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2022-01-07 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1595
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.1%
in alpha space · 87.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.34131.1336-0.16%127.68-2.79%0.0540✓1.3536.7M2022-02-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.182.1749-0.23%1.86-14.68%0.1782✓1.083.6M2022-02-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,663.1041,532.63-0.31%41,902.90+0.58%0.0110✓0.9810k2022-02-06
TRXTRONTron0.0681280.067881-0.36%0.066256-2.75%0.0435✓0.95589k2022-02-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.4273.0442-0.51%68.32-6.95%0.0878✓1.046.3M2022-02-06
FTTFTXEthereum35.5135.2092-0.85%46.65+31.37%0.2595✗1.0820.0M2022-02-06
NANOnanopayBase3.09093.0635-0.89%2.2381-27.59%0.3362✓1.10715k2022-02-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.102206-1.21%0.10107-2.31%0.0340✓1.1324k2022-02-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,565.1841,056.31-1.22%42,415.16+2.04%0.0123✗1.00748.4M2022-02-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,198.823,157.12-1.30%3,058.22-4.40%0.0533✓1.06619.8M2022-02-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.5706-1.32%27.86-0.29%0.0036✓0.69385k2022-02-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.43379.5611-1.52%324.8-15.73%0.1764✓1.029.0M2022-02-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.188.0431-1.67%6.5-20.54%0.2254✓0.61801k2022-02-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.832.7801-1.76%2.18-22.97%0.2699✓1.323.2M2022-02-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin31.5330.9346-1.89%22.46-28.77%0.3415✓1.0522.1M2022-02-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57143.5025-1.93%5.0878+42.46%0.3751✗-0.08364k2022-02-06
SOLSolanaSolana136.37133.7149-1.95%115.32-15.44%0.1705✓1.11203.4M2022-02-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.4771-2.02%15.56-25.55%0.2957✓1.041.2M2022-02-06
SCSiacoinnative0.013580.0133-2.06%0.0116-14.58%0.1566✓0.98777k2022-02-06
XYMSymbolnative0.18050.176754-2.08%0.1904+5.48%0.0613✗0.65428k2022-02-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078950.077293-2.10%0.05974-24.33%0.2867✓1.442.5M2022-02-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0196250.019212-2.11%0.016835-14.22%0.1568✓1.222.5M2022-02-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0541.0303-2.25%0.816-22.58%0.2525✓0.962.3M2022-02-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.4529.7439-2.32%29.89-1.84%0.0162✓1.043.4M2022-02-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049460.048293-2.36%0.04503-8.96%0.0928✓1.1316k2022-02-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.72107.1212-2.37%98.65-10.09%0.1016✓0.952.8M2022-02-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.8824.29-2.37%21.91-11.94%0.1295✓1.3071.0M2022-02-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08550.083446-2.40%0.0712-16.73%0.1866✓1.381.2M2022-02-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.4803-2.40%5.46-17.77%0.1842✓0.64713k2022-02-06
AAVEAaveEthereum211.6206.4503-2.43%173.57-17.97%0.1970✓1.1616.2M2022-02-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.15430.150431-2.51%0.129-16.40%0.1785✓1.232.1M2022-02-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.074092-2.51%0.0768+1.05%0.0143✓1.0716k2022-02-06
QTUMQtumQtum7.86797.6697-2.52%7.1257-9.43%0.1025✓1.43268k2022-02-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11110.10826-2.56%0.0894-19.53%0.2138✓1.11304k2022-02-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1548350.150872-2.56%0.1538-0.67%0.0030✓1.104.6M2022-02-06
ADACardanoCardano1.20931.1774-2.64%1.1436-5.43%0.0514✓1.1097.2M2022-02-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5061.466-2.66%1.489-1.13%0.0120✓1.365.3M2022-02-06
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.549-2.67%8.91-35.99%0.4422✓1.143.5M2022-02-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum30.0129.1982-2.71%20.86-30.49%0.3738✓1.855.4M2022-02-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.6612.5864-2.80%2.583-2.93%0.0195✓0.9034k2022-02-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5974.4664-2.84%4.533-1.39%0.0020✓0.63489k2022-02-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.043490.042253-2.84%0.03208-26.24%0.2941✓0.928.2M2022-02-06
QNTQuantEthereum177.7172.5692-2.89%135.95-23.49%0.2578✓0.957.9M2022-02-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.9730.0713-2.90%24.65-20.41%0.2297✓1.531.1M2022-02-06
XVGVergenative0.014540.014115-2.92%0.01152-20.77%0.2277✓1.212.1M2022-02-06
XECeCashnative0.000098550.00009566-2.93%0.00008613-12.60%0.1252✓1.006.9M2022-02-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.268.985-2.97%7.25-21.71%0.2131✓-0.071.8M2022-02-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1837.9383-2.99%6.279-23.27%0.2476✓0.65251k2022-02-06
COMPCompoundEthereum192.9186.9016-3.11%140.8-27.01%0.3068✓1.16195k2022-02-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5018-3.11%1.22-21.29%0.2420✓1.69862k2022-02-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.229-3.17%5.81+7.59%0.0819✗1.163.3M2022-02-06
XEMNEMnative0.11660.112865-3.20%0.1121-3.86%0.0280✓1.0589k2022-02-06
KSMKusamaHydration250.4242.3371-3.22%195.98-21.73%0.2357✓1.151.3M2022-02-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3061.2636-3.25%1.016-22.21%0.2451✓1.333.3M2022-02-06
BANDBandEthereum5.275.0986-3.25%3.97-24.67%0.2727✓1.112.1M2022-02-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01690.016335-3.34%0.01348-20.24%0.2060✓0.6930k2022-02-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8571.7945-3.37%1.778-4.25%0.0324✓1.152.4M2022-02-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17630.170172-3.48%0.154-12.65%0.1184✓0.91490k2022-02-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.773838-3.51%0.556-30.67%0.3598✓1.448.1M2022-02-06
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7515.1937-3.53%11.7-25.71%0.2875✓1.2913.8M2022-02-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06690.064482-3.61%0.0353-47.23%0.6300✓1.361.5M2022-02-06
GTGateEthereum6.17375.9503-3.62%7.1624+16.01%0.1684✗0.843.9M2022-02-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1730.166722-3.63%0.131-24.28%0.2662✓1.244.6M2022-02-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19284.0395-3.66%3.4089-18.70%0.1953✓1.264.5M2022-02-06
XMRMoneroMonero194.72187.5658-3.67%173.8-10.74%0.0970✓1.033.0M2022-02-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3690.355439-3.68%0.27-26.83%0.2896✓0.7239k2022-02-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015620.01504-3.71%0.0126-19.33%0.2034✓1.302.2M2022-02-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.1918.4628-3.79%20.001+4.23%0.0471✗1.6313.6M2022-02-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.56361.5043-3.79%1.3479-13.80%0.1272✓0.86663k2022-02-06
DASHDashDash134.68129.5719-3.79%108.83-19.19%0.1995✓1.241.9M2022-02-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.112.9895-3.88%2.73-12.22%0.1107✓0.98995k2022-02-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.08821.0453-3.94%0.5826-46.46%0.6031✓0.913.8M2022-02-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9896.7136-3.94%7.292+4.34%0.0571✗1.26315k2022-02-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1273.9642-3.94%3.637-11.87%0.1020✓0.78942k2022-02-06
ZECZcashZcash139.74134.2119-3.96%124.6-10.83%0.1013✓1.339.6M2022-02-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593080.056953-3.97%0.039748-32.98%0.3860✓1.307.3M2022-02-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.037.7047-4.05%6.64-17.31%0.1641✓0.76771k2022-02-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59360.56949-4.06%0.473-20.32%0.2120✓1.3011.8M2022-02-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.26221.2096-4.17%1.197-5.17%0.0310✓1.013.5M2022-02-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31920.305788-4.20%0.2607-18.33%0.1851✓1.262.6M2022-02-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.49475.2625-4.23%5.1636-6.03%0.0432✓1.20480k2022-02-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.26380.252649-4.23%0.232-12.05%0.1120✓1.324.6M2022-02-06
ZENHorizenBase55.5753.2172-4.23%47.49-14.54%0.1441✓1.49805k2022-02-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07490.071728-4.24%0.0408-45.53%0.5892✓1.2420.3M2022-02-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0295570.028296-4.26%0.02203-25.47%0.2711✓1.026.8M2022-02-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.2228.928-4.28%23.36-22.70%0.2419✓1.3924.4M2022-02-06
MOVRMoonriverBase163.2907156.2018-4.34%91.4575-43.99%0.5578✓1.11574k2022-02-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8113.6454-4.34%3.261-14.43%0.1252✓0.68483k2022-02-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02722.895-4.37%3.2472+7.27%0.0913✗1.162.7M2022-02-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0914.4239-4.41%16.28+7.89%0.1076✗0.671.1M2022-02-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7525580.719295-4.42%0.659906-12.31%0.1093✓1.142.8M2022-02-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.33780.322458-4.54%0.311-7.93%0.0665✓1.503.4M2022-02-06
XTZTezosTezos4.25644.0589-4.64%3.9256-7.77%0.0608✓1.354.9M2022-02-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11441.0625-4.65%0.9592-13.93%0.1222✓0.9822.3M2022-02-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.59990.571938-4.66%0.5074-15.42%0.1472✓1.362.8M2022-02-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2570210.244543-4.85%0.223926-12.88%0.1087✓1.0224.9M2022-02-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.07121.0188-4.90%0.94262-12.01%0.1139✓1.791.1M2022-02-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00670.955004-5.14%0.7752-23.00%0.2370✓1.401.7M2022-02-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.13922.0272-5.23%1.8521-13.42%0.1129✓1.1194k2022-02-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.363.1765-5.46%3.04-9.52%0.0650✓1.04715k2022-02-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028950.000027366-5.47%0.0000285-1.55%0.0153✓1.251.7M2022-02-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.6681.5755-5.55%1.1222-32.72%0.3785✓1.941.4M2022-02-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6380.602598-5.55%0.5976-6.33%0.0337✓1.254.5M2022-02-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8892.7284-5.56%2.784-3.63%0.0114✓1.561.4M2022-02-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09420.088874-5.65%0.08812-6.45%0.0225✓0.6955k2022-02-06
RADRadworksEthereum8.98.3965-5.66%5.79-34.94%0.3899✓0.901.2M2022-02-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.172550.162646-5.74%0.23556+36.52%0.3386✗1.575,9572022-02-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.072.8912-5.82%2.33-24.10%0.2360✓1.003.2M2022-02-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.176.7493-5.87%4.81-32.91%0.3651✓1.3018.2M2022-02-06
IMXImmutableEthereum3.773.548-5.89%2.82-25.20%0.2499✓1.002.5M2022-02-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.90993.6794-5.89%3.4668-11.33%0.0747✓0.758,5232022-02-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.9724.418-5.98%18.06-30.46%0.3261✓1.2169.2M2022-02-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum10.940118-5.99%0.83-17.00%0.1601✓1.761.9M2022-02-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.5484-6.38%3.63-4.22%0.0025✓1.00929k2022-02-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5460.511149-6.38%0.367-32.78%0.3575✓1.302.2M2022-02-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.7981.1697-6.48%79.05-8.92%0.0498✓1.15119.5M2022-02-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.418.798-6.50%6.44-31.56%0.3314✓0.964.1M2022-02-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3442.189-6.61%2.063-11.99%0.0812✓1.081.9M2022-02-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.4451.3494-6.62%1.0259-29.00%0.2972✓1.1530.5M2022-02-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33090.30888-6.65%0.3194-3.48%0.0131✓1.01293k2022-02-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.3377-6.72%10.26+2.50%0.0792✗0.741.2M2022-02-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51620.481197-6.78%0.6191+19.93%0.2232✗1.42650k2022-02-06
MANADecentralandEthereum3.052.8384-6.94%3.3003+8.21%0.1303✗1.015.6M2022-02-06
LUNATerraTerra 268.6963.7136-7.24%56.13-18.29%0.1470✓1.007.4M2022-02-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum54.6365-7.27%3.39-32.20%0.3418✓1.4230.4M2022-02-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015090.013966-7.45%0.007-53.61%0.7393✓2.4029.0M2022-02-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.92150.852337-7.51%1.1073+20.16%0.2415✗1.00141k2022-02-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10040.092627-7.74%0.0929-7.47%0.0173✓1.0034.7M2022-02-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.159.3576-7.81%6.91-31.92%0.3168✓0.671.2M2022-02-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,821.0832,828.51-8.35%24,634.41-31.23%0.3003✓0.6521.5M2022-02-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.1211.0664-8.69%8.58-29.21%0.2569✓0.123.0M2022-02-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0233.7374-8.87%31.33-15.37%0.1071✓1.642.8M2022-02-06
HIVEHivenative1.36121.2402-8.89%1.2177-10.54%0.0466✓1.405.0M2022-02-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.69830.631213-9.61%0.5305-24.03%0.2099✓1.7835.9M2022-02-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.2695-9.68%2.17-40.06%0.4348✓1.2310.6M2022-02-06
GITCOINGITCOIN12.09810.8415-10.39%8.466-30.02%0.2486✓0.0674k2022-02-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.5434.2112-11.23%31.31-18.76%0.1074✓0.9343.4M2022-02-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.051.7341-15.41%2.076+1.27%0.1614✓0.92922k2022-02-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.