2022-01-12 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2489

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.64%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

87.8%

in alpha space · 90.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2514	+0.51%	1.71	-23.66%	0.2379	✗	1.05	3.1M	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.068445	+0.51%	0.063958	-6.08%	0.0343	✗	0.94	536k	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	142.2684	+0.17%	125.69	-11.50%	0.0761	✗	1.34	33.4M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	384.2829	+0.12%	321.01	-16.37%	0.1444	✗	1.00	8.3M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	43,848.29	-0.30%	42,347.70	-3.72%	0.0000	✓	0.98	14k	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	168.0918	-0.40%	129.51	-23.26%	0.2281	✓	0.92	7.3M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1513	-0.47%	6.24	-23.81%	0.2451	✓	0.62	675k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.2668	-0.64%	2.1819	-33.63%	0.3644	✓	1.10	699k	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.6434	-0.85%	28.06	-2.87%	0.0033	✓	0.67	360k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.110092	-0.94%	0.09752	-12.25%	0.0813	✓	1.12	25k	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.019598	-0.97%	0.015872	-19.80%	0.1668	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	77.3387	-1.05%	59.07	-24.42%	0.2316	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	43,371.55	-1.25%	42,386.47	-3.49%	0.0126	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	30.723	-1.37%	32.74	+5.10%	0.0997	✗	1.02	3.0M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	110.9783	-1.48%	94.64	-15.98%	0.1260	✓	0.94	2.4M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8465	-1.51%	2.07	-28.37%	0.2722	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.5643	-1.51%	14.96	-28.35%	0.2922	✓	0.73	1.0M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	27.5628	-1.53%	17.24	-38.41%	0.4041	✓	1.83	4.5M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.2983	-1.53%	21.09	-31.46%	0.3248	✓	1.06	16.7M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.080667	-1.58%	0.05622	-31.41%	0.3105	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,318.01	-1.65%	2,929.08	-13.18%	0.0876	✓	1.04	569.1M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.042037	-1.71%	0.03298	-22.89%	0.2113	✓	0.88	8.5M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.793	-1.72%	6.1868	+60.30%	0.4868	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.159779	-1.92%	0.14485	-11.08%	0.0587	✓	1.11	5.4M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.4021	-1.95%	1.1	-23.08%	0.1841	✓	1.65	657k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013734	-1.97%	0.01056	-24.63%	0.2281	✓	0.98	730k	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4598	-2.03%	1.257	-15.64%	0.1016	✓	1.35	4.9M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.049666	-2.04%	0.04188	-17.40%	0.1320	✓	1.08	18k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.112038	-2.06%	0.0868	-24.13%	0.2158	✓	1.11	303k	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	40.5662	-2.09%	43.46	+4.90%	0.1063	✗	1.05	21.0M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.8338	-2.09%	5.47	-21.63%	0.1993	✓	0.66	643k	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000096097	-2.13%	0.00008391	-14.54%	0.1000	✓	1.00	6.6M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.19681	-2.13%	0.1735	-13.72%	0.1020	✓	0.68	441k	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.059109	-2.14%	0.0319	-47.19%	0.5687	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0607	-2.15%	0.771	-28.87%	0.2855	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	7.7465	-2.16%	6.5603	-17.14%	0.1176	✓	1.37	273k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	13.9186	-2.19%	8.92	-37.32%	0.4045	✓	1.14	3.2M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	148.1804	-2.23%	96.5	-36.33%	0.3920	✓	1.04	191.4M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014406	-2.33%	0.01151	-21.97%	0.1810	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.11639	-2.36%	0.1086	-8.89%	0.0332	✓	1.01	62k	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.2813	-2.41%	1.0803	-17.72%	0.1314	✓	1.10	95.6M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	213.3038	-2.43%	163.71	-25.11%	0.2247	✓	1.12	17.6M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.15151	-2.50%	0.1086	-30.12%	0.2882	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	26.6345	-2.51%	18.99	-30.49%	0.2921	✓	1.30	68.4M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	30.7126	-2.53%	22.36	-29.04%	0.2651	✓	1.47	1.0M	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.085275	-2.54%	0.0869	-0.69%	0.0684	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	139.6659	-2.55%	103.99	-27.44%	0.2529	✓	1.18	2.5M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.856	-2.57%	1.637	-14.07%	0.0852	✓	1.14	2.3M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	4.8989	-2.65%	4.453	-11.51%	0.0723	✓	0.65	481k	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.368971	-2.65%	0.301	-20.58%	0.1774	✓	0.74	40k	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.7748	-2.74%	2.354	-17.49%	0.1326	✓	0.90	27k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.576979	-2.90%	0.4181	-29.64%	0.2792	✓	1.21	12.2M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.161905	-2.93%	0.149	-10.67%	0.0403	✓	1.20	4.2M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.014963	-2.96%	0.01244	-19.33%	0.1389	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	190.5943	-2.97%	124.54	-36.60%	0.3851	✓	1.14	153k	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	140.1856	-2.98%	116.54	-19.34%	0.1406	✓	1.24	10.9M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	7.9411	-3.04%	6.47	-21.00%	0.1786	✓	0.74	767k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.177048	-3.04%	0.1566	-14.24%	0.0909	✓	0.90	450k	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.079944	-3.10%	0.072	-12.73%	0.0667	✓	1.07	19k	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	14.8548	-3.10%	16.98	+10.76%	0.1574	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.1686	-3.10%	2.58	-21.10%	0.1713	✓	0.96	949k	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.1397	-3.14%	3.4051	-20.33%	0.1497	✓	1.29	4.1M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	192.9181	-3.15%	169.21	-15.06%	0.0967	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.016733	-3.22%	0.01359	-21.40%	0.1853	✓	0.64	25k	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	15.7537	-3.29%	10.65	-34.62%	0.3464	✓	1.27	12.7M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.070539	-3.35%	0.03653	-49.95%	0.6152	✓	1.20	16.9M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.804444	-3.43%	0.52	-37.58%	0.3853	✓	1.44	8.0M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.2644	-3.43%	3.29	-25.50%	0.2319	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	266.0685	-3.44%	165.1	-40.08%	0.4364	✓	1.15	1.3M	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3161	-3.44%	0.96	-29.57%	0.2677	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.028812	-3.45%	0.022611	-24.23%	0.2058	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.058773	-3.45%	0.047719	-21.61%	0.1672	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.7849	-3.50%	3.154	-19.58%	0.1574	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.2374	-3.55%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0255	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	19.6471	-3.56%	19.087	-6.31%	0.0277	✓	1.59	12.5M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.1472	-3.61%	6.01	-28.89%	0.2795	✓	0.70	209k	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.72534	-3.65%	0.616904	-18.06%	0.1228	✓	1.10	2.6M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.4336	-3.66%	4.25	-24.65%	0.2065	✓	1.10	2.4M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.6276	-3.69%	6.7399	-2.05%	0.0455	✗	0.81	3.8M	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.6047	-3.74%	1.1623	-30.28%	0.2917	✓	0.87	581k	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.314539	-3.78%	0.2594	-20.65%	0.1477	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.6799	-3.87%	7.7	-23.54%	0.2301	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	56.9313	-3.91%	40.36	-31.88%	0.2937	✓	1.41	711k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	7.8056	-3.99%	5.4	-33.58%	0.3368	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.266683	-4.00%	0.2056	-25.99%	0.2137	✓	1.31	4.4M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.1097	-4.17%	3.6	+10.94%	0.1893	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.339301	-4.21%	0.2888	-18.46%	0.1099	✓	1.44	3.6M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.5052	-4.33%	5.96	-32.96%	0.3214	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.6386	-4.35%	4.7016	-20.24%	0.1401	✓	1.17	446k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.1888	-4.46%	4.3129	-1.63%	0.0767	✗	1.34	4.6M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.269759	-4.46%	0.215393	-23.71%	0.1884	✓	1.03	24.9M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	162.3794	-4.48%	84.8321	-50.10%	0.6141	✓	0.99	540k	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.0521	-4.50%	1.7756	-17.37%	0.1079	✓	1.04	83k	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.5547	-4.51%	0.9345	-42.60%	0.4420	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.4274	-4.52%	7.219	-7.20%	0.0168	✓	1.27	271k	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.0646	-4.59%	0.82329	-26.22%	0.1953	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	25.4695	-4.82%	16.22	-39.39%	0.4117	✓	1.11	70.9M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	33.2784	-4.89%	19.82	-43.36%	0.4697	✓	1.36	31.1M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1282	-5.06%	0.8754	-26.33%	0.2196	✓	0.96	23.2M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.2824	-5.16%	1.0976	-18.83%	0.1188	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0152	-5.26%	0.6537	-39.00%	0.3905	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.510481	-5.29%	0.375	-30.43%	0.2632	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.662427	-5.30%	0.5696	-18.57%	0.1067	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.3963	-5.40%	2.54	-29.25%	0.2538	✓	1.03	807k	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.092224	-5.45%	0.07747	-20.58%	0.1489	✓	0.72	48k	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.00002978	-5.46%	0.00002872	-8.83%	0.0110	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.319469	-5.59%	0.2842	-16.02%	0.0810	✓	1.01	397k	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	9.9258	-5.65%	10.1	-3.99%	0.0442	✓	0.75	994k	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	2.9131	-5.72%	2.9222	-5.42%	0.0386	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.646617	-5.73%	0.4583	-33.18%	0.2945	✓	1.40	2.7M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.5708	-5.78%	3.97	+4.75%	0.1325	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.172285	-5.88%	0.18907	+3.29%	0.1479	✗	1.54	5,360	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.5084	-5.94%	2.31	-38.07%	0.3694	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3189	-5.99%	1.9151	+36.51%	0.4035	✗	0.86	922k	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	6.6785	-6.20%	4.09	-42.56%	0.4446	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.8295	-6.31%	1.99	-34.11%	0.3091	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.4032	-6.38%	0.9169	-38.83%	0.3861	✓	1.11	30.5M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.6726	-6.50%	3.5941	-8.50%	0.0030	✓	0.69	2,942	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	31,614.43	-6.58%	23,115.13	-31.69%	0.2898	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1038	-7.00%	0.6358	-46.43%	0.5158	✓	1.01	3.1M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	89.2861	-7.01%	81.81	-14.80%	0.0480	✓	1.11	110.4M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.4831	-7.12%	5.99	-41.33%	0.4351	✓	0.69	1.1M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	76.0357	-7.19%	50.35	-38.55%	0.3767	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.3391	-7.22%	1.833	-27.29%	0.2051	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.075889	-7.34%	0.0654	-20.15%	0.1132	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.0841	-7.35%	0.92	-21.37%	0.0967	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	36.0682	-7.92%	29.96	-23.51%	0.1272	✓	1.64	2.7M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.5104	-8.14%	2.89	-41.14%	0.3960	✓	1.38	30.4M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.937968	-8.17%	1.1483	+12.42%	0.2376	✗	0.99	116k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.2659	-8.31%	1.074	-22.21%	0.1159	✓	1.36	4.3M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.570377	-8.42%	0.5956	-4.37%	0.0941	✗	1.43	736k	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.3015	-8.42%	2.754	-23.61%	0.1197	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	10.9694	-8.59%	7.97	-33.58%	0.3129	✓	0.18	2.8M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.4232	-8.71%	1.95	-48.00%	0.5168	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.014357	-8.90%	0.0062	-60.66%	0.7554	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	10.6459	-10.57%	7.923	-33.44%	0.2911	✓	0.12	54k	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	35.9474	-10.69%	26.56	-34.01%	0.2700	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.072538	-11.33%	0.032124	-60.73%	0.7790	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.654746	-11.78%	0.4503	-39.33%	0.3116	✓	1.76	38.7M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.