2022-01-11 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2145

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.5%

in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.81%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	131.67	132.6383	+0.74%	134.59	+2.22%	0.0096	✗	1.35	35.0M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064934	0.065408	+0.73%	0.068608	+5.66%	0.0307	✓	0.95	552k	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1555	+0.26%	1.8	-16.28%	0.1996	✗	1.08	3.3M	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.84	369.9749	+0.04%	341.1	-7.77%	0.0995	✗	1.01	8.5M	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,770.20	42,691.36	-0.18%	43,566.60	+1.86%	0.0026	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	72.75	72.3722	-0.52%	63.35	-12.92%	0.1519	✓	1.05	6.4M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0312	3.0139	-0.57%	2.3689	-21.85%	0.2606	✓	1.10	699k	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8	7.926	-0.92%	6.86	-14.25%	0.1557	✓	0.62	714k	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10496	0.10396	-0.95%	0.10255	-2.30%	0.0340	✓	1.14	23k	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.75	26.4875	-0.98%	18.94	-29.20%	0.3683	✓	1.83	5.0M	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.42	28.1299	-1.02%	28.06	-1.27%	0.0151	✓	0.70	363k	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	169.57	167.8121	-1.04%	140.08	-17.39%	0.1977	✓	0.95	7.5M	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018697	0.01846	-1.27%	0.017169	-8.17%	0.0943	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,753.44	42,209.35	-1.27%	43,527.71	+1.81%	0.0128	✗	1.00	754.4M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.69	29.3063	-1.29%	34.39	+15.83%	0.1412	✗	1.05	3.2M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.39	20.0986	-1.43%	16.26	-20.26%	0.2306	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1879	1.1706	-1.45%	1.1515	-3.06%	0.0363	✓	1.11	95.6M	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07976	0.078557	-1.51%	0.05799	-27.29%	0.3292	✓	1.43	2.6M	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.8	2.7577	-1.51%	2.16	-22.86%	0.2680	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.89	28.4483	-1.53%	23.14	-19.90%	0.2254	✓	1.05	18.5M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0574	0.056509	-1.55%	0.035	-39.02%	0.5031	✓	1.34	1.5M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,240.83	3,189.95	-1.57%	3,074.85	-5.12%	0.0558	✓	1.06	591.9M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.3377	-1.64%	1.22	-10.29%	0.1221	✓	1.67	738k	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		110.22	108.333	-1.71%	98.35	-10.77%	0.1138	✓	0.95	2.6M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.398	1.3739	-1.72%	1.323	-5.36%	0.0621	✓	1.36	5.2M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04765	0.04682	-1.74%	0.04451	-6.59%	0.0708	✓	1.12	17k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7323	3.6665	-1.76%	6.1336	+64.34%	0.5160	✗	-0.08	371k	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.521	7.3861	-1.79%	7.1425	-5.03%	0.0591	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.153722	0.150887	-1.84%	0.151631	-1.36%	0.0150	✓	1.11	5.1M	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04184	0.041067	-1.85%	0.03045	-27.22%	0.3154	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0135	0.01325	-1.85%	0.01138	-15.70%	0.1698	✓	0.98	756k	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1102	0.108073	-1.93%	0.0919	-16.61%	0.1819	✓	1.10	304k	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.27	137.4987	-1.98%	106.25	-24.25%	0.2778	✓	1.11	194.0M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.045	1.0236	-2.05%	0.845	-19.14%	0.2089	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1471	0.144088	-2.05%	0.1163	-20.94%	0.2366	✓	1.24	2.1M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009356	0.000091619	-2.07%	0.0000925	-1.13%	0.0084	✓	1.00	6.7M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.78	38.912	-2.18%	44.55	+11.99%	0.1157	✗	1.10	20.7M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01386	0.013555	-2.20%	0.01219	-12.05%	0.1280	✓	1.22	2.1M	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0824	0.080582	-2.21%	0.1041	+26.33%	0.2314	✗	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.71	13.404	-2.23%	9.7	-29.25%	0.3439	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.55	24.9711	-2.27%	20.51	-19.73%	0.2204	✓	1.32	70.4M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1145	0.111842	-2.32%	0.1139	-0.52%	0.0006	✓	1.05	67k	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.747	0.72938	-2.36%	0.562	-24.77%	0.2866	✓	1.44	7.7M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	213.29	208.0485	-2.46%	175.4	-17.76%	0.1917	✓	1.17	17.6M	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.78	6.6087	-2.53%	5.75	-15.19%	0.1509	✓	0.65	645k	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.43	28.676	-2.56%	23.69	-19.50%	0.2184	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.14	5.0051	-2.62%	3.9	-24.12%	0.2694	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.073928	-2.73%	0.076	+0.00%	0.0082	✓	1.08	19k	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.765	2.6888	-2.76%	2.505	-9.40%	0.0870	✓	0.90	29k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.96	183.6632	-2.80%	132.68	-29.78%	0.3461	✓	1.17	161k	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.85	137.8733	-2.80%	111.66	-21.28%	0.2328	✓	1.22	2.2M	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1605	0.15589	-2.87%	0.1482	-7.66%	0.0727	✓	1.23	4.2M	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.86	1.8059	-2.91%	1.719	-7.58%	0.0700	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	141.38	137.2652	-2.91%	124.85	-11.69%	0.1185	✓	1.32	10.9M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.361	0.350484	-2.91%	0.281	-22.16%	0.2341	✓	0.73	39k	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5691	0.552449	-2.93%	0.4615	-18.91%	0.2032	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.814	4.6715	-2.96%	4.61	-4.24%	0.0250	✓	0.65	481k	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01475	0.014307	-3.00%	0.01337	-9.36%	0.0912	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01644	0.015937	-3.06%	0.01369	-16.73%	0.1645	✓	0.70	27k	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	4.9221	-3.11%	5.23	+2.95%	0.0400	✗	1.15	3.3M	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.273	1.2333	-3.12%	1.029	-19.17%	0.2052	✓	1.34	2.9M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2062	0.199758	-3.12%	0.1806	-12.42%	0.1132	✓	0.69	428k	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.78	14.3113	-3.17%	18.01	+21.85%	0.2179	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	260.77	252.4203	-3.20%	179.15	-31.30%	0.3638	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1778	0.171939	-3.30%	0.1649	-7.26%	0.0582	✓	0.91	463k	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4129	6.2007	-3.31%	6.9043	+7.66%	0.0923	✗	0.85	3.7M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.378	18.7361	-3.31%	20.473	+5.65%	0.0597	✗	1.61	13.0M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.221	7.9483	-3.32%	6.466	-21.35%	0.2183	✓	0.66	221k	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	193.01	186.5791	-3.33%	179.36	-7.07%	0.0580	✓	1.03	3.0M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.328	5.1498	-3.34%	5.0692	-4.86%	0.0373	✓	1.20	446k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.2	3.0923	-3.37%	2.7	-15.62%	0.1533	✓	0.98	977k	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.1768	4.0334	-3.43%	3.5527	-14.94%	0.1500	✓	1.28	4.2M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07076	0.068317	-3.45%	0.0397	-43.89%	0.5648	✓	1.22	16.9M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5799	0.559794	-3.47%	0.5118	-11.74%	0.1140	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.98	15.4235	-3.48%	11.41	-28.60%	0.3247	✓	1.30	13.1M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.1	7.8135	-3.54%	6.84	-15.56%	0.1469	✓	0.77	741k	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	56.11	54.1113	-3.56%	45.02	-19.76%	0.2108	✓	1.49	736k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029265	0.028218	-3.58%	0.023319	-20.32%	0.2092	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.73	9.3801	-3.60%	7.67	-21.17%	0.2003	✓	-0.06	1.6M	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5924	1.535	-3.61%	1.2595	-20.91%	0.2133	✓	0.86	610k	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9389	0.905039	-3.61%	0.6635	-29.33%	0.3265	✓	0.89	3.1M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3101	0.298903	-3.61%	0.2774	-10.54%	0.0973	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.718632	0.692665	-3.61%	0.677039	-5.79%	0.0433	✓	1.14	2.6M	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.818	3.6776	-3.68%	3.241	-15.11%	0.1389	✓	0.70	526k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4915	1.4362	-3.71%	1.0404	-30.24%	0.3566	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.094	6.8197	-3.87%	7.756	+9.33%	0.1056	✗	1.29	271k	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2365	1.1885	-3.88%	1.2095	-2.18%	0.0008	✓	1.02	3.3M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.01	7.6944	-3.94%	5.69	-28.96%	0.3178	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2641	0.253655	-3.96%	0.2242	-15.11%	0.1472	✓	1.32	4.6M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.382	4.2064	-4.01%	3.584	-18.21%	0.1743	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3363	0.322445	-4.12%	0.3093	-8.03%	0.0686	✓	1.50	3.8M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.65	8.2903	-4.16%	6.28	-27.40%	0.2948	✓	0.95	4.4M	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.263177	0.252194	-4.17%	0.23172	-11.95%	0.1030	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0548	1.0104	-4.20%	0.88264	-16.32%	0.1672	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1752	3.9971	-4.27%	4.1273	-1.15%	0.0078	✓	1.35	4.6M	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002762	0.000026377	-4.50%	0.00003081	+11.55%	0.1330	✗	1.24	1.7M	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	165.565	158.1079	-4.50%	94.3677	-43.00%	0.5363	✓	1.13	540k	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064925	0.061966	-4.56%	0.050395	-22.38%	0.2288	✓	1.23	7.3M	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1025	2.004	-4.69%	1.8836	-10.42%	0.0820	✓	1.12	83k	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6511	0.620197	-4.75%	0.6038	-7.26%	0.0493	✓	1.25	4.4M	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9312	2.7904	-4.80%	3.1401	+7.13%	0.1001	✗	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.141	1.0856	-4.85%	0.9488	-16.84%	0.1523	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09134	0.086902	-4.86%	0.0828	-9.35%	0.0609	✓	0.70	52k	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17303	0.164448	-4.96%	0.2098	+21.25%	0.2155	✗	1.56	5,360	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.6	25.2698	-5.00%	17.51	-34.17%	0.3881	✓	1.19	70.9M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1857	3.0252	-5.04%	3.654	+14.70%	0.1672	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.45	32.7078	-5.06%	21.59	-37.33%	0.4404	✓	1.39	29.9M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.025	0.972386	-5.13%	0.7205	-29.71%	0.3248	✓	1.39	1.6M	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.516	0.48922	-5.19%	0.408	-20.93%	0.2047	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.45	3.2684	-5.26%	2.76	-20.00%	0.1880	✓	1.05	715k	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3228	0.305762	-5.28%	0.3045	-5.67%	0.0221	✓	1.00	397k	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.96	0.909139	-5.30%	1	+4.17%	0.0641	✗	1.73	1.6M	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.54	3.3481	-5.42%	4.48	+26.55%	0.2790	✗	0.68	486k	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.93	2.7614	-5.75%	2.07	-29.35%	0.3096	✓	1.19	3.2M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.19	9.5882	-5.91%	10.6	+4.02%	0.0869	✗	0.75	994k	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3709	1.2892	-5.96%	1.874	+36.70%	0.3585	✗	0.87	922k	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.3925	-6.03%	2.59	-28.25%	0.2943	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.99	6.5604	-6.15%	4.41	-36.91%	0.4206	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.311	2.1689	-6.15%	1.987	-14.02%	0.1071	✓	1.09	1.9M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8424	3.6024	-6.25%	3.5386	-7.91%	0.0314	✓	0.75	3,116	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,768.96	30,712.14	-6.28%	24,454.91	-25.37%	0.2393	✓	0.64	26.4M	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4467	1.3553	-6.32%	0.9822	-32.11%	0.3427	✓	1.15	32.1M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.077	0.072134	-6.32%	0.0744	-3.38%	0.0130	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.66	83.6904	-6.66%	91.18	+1.70%	0.0649	✓	1.16	115.7M	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8921	0.832387	-6.69%	1.3202	+47.99%	0.4465	✗	0.82	122k	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.67	9.0102	-6.82%	6.43	-33.51%	0.3497	✓	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.57	68.2302	-7.26%	52.32	-28.88%	0.2835	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.61	4.274	-7.29%	3.2	-30.59%	0.3147	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.23	10.371	-7.65%	8.52	-24.13%	0.1989	✓	0.13	2.8M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.84	33.9559	-7.83%	33.86	-8.09%	0.0323	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01458	0.013433	-7.87%	0.00696	-52.26%	0.6999	✓	2.36	26.8M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3102	1.2036	-8.14%	1.1096	-15.31%	0.1062	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.57	3.2733	-8.31%	2.07	-42.02%	0.4809	✓	1.26	9.3M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6261	0.570191	-8.93%	0.5753	-8.11%	0.0172	✓	1.45	736k	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.203	10.1005	-9.84%	8.495	-24.17%	0.1743	✓	0.07	56k	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.766	3.3843	-10.14%	2.821	-25.09%	0.2144	✓	1.80	1.2M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.71	34.6427	-10.51%	29.1	-24.83%	0.1908	✓	0.92	65.3M	2022-02-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6826	0.607569	-10.99%	0.5138	-24.73%	0.1997	✓	1.79	38.7M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.086423	0.075773	-12.32%	0.035501	-58.92%	0.7761	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.