2022-01-12 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2923

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+26.09%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

64.7%

in alpha space · 66.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.49%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.671864	-9.48%	0.4503	-39.33%	0.3365	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	10.9419	-8.82%	7.97	-33.58%	0.3115	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.014439	-8.38%	0.0062	-60.66%	0.7611	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.4374	-8.34%	1.95	-48.00%	0.5209	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1007	-7.26%	0.6358	-46.43%	0.5141	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.5653	-7.02%	2.89	-41.14%	0.4070	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.314948	-6.93%	0.2842	-16.02%	0.0667	✓	1.01	397k	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.076291	-6.85%	0.0654	-20.15%	0.1185	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	11.1474	-6.36%	7.923	-33.44%	0.3382	✓	0.09	54k	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	36.8201	-6.00%	29.96	-23.51%	0.1477	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.394	-5.85%	2.754	-23.61%	0.1473	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.172506	-5.76%	0.18907	+3.29%	0.1473	✗	1.57	5,360	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.077203	-5.63%	0.032124	-60.73%	0.8413	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.307	-5.34%	1.074	-22.21%	0.1470	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.6748	-5.24%	5.99	-41.33%	0.4547	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.5396	-5.10%	2.31	-38.07%	0.3782	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.591325	-5.05%	0.5956	-4.37%	0.0580	✗	1.43	736k	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.147696	-4.96%	0.1086	-30.12%	0.2627	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.652221	-4.91%	0.4583	-33.18%	0.3028	✓	1.41	2.7M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.0458	-4.79%	1.7756	-17.37%	0.1021	✓	1.11	83k	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.513314	-4.77%	0.375	-30.43%	0.2679	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	38.3779	-4.65%	26.56	-34.01%	0.3353	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.7535	-4.44%	3.5941	-8.50%	0.0166	✓	0.75	2,942	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.5947	-4.34%	1.1623	-30.28%	0.2854	✓	0.87	581k	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	2.9566	-4.31%	2.9222	-5.42%	0.0239	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	7.7893	-4.19%	5.4	-33.58%	0.3347	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.6533	-4.14%	7.7	-23.54%	0.2275	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.8963	-4.10%	1.99	-34.11%	0.3324	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013444	-4.04%	0.01056	-24.63%	0.2064	✓	0.99	730k	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.1216	-3.91%	6.01	-28.89%	0.2774	✓	0.67	209k	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	78.7792	-3.85%	50.35	-38.55%	0.4121	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1263	-3.73%	0.92	-21.37%	0.1349	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.98553	-3.51%	1.1483	+12.42%	0.1882	✗	0.99	116k	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.4387	-3.27%	1.833	-27.29%	0.2462	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	92.9182	-3.23%	81.81	-14.80%	0.0857	✓	1.17	110.4M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.058492	-3.16%	0.0319	-47.19%	0.5583	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.1396	-3.14%	3.4051	-20.33%	0.1496	✓	1.29	4.1M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.4797	-3.07%	2.54	-29.25%	0.2772	✓	1.06	807k	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	57.5006	-2.95%	40.36	-31.88%	0.3006	✓	1.50	711k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.455	-2.93%	0.9169	-38.83%	0.4209	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	6.914	-2.89%	4.09	-42.56%	0.4788	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.6812	-2.87%	3.97	+4.75%	0.1020	✗	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	165.369	-2.72%	84.8321	-50.10%	0.6275	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.029047	-2.66%	0.022611	-24.23%	0.2140	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.071044	-2.65%	0.03653	-49.95%	0.6218	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	19.8496	-2.56%	19.087	-6.31%	0.0182	✓	1.61	12.5M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.5844	-2.50%	7.219	-7.20%	0.0028	✓	1.31	271k	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.3203	-2.35%	1.0976	-18.83%	0.1477	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.09	-2.31%	0.82329	-26.22%	0.2175	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.161	-2.29%	0.8754	-26.33%	0.2474	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.346504	-2.17%	0.2888	-18.46%	0.1285	✓	1.51	3.6M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.5187	-2.15%	4.25	-24.65%	0.2209	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	33,128.50	-2.10%	23,115.13	-31.69%	0.3370	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0508	-1.94%	0.6537	-39.00%	0.4250	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	141.6968	-1.93%	116.54	-19.34%	0.1488	✓	1.31	10.9M	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.4029	-1.89%	1.1	-23.08%	0.1836	✓	1.68	657k	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.163745	-1.83%	0.149	-10.67%	0.0504	✓	1.24	4.2M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.7299	-1.80%	5.96	-32.96%	0.3477	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.6005	-1.69%	0.9345	-42.60%	0.4702	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.7991	-1.63%	4.7016	-20.24%	0.1661	✓	1.23	446k	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.7974	-1.61%	6.1868	+60.30%	0.4857	✗	-0.07	364k	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.196	-1.51%	3.6	+10.94%	0.1619	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.321995	-1.50%	0.2594	-20.65%	0.1711	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.813	-1.40%	2.354	-17.49%	0.1460	✓	0.90	27k	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.086308	-1.36%	0.0869	-0.69%	0.0561	✗	1.39	1.2M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.042189	-1.36%	0.03298	-22.89%	0.2141	✓	0.90	8.5M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.743861	-1.19%	0.616904	-18.06%	0.1464	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014575	-1.19%	0.01151	-21.97%	0.1925	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.8059	-1.10%	6.7399	-2.05%	0.0209	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.096501	-1.07%	0.07747	-20.58%	0.1943	✓	0.71	48k	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.017113	-1.02%	0.01359	-21.40%	0.2053	✓	0.71	25k	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.692478	-1.00%	0.5696	-18.57%	0.1502	✓	1.27	4.4M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.060269	-1.00%	0.047719	-21.61%	0.1911	✓	1.19	7.4M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	34.6491	-0.97%	19.82	-43.36%	0.5094	✓	1.38	31.1M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4769	-0.88%	1.257	-15.64%	0.1127	✓	1.37	4.9M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.050306	-0.78%	0.04188	-17.40%	0.1429	✓	1.14	18k	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.3832	-0.74%	3.29	-25.50%	0.2589	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	26.5638	-0.73%	16.22	-39.39%	0.4516	✓	1.17	70.9M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.081373	-0.72%	0.05622	-31.41%	0.3193	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.081943	-0.68%	0.072	-12.73%	0.0902	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015323	-0.63%	0.01244	-19.33%	0.1617	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	15.2416	-0.58%	16.98	+10.76%	0.1320	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.276273	-0.55%	0.2056	-25.99%	0.2483	✓	1.33	4.4M	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.181783	-0.45%	0.1566	-14.24%	0.1166	✓	0.92	450k	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.7885	-0.44%	14.96	-28.35%	0.2920	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	41.254	-0.42%	43.46	+4.90%	0.0912	✗	1.10	21.0M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.8785	-0.40%	2.07	-28.37%	0.2829	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1621	-0.34%	6.24	-23.81%	0.2462	✓	0.63	675k	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1624	-0.34%	6.47	-21.00%	0.2050	✓	0.77	767k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	27.9073	-0.30%	17.24	-38.41%	0.4166	✓	1.83	4.5M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3989	-0.28%	1.9151	+36.51%	0.3449	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.4186	-0.21%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0590	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.281763	-0.21%	0.215393	-23.71%	0.2316	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	143.069	-0.18%	103.99	-27.44%	0.2759	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	218.4022	-0.10%	163.71	-25.11%	0.2468	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.8746	-0.05%	28.06	-2.87%	0.0037	✓	0.70	360k	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000031486	-0.05%	0.00002872	-8.83%	0.0447	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	31.5024	-0.02%	22.36	-29.04%	0.2882	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	151.5447	-0.01%	96.5	-36.33%	0.4112	✓	1.13	191.4M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.9813	+0.02%	5.47	-21.63%	0.2206	✗	0.66	643k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	14.2346	+0.03%	8.92	-37.32%	0.4266	✗	1.15	3.2M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	5.0349	+0.06%	4.453	-11.51%	0.0992	✗	0.67	481k	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,380.47	+0.20%	2,929.08	-13.18%	0.1054	✗	1.07	569.1M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2777	+0.24%	2.58	-21.10%	0.2044	✗	0.98	949k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.9113	+0.33%	1.637	-14.07%	0.1141	✗	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	44,081.13	+0.37%	42,386.47	-3.49%	0.0037	✗	1.00	750.1M	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3682	+0.38%	0.96	-29.57%	0.3062	✗	1.35	2.8M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.201921	+0.41%	0.1735	-13.72%	0.1278	✗	0.67	441k	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.836411	+0.41%	0.52	-37.58%	0.4230	✗	1.47	8.0M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	78.4826	+0.41%	59.07	-24.42%	0.2463	✗	1.06	6.3M	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.596698	+0.42%	0.4181	-29.64%	0.3093	✗	1.30	12.2M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	276.7019	+0.42%	165.1	-40.08%	0.4746	✗	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	31.29	+0.45%	32.74	+5.10%	0.0829	✓	1.06	3.0M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	197.4057	+0.50%	124.54	-36.60%	0.4191	✗	1.17	153k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.4137	+0.67%	4.3129	-1.63%	0.0251	✓	1.36	4.6M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.120086	+0.74%	0.1086	-8.89%	0.0631	✗	1.05	62k	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0923	+0.77%	0.771	-28.87%	0.3142	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	200.797	+0.80%	169.21	-15.06%	0.1343	✗	1.04	2.9M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	113.5722	+0.83%	94.64	-15.98%	0.1485	✗	0.95	2.4M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.6118	+0.87%	10.1	-3.99%	0.0226	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	16.4337	+0.88%	10.65	-34.62%	0.3878	✗	1.29	12.7M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.115439	+0.91%	0.0868	-24.13%	0.2457	✗	1.11	303k	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	27.6045	+1.04%	18.99	-30.49%	0.3268	✗	1.33	68.4M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.324	+1.10%	2.1819	-33.63%	0.3810	✗	1.12	699k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.9663	+1.13%	3.154	-19.58%	0.2042	✗	0.70	526k	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.165236	+1.43%	0.14485	-11.08%	0.0919	✗	1.12	5.4M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.3322	+1.46%	1.0803	-17.72%	0.1693	✗	1.13	95.6M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	171.2827	+1.49%	129.51	-23.26%	0.2462	✗	0.94	7.3M	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	31.2323	+1.50%	21.09	-31.46%	0.3548	✗	1.07	16.7M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.385168	+1.63%	0.301	-20.58%	0.2200	✗	0.75	40k	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000099973	+1.82%	0.00008391	-14.54%	0.1392	✗	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.020189	+2.02%	0.015872	-19.80%	0.1970	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	45,005.48	+2.33%	42,347.70	-3.72%	0.0259	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.114071	+2.64%	0.09752	-12.25%	0.1161	✗	1.15	25k	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	145.8223	+2.68%	125.69	-11.50%	0.1002	✗	1.36	33.4M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	394.1398	+2.69%	321.01	-16.37%	0.1690	✗	1.02	8.3M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	8.1551	+3.00%	6.5603	-17.14%	0.1668	✗	1.43	273k	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.070421	+3.41%	0.063958	-6.08%	0.0622	✗	0.96	536k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.3642	+5.54%	1.71	-23.66%	0.2853	✗	1.09	3.1M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.