%	32.25	+4.03%	0.0169	✓	1.03	2.9M	2022-02-16
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.016	0.998182	-1.75%	0.787	-22.54%	0.2750	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-16
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04979	0.048912	-1.76%	0.04466	-10.30%	0.1319	✓	1.05	21k	2022-02-16
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6879	7.5506	-1.78%	7.8678	+2.34%	0.0125	✓	1.38	263k	2022-02-16
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020723	0.020346	-1.82%	0.016969	-18.12%	0.2300	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-16
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.78	107.5882	-2.00%	94.6	-13.83%	0.1653	✓	0.94	1.9M	2022-02-16
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1906	0.186749	-2.02%	0.1747	-8.34%	0.0934	✓	0.68	536k	2022-02-16
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.68	25.1238	-2.17%	19.78	-22.98%	0.2908	✓	1.33	60.5M	2022-02-16
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.080607	-2.18%	0.09	+9.22%	0.0555	✗	1.40	990k	2022-02-16
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.99	28.3522	-2.20%	23.08	-20.39%	0.2478	✓	1.08	15.1M	2022-02-16
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.35	1.3201	-2.21%	1.12	-17.04%	0.2283	✓	1.64	556k	2022-02-16
XEM	NEM	native	0.1148	0.112163	-2.30%	0.1142	-0.52%	0.0218	✓	1.02	49k	2022-02-16
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.735	2.6713	-2.33%	2.452	-10.35%	0.1207	✓	0.90	25k	2022-02-16
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009954	0.000097223	-2.33%	0.00008539	-14.22%	0.1691	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-02-16
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.3971	-2.33%	5.47	-16.49%	0.1822	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-16
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.359	7.1864	-2.34%	6.358	-13.60%	0.1507	✓	0.72	178k	2022-02-16
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.35	0.341745	-2.36%	0.288	-17.71%	0.2007	✓	0.76	45k	2022-02-16
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	137.7719	134.4614	-2.40%	95.5515	-30.65%	0.3805	✓	1.00	489k	2022-02-16
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.768	0.749441	-2.42%	0.539	-29.82%	0.3863	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-02-16
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5478	0.534459	-2.44%	0.4872	-11.06%	0.1401	✓	1.22	12.2M	2022-02-16
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.59	13.2529	-2.48%	11.78	-13.32%	0.1620	✓	1.14	2.9M	2022-02-16
ZEN	Horizen	Base	53.27	51.8913	-2.59%	40.62	-23.75%	0.2998	✓	1.41	642k	2022-02-16
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	28.92	28.162	-2.62%	24.03	-16.91%	0.2167	✓	1.49	1.0M	2022-02-16
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	259.34	252.5115	-2.63%	166.77	-35.69%	0.4602	✓	1.16	1.4M	2022-02-16
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.054069	0.052604	-2.71%	0.056084	+3.73%	0.0183	✓	1.18	7.9M	2022-02-16
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1595	0.155178	-2.71%	0.1562	-2.07%	0.0415	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-16
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.73	132.0501	-2.71%	115.33	-15.03%	0.1809	✓	1.17	2.8M	2022-02-16
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0145	0.014106	-2.71%	0.01344	-7.31%	0.0986	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-16
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.3	5.155	-2.74%	4.87	-8.11%	0.0990	✓	1.08	2.1M	2022-02-16
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	138.84	135.0277	-2.75%	125.58	-9.55%	0.1204	✓	1.23	10.6M	2022-02-16
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8095	0.786852	-2.80%	0.625	-22.79%	0.2713	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-16
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170944	0.166138	-2.81%	0.148737	-12.99%	0.1531	✓	1.09	5.6M	2022-02-16
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	226.66	220.2852	-2.81%	170.44	-24.80%	0.3014	✓	1.15	16.2M	2022-02-16
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.07	2.9833	-2.82%	2.67	-13.03%	0.1487	✓	0.97	891k	2022-02-16
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2267	1.192	-2.83%	1.4263	+16.27%	0.1385	✗	1.05	2.7M	2022-02-16
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.38	9.1093	-2.89%	7.24	-22.81%	0.2293	✓	-0.01	1.4M	2022-02-16
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6191	0.601147	-2.90%	0.4754	-23.21%	0.2884	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-02-16
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.246	1.2094	-2.94%	0.983	-21.11%	0.2600	✓	1.35	2.4M	2022-02-16
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.38	43.0445	-3.01%	46.38	+4.51%	0.0330	✗	1.07	22.8M	2022-02-16
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6018	1.5532	-3.04%	1.1915	-25.62%	0.2996	✓	0.89	445k	2022-02-16
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1906	4.063	-3.04%	3.6017	-14.05%	0.1697	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-16
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01652	0.016016	-3.05%	0.01389	-15.92%	0.1684	✓	0.67	24k	2022-02-16
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.829	1.7726	-3.08%	1.688	-7.71%	0.0935	✓	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-16
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.02786	0.026984	-3.14%	0.021773	-21.85%	0.2548	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-16
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.03	14.5565	-3.15%	16.75	+11.44%	0.1140	✗	0.68	998k	2022-02-16
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.96	7.7069	-3.18%	6.76	-15.08%	0.1598	✓	0.74	682k	2022-02-16
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.98	4.8189	-3.23%	4.9	-1.61%	0.0293	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-02-16
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2569	0.248427	-3.30%	0.2202	-14.29%	0.1719	✓	1.32	3.9M	2022-02-16
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.851	20.1633	-3.30%	20.855	+0.02%	0.0283	✓	1.59	10.7M	2022-02-16
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0826	0.079875	-3.30%	0.0757	-8.35%	0.0951	✓	1.06	20k	2022-02-16
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.312	0.301705	-3.30%	0.2693	-13.69%	0.1635	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-16
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1755	0.169698	-3.31%	0.1678	-4.39%	0.0461	✓	0.89	403k	2022-02-16
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.188	4.0489	-3.32%	3.514	-16.09%	0.1721	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-02-16
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0163	0.981618	-3.41%	0.83537	-17.80%	0.2293	✓	1.74	896k	2022-02-16
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.13	7.8515	-3.43%	6.53	-19.68%	0.2224	✓	0.98	4.1M	2022-02-16
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	181.47	175.2309	-3.44%	136.01	-25.05%	0.2978	✓	1.14	123k	2022-02-16
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06638	0.064095	-3.44%	0.03198	-51.82%	0.7426	✓	1.22	13.3M	2022-02-16
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.727776	0.702356	-3.49%	0.677091	-6.96%	0.0796	✓	1.10	2.4M	2022-02-16
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9053	2.8037	-3.50%	3.2632	+12.32%	0.1117	✗	1.03	4.9M	2022-02-16
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.89	7.6132	-3.51%	6.07	-23.07%	0.2610	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-16
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.984	4.8075	-3.54%	4.803	-3.63%	0.0265	✓	0.66	469k	2022-02-16
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9968	6.7446	-3.60%	6.8827	-1.63%	0.0112	✓	0.81	4.1M	2022-02-16
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0538	3.9072	-3.62%	4.0382	-0.38%	0.0198	✓	1.35	3.3M	2022-02-16
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002883	0.000027785	-3.63%	0.00003095	+7.35%	0.0549	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-16
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.8	22.9322	-3.65%	17.14	-27.98%	0.3354	✓	1.14	70.4M	2022-02-16
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.405	7.1318	-3.69%	7.454	+0.66%	0.0051	✓	1.27	271k	2022-02-16
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.256133	0.246597	-3.72%	0.21874	-14.60%	0.1599	✓	1.03	24.2M	2022-02-16
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08878	0.085466	-3.73%	0.08117	-8.57%	0.0801	✓	0.73	45k	2022-02-16
XMR	Monero	Monero	214.7	206.5945	-3.78%	179.36	-16.46%	0.1775	✓	0.93	3.1M	2022-02-16
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.62	28.4968	-3.79%	22.08	-25.46%	0.3093	✓	1.39	34.3M	2022-02-16
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.64	16.0001	-3.85%	11.22	-32.57%	0.4052	✓	1.29	12.2M	2022-02-16
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.798	3.6448	-4.03%	3.217	-15.30%	0.1525	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-16
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0079	1.9257	-4.09%	1.8241	-9.15%	0.0946	✓	1.04	89k	2022-02-16
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3204	0.307116	-4.15%	0.3067	-4.28%	0.0416	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-16
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3409	3.2005	-4.20%	3.9514	+18.27%	0.1646	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-02-16
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.41	3.2608	-4.37%	2.65	-22.29%	0.2487	✓	1.06	808k	2022-02-16
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.02	0.974422	-4.47%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0002	✓	1.92	1.5M	2022-02-16
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.51	0.486935	-4.52%	0.373	-26.86%	0.3167	✓	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-16
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.77	8.3675	-4.59%	6.08	-30.67%	0.3470	✓	0.71	995k	2022-02-16
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6916	0.659049	-4.71%	0.5683	-17.83%	0.1973	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-02-16
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0077	0.959648	-4.77%	0.6989	-30.64%	0.3719	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-16
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1616	1.1052	-4.86%	0.8933	-23.10%	0.2504	✓	0.96	23.2M	2022-02-16
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2731	5.9527	-5.11%	4.8292	-23.02%	0.2546	✓	1.17	457k	2022-02-16
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3415	1.2718	-5.20%	0.9791	-27.01%	0.3060	✓	1.14	30.5M	2022-02-16
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	86.68	82.0537	-5.34%	95.39	+10.05%	0.1066	✗	1.13	100.4M	2022-02-16
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.44	32.5756	-5.41%	28.63	-16.87%	0.1937	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-16
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.5523	-5.52%	2.4	-36.17%	0.4486	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-16
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,588.07	29,799.84	-5.66%	23,690.00	-25.00%	0.2562	✓	0.69	22.2M	2022-02-16
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.47	9.8659	-5.77%	10.78	+2.96%	0.0593	✓	0.75	808k	2022-02-16
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0676	0.063657	-5.83%	0.0695	+2.81%	0.0489	✓	1.00	25.5M	2022-02-16
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.36	3.162	-5.89%	1.86	-44.64%	0.5792	✓	1.25	2.9M	2022-02-16
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.325	2.1878	-5.90%	1.952	-16.04%	0.1574	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-16
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.44	6.058	-5.93%	4.3	-33.23%	0.3928	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-02-16
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.365674	-5.95%	0.285	-26.70%	0.3046	✓	1.42	3.9M	2022-02-16
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.06	72.4202	-6.02%	56.02	-27.30%	0.3297	✓	1.87	7.5M	2022-02-16
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2561	1.179	-6.14%	1.1125	-11.43%	0.1118	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-16
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9802	0.91985	-6.16%	1.6305	+66.34%	0.5310	✗	1.06	108k	2022-02-16
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4	3.7525	-6.19%	4.58	+14.50%	0.1634	✗	0.92	471k	2022-02-16
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.294	3.0877	-6.26%	2.809	-14.72%	0.1616	✓	1.72	1.1M	2022-02-16
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01358	0.012696	-6.51%	0.00601	-55.74%	0.8429	✓	2.44	24.2M	2022-02-16
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.6027	1.4908	-6.98%	1.0833	-32.41%	0.3621	✓	1.10	97.1M	2022-02-16
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.53	3.2747	-7.23%	1.86	-47.31%	0.6154	✓	1.28	8.5M	2022-02-16
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.78	4.424	-7.45%	3.17	-33.68%	0.3870	✓	1.38	32.4M	2022-02-16
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20625	0.190165	-7.80%	0.17624	-14.55%	0.1367	✓	1.56	6,350	2022-02-16
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6214	0.571479	-8.03%	0.602	-3.12%	0.0023	✓	1.39	1.5M	2022-02-16
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.195	3.8562	-8.08%	3.7402	-10.84%	0.0575	✓	0.69	2,257	2022-02-16
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.6076	1.473	-8.38%	2.2822	+41.96%	0.4046	✗	0.85	1.1M	2022-02-16
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.078972	0.071228	-9.81%	0.028284	-64.18%	0.9626	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-16
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.58	11.2841	-10.30%	8.24	-34.50%	0.3217	✓	0.19	2.6M	2022-02-16
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.15	35.0289	-10.53%	28.51	-27.18%	0.2436	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-02-16
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.477	11.0282	-11.61%	8.239	-33.97%	0.2963	✓	0.12	44k	2022-02-16
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9432	0.832827	-11.70%	0.4482	-52.48%	0.6878	✓	1.75	46.2M	2022-02-16

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.