2022-01-09 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0564

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.41%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

93.5%

in alpha space · 95.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.13%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.84	7.8284	-0.15%	7.57	-3.44%	0.0328	✓	0.60	760k	2022-01-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.98	27.936	-0.16%	25.38	-9.29%	0.0937	✓	1.84	5.4M	2022-01-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.0474	1.0456	-0.17%	0.9491	-9.39%	0.0956	✓	0.94	3.4M	2022-01-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.36	1.3576	-0.18%	1.327	-2.43%	0.0211	✓	1.33	5.2M	2022-01-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.15	2.1458	-0.19%	2.07	-3.72%	0.0347	✓	1.04	3.5M	2022-01-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.813	6.7995	-0.20%	6.4	-6.06%	0.0590	✓	1.22	271k	2022-01-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1707	1.1683	-0.20%	1.1235	-4.03%	0.0378	✓	1.07	95.6M	2022-01-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	376.94	376.1667	-0.21%	363.56	-3.55%	0.0328	✓	1.00	8.5M	2022-01-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.89	71.7378	-0.21%	68.4	-4.85%	0.0463	✓	1.04	6.3M	2022-01-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066121	0.065978	-0.22%	0.063485	-3.99%	0.0373	✓	0.94	552k	2022-01-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.9	20.8542	-0.22%	20.09	-3.88%	0.0364	✓	0.73	1.2M	2022-01-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.6651	7.6479	-0.22%	7.2356	-5.60%	0.0537	✓	1.36	263k	2022-01-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018973	0.018929	-0.23%	0.018158	-4.30%	0.0400	✓	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.759	7.7408	-0.24%	7.507	-3.25%	0.0298	✓	0.67	231k	2022-01-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.74	29.6675	-0.24%	28.48	-4.24%	0.0396	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.18	30.1063	-0.24%	28.14	-6.76%	0.0662	✓	1.04	20.1M	2022-01-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.261	1.2578	-0.25%	1.188	-5.79%	0.0555	✓	1.32	3.1M	2022-01-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	140.83	140.4769	-0.25%	135.89	-3.51%	0.0319	✓	1.02	198.8M	2022-01-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009617	0.000095926	-0.25%	0.00009039	-6.01%	0.0582	✓	0.99	6.7M	2022-01-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1126	0.112312	-0.26%	0.108	-4.09%	0.0378	✓	1.11	280k	2022-01-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0073	2.9995	-0.26%	2.8841	-4.10%	0.0379	✓	1.08	699k	2022-01-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	170.38	169.9328	-0.26%	166.33	-2.38%	0.0203	✓	0.93	7.6M	2022-01-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0832	0.082979	-0.27%	0.0794	-4.57%	0.0423	✓	1.38	1.1M	2022-01-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.018	4.0073	-0.27%	3.8683	-3.73%	0.0337	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10346	0.103183	-0.27%	0.09834	-4.95%	0.0467	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		108.94	108.645	-0.27%	105.99	-2.71%	0.0236	✓	0.93	2.6M	2022-01-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1838	0.183302	-0.27%	0.1815	-1.25%	0.0091	✓	0.65	428k	2022-01-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.49	4.4775	-0.28%	4.32	-3.79%	0.0341	✓	1.37	30.4M	2022-01-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1698	0.169326	-0.28%	0.1582	-6.83%	0.0665	✓	1.20	4.3M	2022-01-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04947	0.049331	-0.28%	0.0467	-5.60%	0.0535	✓	1.08	16k	2022-01-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	130.91	130.5421	-0.28%	126.52	-3.35%	0.0296	✓	1.33	35.1M	2022-01-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.065	1.062	-0.28%	1.031	-3.19%	0.0284	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,151.66	3,142.63	-0.29%	3,083.51	-2.16%	0.0177	✓	1.03	591.9M	2022-01-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	160.3372	159.87	-0.29%	155.6792	-2.91%	0.0253	✓	0.98	540k	2022-01-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.749	0.74677	-0.30%	0.704	-6.01%	0.0572	✓	1.40	7.6M	2022-01-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.09	14.048	-0.30%	13.18	-6.46%	0.0624	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-01-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.823	2.8146	-0.30%	2.704	-4.22%	0.0381	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-01-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.724063	0.721872	-0.30%	0.689086	-4.83%	0.0451	✓	1.09	2.6M	2022-01-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0347	1.0315	-0.31%	0.99938	-3.41%	0.0295	✓	1.74	1.0M	2022-01-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5841	0.582304	-0.31%	0.5425	-7.12%	0.0693	✓	1.20	12.2M	2022-01-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.01403	0.013987	-0.31%	0.01312	-6.49%	0.0625	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.150483	0.15001	-0.31%	0.143133	-4.88%	0.0456	✓	1.08	4.7M	2022-01-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0428	0.042665	-0.32%	0.04207	-1.71%	0.0129	✓	0.89	8.0M	2022-01-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	193.57	192.956	-0.32%	182.25	-5.85%	0.0557	✓	1.13	195k	2022-01-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.59	9.5593	-0.32%	8.92	-6.99%	0.0684	✓	0.66	1.1M	2022-01-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.56	8.5324	-0.32%	7.85	-8.29%	0.0822	✓	0.90	1.1M	2022-01-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01348	0.013436	-0.32%	0.01297	-3.78%	0.0341	✓	0.97	756k	2022-01-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.94	29.842	-0.33%	28.01	-6.45%	0.0615	✓	1.46	1.0M	2022-01-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.359	0.357818	-0.33%	0.343	-4.46%	0.0414	✓	0.71	38k	2022-01-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.27	14.2227	-0.33%	14.26	-0.07%	0.0034	✗	0.65	1.1M	2022-01-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01643	0.016375	-0.33%	0.0154	-6.27%	0.0606	✓	0.61	29k	2022-01-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.63	24.5481	-0.33%	23.72	-3.69%	0.0327	✓	1.27	71.0M	2022-01-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.015369	-0.33%	0.01401	-9.14%	0.0910	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	37.15	37.0261	-0.33%	38.11	+2.58%	0.0302	✗	1.04	19.4M	2022-01-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.55	6.528	-0.34%	6.41	-2.14%	0.0175	✓	0.63	674k	2022-01-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5581	1.5528	-0.34%	1.5156	-2.73%	0.0232	✓	0.86	647k	2022-01-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061591	-0.34%	0.0556	-10.03%	0.1006	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-01-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.07	27.9743	-0.34%	27.36	-2.53%	0.0214	✓	0.66	370k	2022-01-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.5757	1.5703	-0.34%	1.468	-6.84%	0.0650	✓	1.90	1.3M	2022-01-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3161	0.315011	-0.34%	0.299	-5.41%	0.0506	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.261	0.260093	-0.35%	0.251	-3.83%	0.0340	✓	1.30	4.5M	2022-01-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,876.52	41,729.77	-0.35%	41,824.07	-0.13%	0.0035	✗	1.00	696.0M	2022-01-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.075	0.074737	-0.35%	0.0707	-5.73%	0.0542	✓	1.03	16k	2022-01-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	246.6	245.7341	-0.35%	242.17	-1.80%	0.0132	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-01-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.16	3.1489	-0.35%	3.13	-0.95%	0.0048	✓	0.96	949k	2022-01-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.617	4.6007	-0.35%	4.513	-2.25%	0.0185	✓	0.62	481k	2022-01-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3537	5.3345	-0.36%	5.1021	-4.70%	0.0431	✓	1.13	446k	2022-01-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	209.53	208.7769	-0.36%	199.9	-4.60%	0.0421	✓	1.12	17.6M	2022-01-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1152	0.114782	-0.36%	0.1116	-3.12%	0.0269	✓	1.01	67k	2022-01-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.81	7.7817	-0.36%	7.61	-2.56%	0.0214	✓	0.73	741k	2022-01-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09282	0.092476	-0.37%	0.08602	-7.33%	0.0715	✓	0.69	48k	2022-01-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,503.10	42,342.90	-0.38%	41,624.60	-2.07%	0.0159	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1759	0.175226	-0.38%	0.1739	-1.14%	0.0065	✓	0.89	484k	2022-01-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.526	0.523978	-0.38%	0.497	-5.51%	0.0513	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.93	55.7119	-0.39%	53.33	-4.65%	0.0419	✓	1.41	772k	2022-01-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5856	0.583304	-0.39%	0.55	-6.08%	0.0571	✓	1.34	2.7M	2022-01-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.2164	4.1998	-0.39%	4.0324	-4.36%	0.0390	✓	1.33	4.6M	2022-01-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.87	2.8587	-0.39%	2.73	-4.88%	0.0444	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9806	0.976707	-0.40%	1.0287	+4.91%	0.0536	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.053	2.0449	-0.40%	2.0021	-2.48%	0.0198	✓	1.03	90k	2022-01-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.89	1.8824	-0.40%	1.785	-5.56%	0.0517	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-01-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.0696	-0.40%	4.88	-4.13%	0.0367	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-01-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3333	0.331957	-0.40%	0.3129	-6.12%	0.0573	✓	1.43	3.8M	2022-01-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7652	3.75	-0.40%	3.7419	-0.62%	0.0023	✓	-0.08	364k	2022-01-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0712	1.0669	-0.41%	1.1115	+3.76%	0.0422	✗	0.95	21.2M	2022-01-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.015	0.014939	-0.41%	0.01395	-7.00%	0.0655	✓	2.39	27.1M	2022-01-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.261185	0.260112	-0.41%	0.253061	-3.11%	0.0262	✓	1.01	24.0M	2022-01-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0897	0.089323	-0.42%	0.0772	-13.94%	0.1446	✓	1.00	30.6M	2022-01-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8039	3.7879	-0.42%	3.7258	-2.05%	0.0157	✓	0.69	3,820	2022-01-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.46	1.4537	-0.43%	1.34	-8.22%	0.0794	✓	1.65	790k	2022-01-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.072	0.071687	-0.43%	0.06891	-4.29%	0.0380	✓	1.21	18.4M	2022-01-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17635	0.175582	-0.44%	0.17081	-3.14%	0.0256	✓	1.55	4,992	2022-01-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.01	1.0056	-0.44%	0.94	-6.93%	0.0652	✓	1.76	1.6M	2022-01-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4009	1.3947	-0.45%	1.3624	-2.75%	0.0220	✓	1.10	30.5M	2022-01-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.79	15.7193	-0.45%	15.11	-4.31%	0.0379	✓	1.27	13.1M	2022-01-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.34	88.9335	-0.46%	84.46	-5.46%	0.0502	✓	1.09	115.7M	2022-01-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9326	2.9192	-0.46%	2.8409	-3.13%	0.0257	✓	1.16	2.6M	2022-01-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.298	2.2875	-0.46%	2.167	-5.70%	0.0528	✓	1.06	1.8M	2022-01-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	191	190.1249	-0.46%	182.5	-4.45%	0.0397	✓	0.96	2.9M	2022-01-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6473	0.644306	-0.46%	0.6318	-2.39%	0.0181	✓	1.23	4.4M	2022-01-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3344	-0.47%	3.2	-4.48%	0.0399	✓	1.01	715k	2022-01-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2854	6.2558	-0.47%	6.1496	-2.16%	0.0161	✓	0.79	3.5M	2022-01-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3224	0.320878	-0.47%	0.3128	-2.98%	0.0242	✓	1.00	340k	2022-01-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.77	3.7519	-0.48%	3.579	-5.07%	0.0463	✓	0.68	514k	2022-01-10
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6607	0.657503	-0.48%	0.6017	-8.93%	0.0865	✓	1.74	40.0M	2022-01-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8848	0.880517	-0.48%	0.8077	-8.71%	0.0851	✓	1.00	133k	2022-01-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.32	19.2258	-0.49%	19.007	-1.62%	0.0094	✓	1.61	13.0M	2022-01-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.87	2.8558	-0.49%	2.717	-5.33%	0.0487	✓	0.90	32k	2022-01-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002828	0.00002814	-0.50%	0.0000267	-5.59%	0.0510	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029296	0.029151	-0.50%	0.027645	-5.64%	0.0517	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3331	1.3264	-0.50%	1.2679	-4.89%	0.0434	✓	1.37	4.5M	2022-01-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2503	1.244	-0.51%	1.1319	-9.47%	0.0932	✓	1.01	3.3M	2022-01-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.85	9.7993	-0.51%	9.84	-0.10%	0.0051	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.28	143.5253	-0.52%	141.24	-2.11%	0.0145	✓	1.26	10.6M	2022-01-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.93	6.8917	-0.55%	6.56	-5.34%	0.0477	✓	1.28	18.2M	2022-01-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.282	4.2577	-0.57%	4.203	-1.84%	0.0120	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.301	11.2368	-0.57%	10.645	-5.80%	0.0540	✓	0.09	61k	2022-01-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.98	8.9284	-0.57%	8.37	-6.79%	0.0634	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9369	2.92	-0.58%	2.818	-4.05%	0.0343	✓	1.00	5.5M	2022-01-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.82	3.798	-0.58%	3.57	-6.54%	0.0610	✓	0.70	646k	2022-01-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.32	5.2891	-0.58%	5.04	-5.26%	0.0469	✓	1.08	2.1M	2022-01-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.01	9.9505	-0.59%	9.5	-5.09%	0.0464	✓	-0.06	1.8M	2022-01-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.65	3.6282	-0.60%	3.48	-4.66%	0.0401	✓	1.25	9.8M	2022-01-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,662.92	32,466.40	-0.60%	32,010.24	-2.00%	0.0133	✓	0.65	25.2M	2022-01-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.76	3.7353	-0.66%	3.79	+0.80%	0.0163	✗	1.43	2.4M	2022-01-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.38	11.3042	-0.67%	10.7	-5.98%	0.0547	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-01-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	37.02	36.772	-0.67%	33.37	-9.86%	0.0950	✓	1.63	2.8M	2022-01-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	74.48	73.9405	-0.72%	69.46	-6.74%	0.0613	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08615	0.085525	-0.73%	0.07934	-7.90%	0.0733	✓	1.44	2.5M	2022-01-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.064749	0.064277	-0.73%	0.081082	+25.23%	0.2339	✗	1.27	7.1M	2022-01-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.99	34.718	-0.78%	37.83	+8.12%	0.0870	✗	0.91	49.1M	2022-01-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1676	0.166043	-0.93%	0.1409	-15.93%	0.1626	✓	1.25	2.1M	2022-01-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	153.16	151.6778	-0.97%	148.17	-3.26%	0.0219	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-01-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	27.54	27.2546	-1.04%	27.98	+1.60%	0.0277	✗	1.15	69.2M	2022-01-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4847	1.469	-1.06%	1.3749	-7.40%	0.0651	✓	0.87	922k	2022-01-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.68	3.6411	-1.06%	3.13	-14.95%	0.1496	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	36.14	35.7313	-1.13%	34.29	-5.12%	0.0394	✓	1.39	25.8M	2022-01-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.098665	0.096658	-2.03%	0.08637	-12.46%	0.1113	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6539	0.634505	-2.97%	0.6249	-4.43%	0.0134	✓	1.48	650k	2022-01-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.