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2022-01-06 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2441
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.1%
in alpha space · 92.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.9135.5611-0.25%121.8-10.38%0.0533✓1.3536.7M2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.0710750.070786-0.41%0.064762-8.88%0.0512✓0.95589k2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.352.3397-0.44%1.79-23.83%0.2255✓1.063.7M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,220.9042,991.98-0.53%41,460.80-4.07%0.0027✓0.9810k2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107790.106721-0.99%0.10107-6.23%0.0097✓1.1226k2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.218.1185-1.11%6.46-21.32%0.2038✓0.62811k2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase3.36643.3263-1.19%2.1933-34.85%0.3735✓1.08754k2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum79.0278.0294-1.25%56.8-28.12%0.2769✓1.026.3M2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,083.7642,470.23-1.42%41,404.85-3.90%0.0143✗1.00743.8M2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash400.02394.1758-1.46%320.74-19.82%0.1657✓1.029.0M2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.3528.9166-1.48%28.35-3.41%0.0075✓0.69385k2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin32.9832.4352-1.65%21.97-33.38%0.3477✓1.0522.1M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,406.033,347.62-1.71%3,014.50-11.50%0.0632✓1.05619.8M2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV111.16109.1727-1.79%96.73-12.98%0.0829✓0.962.8M2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum38.6437.928-1.84%46.16+19.46%0.2387✗1.0620.0M2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080650.079025-2.01%0.05888-26.99%0.2367✓1.452.7M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.012.9472-2.09%2.17-27.91%0.2538✓1.323.0M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.776.628-2.10%5.47-19.20%0.1666✓0.64743k2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.19190.187647-2.22%0.1855-3.34%0.0136✓0.63428k2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.6730.9482-2.28%29.42-7.10%0.0091✓1.043.4M2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0209680.020486-2.30%0.016433-21.63%0.1722✓1.212.5M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.773.6823-2.33%4.7941+27.16%0.2595✗-0.11364k2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana150.23146.685-2.36%113.8-24.25%0.2107✓1.09203.4M2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5371.4995-2.44%1.519-1.17%0.0675✗1.375.5M2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum178.46174.0583-2.47%132.93-25.51%0.2311✓0.977.9M2022-02-05
DASHDashDash124.32121.1886-2.52%103.6-16.67%0.1057✓1.291.9M2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1600070.155962-2.53%0.147026-8.11%0.0153✓1.104.6M2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum220.94215.1953-2.60%166.2-24.78%0.2123✓1.1616.0M2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052120.050747-2.64%0.04465-14.33%0.0833✓1.1216k2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08020.078078-2.65%0.0763-4.86%0.0192✓1.0616k2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7125.9975-2.67%21.35-20.07%0.1455✓1.2971.0M2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum14.5314.1404-2.68%8.67-40.33%0.4439✓1.143.5M2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.5521.9196-2.80%15.3-32.15%0.3187✓1.031.2M2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8054.6699-2.81%4.51-6.14%0.0099✓0.63498k2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.01450.014091-2.82%0.01154-20.41%0.1613✓0.97777k2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum204.52198.5973-2.90%136.68-33.17%0.3276✓1.16199k2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.36218.1147-2.96%6.9281-17.15%0.1015✓1.42268k2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1631.1282-2.99%0.778-33.10%0.3346✓0.932.3M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.27941.2409-3.01%1.1255-12.03%0.0541✓1.0997.2M2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000103440.000100287-3.05%0.0000839-18.89%0.1388✓1.007.0M2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.1632.1358-3.09%22.45-32.30%0.2983✓1.521.1M2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.8162.7279-3.13%2.562-9.02%0.0275✓0.8936k2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.16620.160934-3.17%0.1181-28.94%0.2610✓1.222.0M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09230.089373-3.17%0.069-25.24%0.2043✓1.371.4M2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.015760.015242-3.28%0.01122-28.81%0.2588✓1.202.1M2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18120.175221-3.30%0.1551-14.40%0.0855✓0.92490k2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.5088.2255-3.32%6.059-28.78%0.2803✓0.64272k2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.12320.119069-3.35%0.1129-8.36%0.0118✓1.04111k2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.8220.794101-3.39%0.533-35.16%0.3408✓1.468.1M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.0460.044431-3.41%0.03104-32.52%0.3225✓0.918.2M2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash137.22132.4501-3.48%116.08-15.41%0.0780✓1.368.6M2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0261.9546-3.53%1.761-13.08%0.0594✓1.132.5M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum6.27766.0542-3.56%7.0234+11.88%0.1821✗0.843.9M2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3860.372109-3.60%0.265-31.35%0.3109✓0.7239k2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.513.9714-3.65%15.87+9.45%0.1549✗0.691.1M2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12150.117066-3.65%0.0869-28.48%0.2548✓1.09304k2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.421.3677-3.68%0.976-31.27%0.2850✓1.323.4M2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration269.76259.5246-3.79%185.88-31.09%0.2884✓1.141.3M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.965.7321-3.82%5.76-3.36%0.0499✗1.133.3M2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.157.837-3.84%6.52-20.00%0.1535✓0.77771k2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.651.5866-3.84%1.21-26.67%0.2037✓1.69881k2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18710.179896-3.85%0.1293-30.89%0.2814✓1.234.6M2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero205.35197.4018-3.87%168.71-17.84%0.1165✓1.023.2M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.104-3.90%2.66-17.65%0.1153✓0.98995k2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8763.7226-3.96%3.231-16.64%0.1144✓0.68454k2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018160.017432-4.01%0.01353-25.50%0.2269✓0.6730k2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum17.0616.3633-4.08%11.27-33.94%0.3221✓1.2814.1M2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076780.073635-4.10%0.0405-47.25%0.5485✓1.2420.3M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.5929.3308-4.12%22.26-27.23%0.2201✓1.4024.4M2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.63885.4042-4.16%5.1203-9.20%0.0061✓1.20480k2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3384.1574-4.16%3.6-17.01%0.1132✓0.771.1M2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.329.8847-4.22%7.24-29.84%0.3160✓-0.121.9M2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4514.2596-4.30%3.3404-24.95%0.1928✓1.274.5M2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.1131.6792-4.32%20.04-39.47%0.3850✓1.835.4M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.64761.5763-4.33%1.3221-19.75%0.1423✓0.84663k2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067029-4.38%0.0368-47.50%0.5455✓1.361.5M2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017060.016309-4.40%0.01113-34.76%0.3309✓1.292.2M2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.63650.607977-4.48%0.4481-29.60%0.2538✓1.2911.8M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum5.835.5667-4.52%3.9-33.10%0.3126✓1.092.1M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0306510.029265-4.52%0.02206-28.03%0.2420✓1.027.0M2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6867.3382-4.53%6.514-15.25%0.0697✓1.25315k2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0621160.05925-4.61%0.040382-34.99%0.3317✓1.307.4M2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.28110.268109-4.62%0.2088-25.72%0.1978✓1.314.6M2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.00212.8628-4.64%3.2266+7.48%0.1672✗1.202.7M2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase57.7955.1085-4.64%45.61-21.08%0.1297✓1.50805k2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7980090.760149-4.74%0.652675-18.21%0.1073✓1.142.8M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.4554.2417-4.79%3.9423-11.51%0.0194✓1.354.9M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3410.324637-4.80%0.2627-22.96%0.1619✓1.252.9M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.26750.254563-4.84%0.213222-20.29%0.1368✓1.0224.9M2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative20.96819.9432-4.89%19.686-6.11%0.0511✗1.6113.6M2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3924.0939-5.10%17.77-30.01%0.2554✓1.2369.2M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.15242.0425-5.11%1.8014-16.31%0.0808✓1.13102k2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63850.605596-5.15%0.5995-6.11%0.0404✓1.274.7M2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.18411.123-5.16%0.9491-19.85%0.1296✓0.9721.2M2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.37080.350509-5.47%0.3102-16.34%0.0634✓1.483.4M2022-02-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.22621.1574-5.61%0.4421-63.95%0.9276✓0.883.9M2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07041.01-5.65%0.7727-27.81%0.2121✓1.401.6M2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64920.612062-5.72%0.4932-24.03%0.1626✓1.342.8M2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum7.457.0129-5.87%4.68-37.18%0.3526✓1.3118.2M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30481.2279-5.89%2.054+57.42%0.5586✗1.11922k2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum9.599.0156-5.99%5.48-42.86%0.4627✓0.881.2M2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase185.613174.4171-6.03%85.8205-53.76%0.6662✓1.08574k2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18021.1085-6.07%0.92529-21.60%0.1104✓1.771.1M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.043.7935-6.10%3.4881-13.66%0.0541✓0.7514k2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030790.000028889-6.17%0.00002254-26.79%0.1989✓1.241.7M2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.40751.3191-6.28%1.1381-19.14%0.1087✓0.983.6M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100880.094444-6.38%0.085-15.74%0.0787✓0.6755k2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.683.4426-6.45%2.9-21.20%0.1311✓1.02626k2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.3585-6.51%10.1+0.90%0.1062✗0.751.2M2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.182170.170258-6.54%0.20531+12.70%0.2496✗1.575,9572022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum4.153.8762-6.60%2.89-30.36%0.2539✓1.002.5M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0642.8603-6.65%2.728-10.97%0.0152✓1.571.5M2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.33460.312124-6.72%0.3148-5.92%0.0489✓1.02293k2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum43.7228-6.93%3.57-10.75%0.0022✓1.00957k2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5910.549651-7.00%0.354-40.10%0.3890✓1.282.2M2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0411-7.05%0.77-31.25%0.2339✓1.701.9M2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.8411.7096-7.14%0.9682-47.41%0.4924✓1.921.4M2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.56311.4495-7.27%1.0021-35.89%0.3243✓1.1330.0M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.493.2312-7.41%2.31-33.81%0.2959✓1.003.2M2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.1488.0529-7.45%77.09-18.97%0.0881✓1.13114.6M2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5530.511498-7.50%0.6186+11.86%0.2464✗1.42650k2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 278.3972.4896-7.53%55.39-29.34%0.2293✓1.007.2M2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum9.769.0102-7.68%6.4-34.43%0.3040✓0.964.1M2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5732.3675-7.99%1.921-25.34%0.1669✓1.061.9M2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.414.9774-8.00%3.42-36.78%0.3196✓1.4029.4M2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10190.093632-8.11%0.1089+6.87%0.1908✗1.0033.0M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95040.87244-8.20%0.9549+0.47%0.1301✗1.00143k2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,933.6932,978.85-8.22%25,186.77-29.91%0.2434✓0.6621.4M2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.99.9641-8.59%6.67-38.81%0.3755✓0.651.2M2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.017050.015486-9.18%0.00674-60.47%0.7385✓2.3529.0M2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.493.1537-9.64%2.21-36.68%0.3034✓1.3110.7M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.111.8091-9.85%8.15-37.79%0.3672✓0.093.5M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.48681.336-10.14%1.166-21.58%0.0813✓1.385.2M2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum3.38723.0393-10.27%3.0145-11.00%0.0306✓0.985.6M2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.77860.694179-10.84%0.5202-33.19%0.2188✓1.7535.9M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.8437.1986-11.09%29.81-28.75%0.1577✓1.602.8M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN13.0911.5763-11.56%8.166-37.62%0.3478✓0.0378k2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.0435.3849-11.63%30.76-23.18%0.1034✓0.9243.4M2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.