2022-01-06 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0005

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.78%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

72.5%

in alpha space · 94.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10779	0.107554	-0.22%	0.10346	-4.02%	0.0015	✓	1.12	26k	2022-01-07
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.21	8.192	-0.22%	8.18	-0.37%	0.0209	✗	0.62	811k	2022-01-07
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	204.52	204.043	-0.23%	192.9	-5.68%	0.0146	✓	1.16	199k	2022-01-07
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1919	0.191409	-0.26%	0.1805	-5.94%	0.0360	✓	0.63	428k	2022-01-07
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		111.16	110.8697	-0.26%	109.72	-1.30%	0.0239	✗	0.96	2.8M	2022-01-07
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.35	2.3437	-0.27%	2.18	-7.23%	0.0342	✓	1.06	3.7M	2022-01-07
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	32.98	32.8905	-0.27%	31.53	-4.40%	0.0045	✓	1.05	22.1M	2022-01-07
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.53	14.4886	-0.29%	13.92	-4.20%	0.0008	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-01-07
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.2262	1.2227	-0.29%	1.0882	-11.25%	0.0851	✓	0.88	3.9M	2022-01-07
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010344	0.000103141	-0.29%	0.00009855	-4.73%	0.0098	✓	1.00	7.0M	2022-01-07
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	400.02	398.8606	-0.29%	385.43	-3.65%	0.0023	✓	1.02	9.0M	2022-01-07
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	79.02	78.7832	-0.30%	73.42	-7.09%	0.0338	✓	1.02	6.3M	2022-01-07
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.071075	0.070862	-0.30%	0.068128	-4.15%	0.0053	✓	0.95	589k	2022-01-07
SOL	Solana	Solana	150.23	149.778	-0.30%	136.37	-9.23%	0.0548	✓	1.09	203.4M	2022-01-07
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	31.5731	-0.31%	30.45	-3.85%	0.0013	✓	1.04	3.4M	2022-01-07
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.537	1.5323	-0.31%	1.506	-2.02%	0.0320	✗	1.37	5.5M	2022-01-07
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	22.55	22.4799	-0.31%	20.9	-7.32%	0.0360	✓	1.03	1.2M	2022-01-07
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.42	1.4155	-0.32%	1.306	-8.03%	0.0332	✓	1.32	3.4M	2022-01-07
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.508	8.4809	-0.32%	8.183	-3.82%	0.0128	✓	0.64	272k	2022-01-07
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.686	7.6612	-0.32%	6.989	-9.07%	0.0472	✓	1.25	315k	2022-01-07
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1871	0.186485	-0.33%	0.173	-7.54%	0.0310	✓	1.23	4.6M	2022-01-07
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,220.90	43,078.40	-0.33%	41,663.10	-3.60%	0.0018	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-07
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020968	0.020899	-0.33%	0.019625	-6.40%	0.0194	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-07
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0923	0.091993	-0.33%	0.0855	-7.37%	0.0241	✓	1.37	1.4M	2022-01-07
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.816	2.8065	-0.34%	2.661	-5.50%	0.0214	✓	0.89	36k	2022-01-07
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08065	0.080373	-0.34%	0.07895	-2.11%	0.0341	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-01-07
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1662	0.165622	-0.35%	0.1543	-7.16%	0.0271	✓	1.22	2.0M	2022-01-07
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.3664	3.3546	-0.35%	3.0909	-8.18%	0.0430	✓	1.08	754k	2022-01-07
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.163	1.1589	-0.35%	1.054	-9.37%	0.0615	✓	0.93	2.3M	2022-01-07
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	135.9	135.4234	-0.35%	131.34	-3.36%	0.0179	✗	1.35	36.7M	2022-01-07
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.49	3.4775	-0.36%	3.07	-12.03%	0.0888	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-01-07
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01706	0.016998	-0.36%	0.01562	-8.44%	0.0384	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-01-07
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01816	0.018094	-0.37%	0.0169	-6.94%	0.0443	✓	0.67	30k	2022-01-07
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1215	0.121054	-0.37%	0.1111	-8.56%	0.0468	✓	1.09	304k	2022-01-07
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,406.03	3,393.52	-0.37%	3,198.82	-6.08%	0.0215	✓	1.05	619.8M	2022-01-07
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.01	2.9988	-0.37%	2.83	-5.98%	0.0107	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-07
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.35	29.2399	-0.38%	27.94	-4.80%	0.0209	✓	0.69	385k	2022-01-07
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2794	1.2746	-0.38%	1.2093	-5.48%	0.0133	✓	1.09	97.2M	2022-01-07
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.59	9.5539	-0.38%	8.9	-7.19%	0.0392	✓	0.88	1.2M	2022-01-07
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2178	-0.38%	3.11	-3.72%	0.0012	✓	0.98	995k	2022-01-07
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	220.94	220.1032	-0.38%	211.6	-4.23%	0.0022	✓	1.16	16.0M	2022-01-07
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.16	33.0342	-0.38%	30.97	-6.60%	0.0100	✓	1.52	1.1M	2022-01-07
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	26.71	26.6086	-0.38%	24.88	-6.85%	0.0208	✓	1.29	71.0M	2022-01-07
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.32	10.2808	-0.38%	9.26	-10.27%	0.1088	✓	-0.12	1.9M	2022-01-07
XVG	Verge	native	0.01576	0.0157	-0.38%	0.01454	-7.74%	0.0338	✓	1.20	2.1M	2022-01-07
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.160007	0.159398	-0.38%	0.154835	-3.23%	0.0104	✗	1.10	4.6M	2022-01-07
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1812	0.180509	-0.38%	0.1763	-2.70%	0.0093	✗	0.92	490k	2022-01-07
DASH	Dash	Dash	124.32	123.8459	-0.38%	134.68	+8.33%	0.1300	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-01-07
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	33.11	32.9834	-0.38%	30.01	-9.36%	0.0287	✓	1.83	5.4M	2022-01-07
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.3621	8.3299	-0.39%	7.8679	-5.91%	0.0060	✓	1.42	268k	2022-01-07
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.77	6.7438	-0.39%	6.64	-1.92%	0.0074	✗	0.64	743k	2022-01-07
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,083.76	42,917.02	-0.39%	41,565.18	-3.52%	0.0039	✗	1.00	743.8M	2022-01-07
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.64	38.4904	-0.39%	35.51	-8.10%	0.0424	✓	1.06	20.0M	2022-01-07
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.805	4.7859	-0.40%	4.597	-4.33%	0.0178	✓	0.63	498k	2022-01-07
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.046	0.045817	-0.40%	0.04349	-5.46%	0.0195	✓	0.91	8.2M	2022-01-07
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05212	0.051912	-0.40%	0.04946	-5.10%	0.0081	✓	1.12	16k	2022-01-07
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6476	1.641	-0.40%	1.5636	-5.10%	0.0180	✓	0.84	663k	2022-01-07
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.026	2.0179	-0.40%	1.857	-8.34%	0.0426	✓	1.13	2.5M	2022-01-07
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2811	0.279974	-0.40%	0.2638	-6.15%	0.0124	✓	1.31	4.6M	2022-01-07
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798009	0.79479	-0.40%	0.752558	-5.70%	0.0139	✓	1.14	2.8M	2022-01-07
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.6388	5.616	-0.40%	5.4947	-2.55%	0.0214	✗	1.20	480k	2022-01-07
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.341	0.339615	-0.41%	0.3192	-6.39%	0.0170	✓	1.25	2.9M	2022-01-07
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.822	0.818614	-0.41%	0.802	-2.43%	0.0317	✗	1.46	8.1M	2022-01-07
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.455	4.4364	-0.42%	4.2564	-4.46%	0.0071	✗	1.35	4.9M	2022-01-07
ZEN	Horizen	Base	57.79	57.5487	-0.42%	55.57	-3.84%	0.0187	✗	1.50	805k	2022-01-07
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0145	0.014439	-0.42%	0.01358	-6.34%	0.0266	✓	0.97	777k	2022-01-07
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6365	0.633801	-0.42%	0.5936	-6.74%	0.0192	✓	1.29	11.8M	2022-01-07
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0802	0.07986	-0.42%	0.076	-5.24%	0.0114	✓	1.06	16k	2022-01-07
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	269.76	268.5959	-0.43%	250.4	-7.18%	0.0292	✓	1.14	1.3M	2022-01-07
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	137.22	136.6263	-0.43%	139.74	+1.84%	0.0712	✗	1.36	8.6M	2022-01-07
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6385	0.635715	-0.44%	0.638	-0.08%	0.0492	✗	1.27	4.7M	2022-01-07
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0704	1.0657	-0.44%	1.0067	-5.95%	0.0067	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-07
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.9	10.8505	-0.45%	10.15	-6.88%	0.0433	✓	0.65	1.2M	2022-01-07
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	95.14	94.7061	-0.46%	86.79	-8.78%	0.0468	✓	1.13	114.6M	2022-01-07
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.2675	0.26627	-0.46%	0.257021	-3.92%	0.0011	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-07
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10088	0.100415	-0.46%	0.0942	-6.62%	0.0399	✓	0.67	55k	2022-01-07
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18217	0.181323	-0.47%	0.17255	-5.28%	0.0067	✗	1.57	5,957	2022-01-07
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.41	5.3847	-0.47%	5	-7.58%	0.0239	✓	1.40	29.4M	2022-01-07
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1524	2.1423	-0.47%	2.1392	-0.61%	0.0390	✗	1.13	102k	2022-01-07
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.46	177.6212	-0.47%	177.7	-0.43%	0.0352	✗	0.97	7.9M	2022-01-07
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.04	4.0207	-0.48%	3.9099	-3.22%	0.0010	✓	0.75	14k	2022-01-07
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.06	16.9782	-0.48%	15.75	-7.68%	0.0292	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-01-07
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.5	14.4303	-0.48%	15.09	+4.07%	0.0695	✗	0.69	1.1M	2022-01-07
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07678	0.07641	-0.48%	0.0749	-2.45%	0.0246	✗	1.24	20.3M	2022-01-07
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.876	3.8572	-0.48%	3.811	-1.68%	0.0125	✗	0.68	454k	2022-01-07
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.613	184.71	-0.49%	163.2907	-12.03%	0.0845	✓	1.08	574k	2022-01-07
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.591	0.588123	-0.49%	0.546	-7.61%	0.0283	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-01-07
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.386	0.384096	-0.49%	0.369	-4.40%	0.0143	✓	0.72	39k	2022-01-07
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3346	0.332946	-0.49%	0.3309	-1.11%	0.0303	✗	1.02	293k	2022-01-07
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.77	3.7513	-0.50%	3.5714	-5.27%	0.0530	✓	-0.11	364k	2022-01-07
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2776	6.2463	-0.50%	6.1737	-1.66%	0.0186	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-07
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3708	0.368952	-0.50%	0.3378	-8.90%	0.0351	✓	1.48	3.4M	2022-01-07
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.15	8.1094	-0.50%	8.03	-1.47%	0.0177	✗	0.77	771k	2022-01-07
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.45	7.4127	-0.50%	7.17	-3.76%	0.0135	✗	1.31	18.2M	2022-01-07
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.338	4.3162	-0.50%	4.127	-4.86%	0.0171	✓	0.77	1.1M	2022-01-07
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1841	1.1781	-0.50%	1.1144	-5.89%	0.0207	✓	0.97	21.2M	2022-01-07
XEM	NEM	native	0.1232	0.122575	-0.51%	0.1166	-5.36%	0.0126	✓	1.04	111k	2022-01-07
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0701	0.069742	-0.51%	0.0669	-4.56%	0.0073	✗	1.36	1.5M	2022-01-07
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.96	5.9295	-0.51%	5.4	-9.40%	0.0528	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-07
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.030651	0.030494	-0.51%	0.029557	-3.57%	0.0055	✗	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-07
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01705	0.016962	-0.52%	0.01509	-11.50%	0.0327	✓	2.35	29.0M	2022-01-07
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.064	3.048	-0.52%	2.889	-5.71%	0.0029	✓	1.57	1.5M	2022-01-07
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6492	0.645685	-0.54%	0.5999	-7.59%	0.0254	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-01-07
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1802	1.1738	-0.55%	1.0712	-9.23%	0.0279	✓	1.77	1.1M	2022-01-07
XMR	Monero	Monero	205.35	204.2154	-0.55%	194.72	-5.18%	0.0110	✓	1.02	3.2M	2022-01-07
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.5631	1.5543	-0.56%	1.445	-7.56%	0.0324	✓	1.13	30.0M	2022-01-07
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.49	3.4703	-0.57%	3.62	+3.72%	0.0893	✗	1.31	10.7M	2022-01-07
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.68	3.6588	-0.58%	3.36	-8.70%	0.0487	✓	1.02	626k	2022-01-07
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.841	1.8303	-0.58%	1.668	-9.40%	0.0241	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-07
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.39	77.9224	-0.60%	68.69	-12.37%	0.0902	✓	1.00	7.2M	2022-01-07
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9504	0.944581	-0.61%	0.9215	-3.04%	0.0111	✗	1.00	143k	2022-01-07
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1019	0.101247	-0.64%	0.1004	-1.47%	0.0275	✗	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-07
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.15	4.1234	-0.64%	3.77	-9.16%	0.0537	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-07
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.968	20.8328	-0.64%	19.19	-8.48%	0.0243	✓	1.61	13.6M	2022-01-07
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3048	1.2963	-0.65%	2.05	+57.11%	0.4982	✗	1.11	922k	2022-01-07
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4868	1.477	-0.66%	1.3612	-8.45%	0.0322	✓	1.38	5.2M	2022-01-07
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.062116	0.061707	-0.66%	0.059308	-4.52%	0.0070	✗	1.30	7.4M	2022-01-07
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4	3.9736	-0.66%	3.79	-5.25%	0.0114	✓	1.00	957k	2022-01-07
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.12	1.1124	-0.68%	1	-10.71%	0.0454	✓	1.70	1.9M	2022-01-07
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.01	9.9421	-0.68%	10.01	+0.00%	0.0338	✗	0.75	1.2M	2022-01-07
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	30.59	30.3821	-0.68%	30.22	-1.21%	0.0450	✗	1.40	24.4M	2022-01-07
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.573	2.5553	-0.69%	2.344	-8.90%	0.0483	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-01-07
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.83	5.7889	-0.71%	5.27	-9.61%	0.0549	✓	1.09	2.1M	2022-01-07
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.65	1.6383	-0.71%	1.55	-6.06%	0.0053	✓	1.69	881k	2022-01-07
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.451	4.4179	-0.74%	4.1928	-5.80%	0.0069	✓	1.27	4.5M	2022-01-07
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4075	1.3967	-0.77%	1.2622	-10.32%	0.0661	✓	0.98	3.6M	2022-01-07
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003079	0.000030549	-0.78%	0.00002895	-5.98%	0.0092	✓	1.24	1.7M	2022-01-07
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.1	12.9973	-0.78%	12.12	-7.48%	0.0666	✓	0.09	3.5M	2022-01-07
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.09	12.9836	-0.81%	12.098	-7.58%	0.0696	✓	0.03	78k	2022-01-07
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.39	25.176	-0.84%	25.97	+2.28%	0.0753	✗	1.23	69.2M	2022-01-07
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7786	0.771936	-0.86%	0.6983	-10.31%	0.0373	✓	1.75	35.9M	2022-01-07
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0021	2.9736	-0.95%	3.0272	+0.84%	0.0608	✗	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-07
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	35,933.69	35,579.97	-0.98%	35,821.08	-0.31%	0.0303	✗	0.66	21.4M	2022-01-07
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	41.4069	-1.04%	37.02	-11.52%	0.0544	✓	1.60	2.8M	2022-01-07
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.553	0.5468	-1.12%	0.5162	-6.65%	0.0068	✓	1.42	650k	2022-01-07
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.76	9.6411	-1.22%	9.41	-3.59%	0.0101	✓	0.96	4.1M	2022-01-07
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.04	39.5155	-1.31%	38.54	-3.75%	0.0081	✓	0.92	43.4M	2022-01-07
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3872	3.3421	-1.33%	3.05	-9.96%	0.0564	✓	0.98	5.6M	2022-01-07

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.