8=======>

2022-01-14 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2563
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.2%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.382.4894+4.60%1.66-30.25%0.3799✗1.062.9M2022-02-13
TRXTRONTron0.0676580.07006+3.55%0.064588-4.54%0.0584✗0.96552k2022-02-13
QTUMQtumQtum7.84428.0674+2.85%6.5106-17.00%0.1802✗1.43263k2022-02-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.65395.3489+2.51%333.81-13.44%0.1450✗1.027.6M2022-02-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin144.84148.3617+2.43%125.67-13.24%0.1334✗1.3732.2M2022-02-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109330.11184+2.30%0.09518-12.94%0.1341✗1.1423k2022-02-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,294.1044,255.75+2.22%42,091.20-2.78%0.0267✗0.9814k2022-02-13
XECeCashnative0.000097020.000098626+1.66%0.00008177-15.72%0.1633✗1.016.5M2022-02-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.020490.020806+1.54%0.016324-20.33%0.2132✗1.232.5M2022-02-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.7230.1365+1.40%20.56-30.82%0.3565✗1.0915.5M2022-02-13
ADACardanoCardano1.29311.3112+1.40%1.0431-19.33%0.2013✗1.1595.6M2022-02-13
QNTQuantEthereum165.39167.5868+1.33%121.97-26.25%0.2955✗0.936.9M2022-02-13
NANOnanopayBase3.15113.1901+1.24%2.1144-32.90%0.3840✗1.14699k2022-02-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.2826.6046+1.24%16.82-36.00%0.4145✗1.844.1M2022-02-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3660.370183+1.14%0.291-20.49%0.2225✗0.7643k2022-02-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1130.114179+1.04%0.084-25.66%0.2802✗1.12303k2022-02-13
UNIUniswapEthereum15.8715.9961+0.79%10.35-34.78%0.4043✗1.3012.4M2022-02-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0551.0615+0.62%0.747-29.19%0.3282✗0.972.2M2022-02-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.7627.9251+0.59%18.75-32.46%0.3662✗1.3564.3M2022-02-13
XTZTezosTezos4.2854.3103+0.59%3.8546-10.04%0.0791✗1.374.3M2022-02-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.5766+0.54%11.07+5.23%0.0636✓0.75955k2022-02-13
COMPCompoundEthereum189.59190.5826+0.52%124.43-34.37%0.3986✗1.16149k2022-02-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1833170.184155+0.46%0.148727-18.87%0.1874✗1.105.4M2022-02-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19290.193747+0.44%0.1686-12.60%0.1229✗0.68464k2022-02-13
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.805115+0.39%0.499-37.78%0.4429✗1.498.0M2022-02-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57920.581427+0.38%0.4062-29.87%0.3275✗1.3012.2M2022-02-13
XEMNEMnative0.11920.119654+0.38%0.11-7.72%0.0590✗1.0557k2022-02-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8453.8587+0.36%3.139-18.36%0.1896✗0.71526k2022-02-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.773.9499+0.34%58.08-21.19%0.2160✗1.076.2M2022-02-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030840.000030939+0.32%0.00003011-2.37%0.0051✓1.351.8M2022-02-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV113.04113.3991+0.32%92.52-18.15%0.1807✗0.962.2M2022-02-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,090.7243,224.19+0.31%42,074.99-2.36%0.0031✗1.00679.0M2022-02-13
KSMKusamaHydration281.84282.4676+0.22%163.53-41.98%0.5183✗1.181.4M2022-02-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9832.0468+0.21%32.5+1.63%0.0394✓1.062.9M2022-02-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,310.453,317.19+0.20%2,872.84-13.22%0.1183✗1.07556.2M2022-02-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2653750.265801+0.16%0.210311-20.75%0.2094✗1.0424.2M2022-02-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3081.3091+0.09%0.88-32.72%0.3649✗1.352.7M2022-02-13
SOLSolanaSolana146.17146.2294+0.04%92.92-36.43%0.4265✗1.13177.1M2022-02-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1909+0.03%2.52-21.00%0.2125✗0.99918k2022-02-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8531.8534+0.02%1.6-13.65%0.1195✗1.152.2M2022-02-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.766-0.14%2-27.80%0.2927✓1.323.2M2022-02-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.3659-0.19%28.14-0.99%0.0090✗0.71360k2022-02-13
XMRMoneroMonero229.78229.1605-0.27%174.01-24.27%0.2517✓0.993.1M2022-02-13
DASHDashDash141.12140.6841-0.31%102.03-27.70%0.2926✓1.202.8M2022-02-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.729.6018-0.33%21.38-28.01%0.2886✓1.541.0M2022-02-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.6552-0.37%5.5-17.66%0.1749✓0.66602k2022-02-13
XVSVenusEthereum1413.9474-0.38%8.7-37.86%0.4447✓1.143.1M2022-02-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8674.8476-0.40%4.66-4.25%0.0233✓0.68469k2022-02-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41981.4139-0.42%1.823+28.40%0.2748✗0.87922k2022-02-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093360.092949-0.44%0.07534-19.30%0.1927✓0.7352k2022-02-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.2920.1962-0.46%15.13-25.43%0.2638✓1.05958k2022-02-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.048.0021-0.47%6.63-17.54%0.1698✓0.77737k2022-02-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.1942-0.49%4.47-14.37%0.1220✓1.183.3M2022-02-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.26680.265441-0.51%0.2009-24.70%0.2469✓1.334.0M2022-02-13
AAVEAaveEthereum224.05222.8871-0.52%158.29-29.35%0.3141✓1.1817.6M2022-02-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.917.8681-0.53%6.49-17.95%0.1775✓0.63680k2022-02-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08130.08084-0.57%0.0714-12.18%0.0978✓1.1119k2022-02-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5432.3234-0.67%19.77-39.24%0.4580✓1.4134.3M2022-02-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17980.178584-0.68%0.1611-10.40%0.0813✓0.91432k2022-02-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.47071.4606-0.69%0.9151-37.78%0.4219✓1.911.4M2022-02-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.7425.5567-0.71%15.6-39.39%0.4652✓1.1974.2M2022-02-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0150.014886-0.76%0.01193-20.47%0.1901✓1.312.2M2022-02-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9614.8458-0.76%17.86+19.39%0.2012✗0.681.1M2022-02-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0596540.059129-0.88%0.043319-27.38%0.2825✓1.207.5M2022-02-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080720.079974-0.92%0.05267-34.75%0.3838✓1.422.6M2022-02-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053420.0529-0.97%0.04259-20.27%0.1906✓1.1019k2022-02-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2694.2269-0.99%3.387-20.66%0.2024✓0.801.1M2022-02-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5091.4938-1.01%1.244-17.56%0.1504✓1.374.4M2022-02-13
FTTFTXEthereum44.7344.2505-1.07%44.32-0.92%0.0280✗1.1121.6M2022-02-13
XVGVergenative0.013890.013733-1.13%0.01099-20.88%0.1933✓1.242.0M2022-02-13
GTGateEthereum6.81286.7343-1.15%6.7726-0.59%0.0262✗0.863.5M2022-02-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71070.702122-1.21%0.5345-24.79%0.2422✓1.283.7M2022-02-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7482050.739042-1.22%0.60939-18.55%0.1656✓1.142.5M2022-02-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.041110.040599-1.24%0.03005-26.90%0.2792✓0.918.4M2022-02-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016660.016444-1.30%0.01362-18.25%0.1710✓0.7324k2022-02-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.7176-1.39%5.8538+55.28%0.4525✗-0.06364k2022-02-13
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.2704-1.43%6.01-28.37%0.2962✓0.974.3M2022-02-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.8572.8159-1.44%2.388-16.42%0.1433✓0.9026k2022-02-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.33210.326709-1.62%0.2771-16.56%0.1341✓1.282.2M2022-02-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32043.262-1.76%3.7675+13.47%0.1725✗1.192.6M2022-02-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.084965-1.77%0.0866+0.12%0.0524✗1.401.2M2022-02-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03525.9196-1.92%4.6803-22.45%0.2059✓1.21457k2022-02-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17540.171792-2.06%0.1475-15.91%0.1223✓1.264.2M2022-02-13
ZECZcashZcash142.55139.5879-2.08%117.13-17.83%0.1444✓1.3010.9M2022-02-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.03051.009-2.08%0.6296-38.90%0.4382✓1.401.5M2022-02-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.3350.328004-2.09%0.2688-19.76%0.1629✓1.513.8M2022-02-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05261.0305-2.10%0.8076-23.27%0.2011✓1.78974k2022-02-13
BANDBandEthereum5.75.5739-2.21%4.06-28.77%0.2906✓1.102.3M2022-02-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,239.4931,522.10-2.23%22,889.91-29.00%0.3041✓0.6726.4M2022-02-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3493-2.23%1.06-23.19%0.2014✓1.67569k2022-02-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.0819.6084-2.35%19.126-4.75%0.0135✓1.6111.0M2022-02-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.29881.2679-2.38%1.01-22.24%0.2025✓1.053.0M2022-02-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12231.0943-2.49%0.8484-24.41%0.2308✓1.0023.2M2022-02-13
ZENHorizenBase53.852.4148-2.57%40.16-25.35%0.2307✓1.49667k2022-02-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0284310.027686-2.62%0.021469-24.49%0.2298✓1.035.7M2022-02-13
MOVRMoonriverBase157.2002152.9694-2.69%82.6677-47.41%0.5886✓1.12515k2022-02-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.922.838-2.81%1.9-34.93%0.3712✓1.263.1M2022-02-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38221.3433-2.82%0.8967-35.13%0.3762✓1.1730.5M2022-02-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.463.3616-2.84%2.37-31.50%0.3236✓1.09808k2022-02-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07070.068687-2.85%0.03066-56.63%0.7774✓1.2316.4M2022-02-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.923.8082-2.85%4.57+16.58%0.2013✗0.80471k2022-02-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05570.053969-3.11%0.0312-43.99%0.5152✓1.371.5M2022-02-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6737.4328-3.13%7.052-8.09%0.0215✓1.30271k2022-02-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.4187.5406-3.17%77.97-13.76%0.0876✓1.18108.4M2022-02-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4152.3377-3.20%1.737-28.07%0.2704✓1.122.0M2022-02-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.054-3.30%0.91-16.51%0.1014✓1.911.6M2022-02-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34634.2009-3.34%3.4786-19.96%0.1586✓1.264.1M2022-02-13
SCSiacoinnative0.013860.013369-3.55%0.01036-25.25%0.2313✓0.99656k2022-02-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06471.0267-3.56%1.3168+23.68%0.2729✗1.01108k2022-02-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7577.4741-3.65%5.903-23.90%0.2196✓0.69192k2022-02-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9552.8471-3.65%2.8231-4.46%0.0158✓1.025.2M2022-02-13
SUSHISushiEthereum7.036.7656-3.76%4.03-42.67%0.4873✓1.2917.7M2022-02-13
LUNATerraTerra 281.4778.3125-3.88%51.89-36.31%0.3877✓1.007.4M2022-02-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.849.4427-4.04%7.41-24.70%0.2428✓-0.021.5M2022-02-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3723.2329-4.12%2.754-18.33%0.1190✓1.731.2M2022-02-13
RADRadworksEthereum7.927.5918-4.14%5.45-31.19%0.3105✓0.881.1M2022-02-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71450.684524-4.20%0.443-38.00%0.4022✓1.382.7M2022-02-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.60691.5382-4.27%1.1334-29.47%0.2844✓0.88502k2022-02-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5210.498593-4.30%0.379-27.26%0.2433✓1.302.0M2022-02-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.59.0717-4.51%5.89-38.00%0.4150✓0.711.0M2022-02-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.97790.932994-4.59%0.5644-42.28%0.4787✓1.013.0M2022-02-13
HIVEHivenative1.311.2487-4.68%1.072-18.17%0.1192✓1.404.0M2022-02-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.13920.132634-4.72%0.1025-26.36%0.2271✓1.282.4M2022-02-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.09241.9914-4.83%1.7279-17.42%0.1154✓1.1195k2022-02-13
IMXImmutableEthereum3.553.3691-5.10%2.29-35.49%0.3530✓1.392.2M2022-02-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62720.595118-5.12%0.5723-8.75%0.0061✓1.38736k2022-02-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.4438.3135-5.26%26.19-35.24%0.3578✓0.9586.7M2022-02-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2534.2752-5.45%25.86-28.66%0.2421✓1.662.7M2022-02-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13563.8952-5.81%3.4198-17.31%0.1121✓0.762,2572022-02-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0836380.078559-6.07%0.027679-66.91%1.0193✓1.002.4M2022-02-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.32910.308167-6.36%0.2812-14.55%0.0671✓1.02397k2022-02-13
GITCOINGITCOIN10.86610.169-6.41%7.272-33.08%0.3327✓0.1144k2022-02-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0790.073798-6.59%0.0626-20.76%0.1407✓1.0027.8M2022-02-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.354.9612-7.27%2.75-48.60%0.5566✓1.4032.4M2022-02-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.222390.206072-7.34%0.17187-22.72%0.1435✓1.595,3602022-02-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.3441-7.62%1.88-48.07%0.5461✓1.258.5M2022-02-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014340.013229-7.75%0.00579-59.62%0.7698✓2.3726.1M2022-02-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.989.9843-9.07%7.27-33.79%0.3130✓0.182.8M2022-02-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.96050.870304-9.39%0.4207-56.20%0.6850✓1.7638.7M2022-02-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.