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2022-01-04 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2585
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 95.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4892+0.37%1.66-33.06%0.1966✗1.024.0M2022-02-03
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075981-0.01%0.05985-21.24%0.0491✓0.93556k2022-02-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44146.2996-0.10%111.02-24.19%0.0040✓1.3336.7M2022-02-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0045,824.47-0.39%37,210.50-19.12%0.0093✓0.9710k2022-02-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.699-0.70%6.17-29.57%0.2213✓0.60828k2022-02-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38424.0836-0.77%281.46-34.14%0.2066✓0.999.0M2022-02-03
QNTQuantEthereum179.48177.6048-1.04%135.16-24.69%0.0818✓0.938.3M2022-02-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1335.7366-1.09%20.37-43.62%0.3520✓1.0322.7M2022-02-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8119.3966-1.16%89.8-25.66%0.0932✓0.943.2M2022-02-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,211.25-1.32%37,329.91-18.52%0.0133✓1.00727.0M2022-02-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.118139-1.32%0.09321-22.14%0.0155✓1.0826k2022-02-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2730.8557-1.32%23.46-24.98%0.1417✓0.65385k2022-02-03
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.6626-1.39%2.0772-44.08%0.3541✓1.04798k2022-02-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.0388-1.69%5.17-27.79%0.1787✓0.63801k2022-02-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.021936-1.71%0.014662-34.30%0.1538✓1.222.4M2022-02-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.165189-1.95%0.13787-18.17%0.0422✗1.094.6M2022-02-03
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.2835-1.96%1.061-18.96%0.0276✗1.0697.2M2022-02-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7051-1.97%4.1115+8.78%0.0814✗-0.11364k2022-02-03
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,708.99-2.01%2,697.59-28.73%0.1109✓1.01619.8M2022-02-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.4168-2.03%27.88-18.26%0.0231✗1.003.7M2022-02-03
FTTFTXEthereum41.3540.4474-2.18%42.77+3.43%0.2608✗1.0019.4M2022-02-03
DASHDashDash134.69131.6623-2.25%95.23-29.30%0.0713✓1.231.9M2022-02-03
SOLSolanaSolana167.72163.8776-2.29%101.93-39.23%0.2762✓0.97211.5M2022-02-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1074.9872-2.34%4.136-19.01%0.0665✓0.59549k2022-02-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8890.701-2.35%48.5-47.78%0.4278✓0.976.3M2022-02-03
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.205139-2.36%0.1775-15.52%0.0215✓0.60441k2022-02-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.087158-2.37%0.05362-39.94%0.1882✓1.452.9M2022-02-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6927.9927-2.43%18.93-34.02%0.1324✓1.2671.0M2022-02-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.637-2.45%1.294-22.88%0.0401✗1.345.7M2022-02-03
XEMNEMnative0.12520.122055-2.51%0.1027-17.97%0.0441✗1.06115k2022-02-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.398425-2.59%0.254-37.90%0.3025✓0.7239k2022-02-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4322.8219-2.60%16.31-30.39%0.0801✓1.2569.2M2022-02-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.053697-2.60%0.04063-26.30%0.0642✓1.0515k2022-02-03
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02217.0829-2.66%125-43.95%0.3246✓1.11211k2022-02-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.1896-2.73%0.718-41.29%0.3160✓0.922.4M2022-02-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.19017-2.83%0.139-28.97%0.1321✓0.89506k2022-02-03
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.4638-2.87%8.19-48.56%0.4026✓1.143.5M2022-02-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.3314-2.87%13.95-41.92%0.3711✓0.701.2M2022-02-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.592-2.93%1.24-24.39%0.0960✗1.69964k2022-02-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.08306-2.97%0.0657-23.25%0.0226✓1.0318k2022-02-03
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.7266-2.97%6.0981-32.20%0.0819✓1.35268k2022-02-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3163-3.03%1.89-44.74%0.2998✓1.283.0M2022-02-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8334.7313-3.07%19.28-46.19%0.2895✓1.461.1M2022-02-03
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000109457-3.07%0.0000764-32.34%0.1598✓0.987.2M2022-02-03
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96243.9912-3.16%152.86-39.33%0.2435✓1.0914.7M2022-02-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.3623-3.21%3.2104-28.77%0.0423✓1.294.7M2022-02-03
GTGateEthereum6.49016.2792-3.25%6.7329+3.74%0.2299✗0.783.9M2022-02-03
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.014967-3.25%0.01026-33.68%0.1838✓0.95783k2022-02-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.5503-3.26%14.45-3.92%0.1314✗0.681.1M2022-02-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.2222-3.27%6.12-28.00%0.1459✓0.73773k2022-02-03
BANDBandEthereum5.665.474-3.29%3.38-40.28%0.2472✓1.152.1M2022-02-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.1536-3.34%1.629-26.89%0.0518✓1.112.5M2022-02-03
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.843828-3.34%0.526-39.75%0.1790✓1.438.1M2022-02-03
XVGVergenative0.017210.016623-3.41%0.00994-42.24%0.2708✓1.192.2M2022-02-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1123.9708-3.43%3.09-24.85%0.1150✓0.66483k2022-02-03
ZECZcashZcash147.34142.1966-3.49%101.02-31.44%0.0810✓1.2710.1M2022-02-03
XMRMoneroMonero222.22214.451-3.50%146.89-33.90%0.1863✓0.943.2M2022-02-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.27-3.54%2.44-28.02%0.0933✓0.97995k2022-02-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.095573-3.56%0.0616-37.84%0.1581✓1.371.5M2022-02-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.192164-3.68%0.1138-42.96%0.2770✓1.214.8M2022-02-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2397.9289-3.76%6.085-26.14%0.0144✓1.22336k2022-02-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09032.9707-3.87%3.0916+0.04%0.2847✗1.202.9M2022-02-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.368.9914-3.94%5.773-38.32%0.3110✓0.64299k2022-02-03
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2117.4813-4.00%10.39-42.94%0.2630✓1.2614.1M2022-02-03
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.0227-4.04%2.366-24.89%0.0715✓0.8541k2022-02-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.4838-4.05%3.456-26.04%0.1074✓0.751.1M2022-02-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.047239-4.16%0.02918-40.80%0.3011✓0.888.2M2022-02-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.059695-4.18%0.036103-42.05%0.2265✓1.357.4M2022-02-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.018901-4.20%0.01236-37.35%0.3068✓0.5835k2022-02-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.066565-4.22%0.0321-53.81%0.4423✓1.401.6M2022-02-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06175.8038-4.26%4.7256-22.04%0.0277✓1.14553k2022-02-03
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.267348-4.28%0.19506-30.16%0.1082✓1.0124.9M2022-02-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.126654-4.34%0.0807-39.05%0.2309✓1.07304k2022-02-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.080188-4.40%0.03949-52.92%0.4622✓1.2020.9M2022-02-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.648351-4.43%0.4067-40.05%0.2237✓1.1911.4M2022-02-03
KSMKusamaHydration296.29283.0913-4.45%162.76-45.07%0.3319✓1.081.3M2022-02-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.185573-4.49%0.1064-45.24%0.3138✓1.182.1M2022-02-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.2961-4.60%5.09-22.88%0.0198✓1.133.3M2022-02-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.5685-4.71%0.874-46.90%0.3226✓1.283.4M2022-02-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.349662-4.80%0.2361-35.72%0.1320✓1.273.0M2022-02-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7032-4.94%1.1541-35.59%0.2230✓0.81668k2022-02-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5110.9372-4.98%6.88-40.23%0.4955✓-0.162.2M2022-02-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8232.098-5.09%20.81-38.47%0.1540✓1.3624.2M2022-02-03
KCSKuCoinnative22.04620.9168-5.12%17.927-18.68%0.1760✗1.6113.6M2022-02-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.842809-5.14%0.613557-30.94%0.0972✓1.082.8M2022-02-03
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.2181-5.20%1.6279-30.43%0.0961✓1.04100k2022-02-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2121-5.22%0.9279-27.44%0.0787✓0.9221.2M2022-02-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.657959-5.26%0.5436-21.73%0.0637✗1.245.2M2022-02-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.2718-5.28%2.0312+51.28%0.6905✗1.09922k2022-02-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.286522-5.28%0.1839-39.21%0.1807✓1.284.6M2022-02-03
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543175.5487-5.34%74.5146-59.82%0.6488✓1.02574k2022-02-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.031573-5.49%0.020346-39.09%0.2290✓1.037.3M2022-02-03
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.7597-5.54%3.8358-23.88%0.0523✓1.314.9M2022-02-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.371501-5.57%0.2853-27.48%0.0258✓1.423.4M2022-02-03
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.5271-5.57%5.71-36.77%0.1721✓1.123.9M2022-02-03
ZENHorizenBase64.4260.7662-5.67%38.69-39.94%0.1624✓1.41807k2022-02-03
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.6043-5.77%4.09-49.32%0.3542✓1.3018.2M2022-02-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.018332-5.85%0.00935-51.98%0.4176✓1.252.2M2022-02-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000030485-6.06%0.00002075-36.06%0.1296✓1.251.7M2022-02-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6736.2674-6.21%18.42-52.37%0.3094✓1.805.4M2022-02-03
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.4788-6.23%2.49-32.88%0.1200✓1.05626k2022-02-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.569.9001-6.25%9.57-9.37%0.1186✗0.741.2M2022-02-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2018-6.32%0.8263-35.59%0.0221✓1.721.2M2022-02-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1118-6.35%0.6171-48.02%0.3016✓1.401.7M2022-02-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.665349-6.72%0.4435-37.82%0.1366✓1.312.8M2022-02-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.402-6.74%3.1745-32.74%0.1987✓0.6317k2022-02-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.361-6.79%1.0898-25.36%0.0260✓0.963.6M2022-02-03
API3Api3Ethereum4.13.8194-6.84%3.4-17.07%0.0885✗1.00967k2022-02-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.0713-6.85%0.66-42.61%0.2795✓1.001.8M2022-02-03
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.4135-6.89%3.39-28.48%0.0590✓1.002.5M2022-02-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.10221-7.08%0.07603-30.88%0.1634✓0.6555k2022-02-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.33196-7.12%0.2929-18.05%0.0794✗1.00293k2022-02-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4733,643.09-7.27%23,620.52-34.90%0.2260✓0.6217.3M2022-02-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.5492-7.31%0.936-44.00%0.2832✓1.0830.0M2022-02-03
LUNATerraTerra 284.5678.3748-7.31%51.23-39.42%0.2204✓1.006.3M2022-02-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.1117-7.47%2.618-22.15%0.1535✗1.591.8M2022-02-03
RADRadworksEthereum11.2710.4212-7.53%5.12-54.57%0.5383✓0.841.2M2022-02-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.395.2973-7.75%68.49-33.70%0.1134✓1.06115.7M2022-02-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.3351-7.82%0.3716-74.34%1.1015✓0.874.4M2022-02-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.4803-7.90%1.695-37.06%0.1737✓1.011.9M2022-02-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.609126-7.99%0.328-50.45%0.3662✓1.232.2M2022-02-03
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06511.8967-8.16%0.8505-58.82%0.4223✓1.851.4M2022-02-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.186864-8.42%0.19482-4.52%0.3571✗1.546,4462022-02-03
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17442.9046-8.50%2.6813-15.53%0.1137✗0.955.7M2022-02-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.5588-8.52%2.25-42.16%0.2537✓1.003.3M2022-02-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.108621-8.88%0.0779-34.65%0.1276✓1.0033.0M2022-02-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.5323-9.01%3.11-48.85%0.3028✓1.3329.4M2022-02-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.563612-9.18%0.5612-9.57%0.2809✗1.39650k2022-02-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03510.939468-9.24%0.8308-19.74%0.0819✓1.00145k2022-02-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.113-9.58%5.65-54.03%0.5535✓0.601.2M2022-02-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.018837-10.77%0.00612-71.01%0.9195✓1.0028.5M2022-02-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.4918-10.92%2.04-47.96%0.2690✓1.3110.7M2022-02-03
HIVEHivenative1.59251.4166-11.04%1.0602-33.43%0.0114✓1.365.2M2022-02-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8337.9071-11.49%25.37-40.77%0.0657✓1.642.8M2022-02-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.740426-11.65%0.4765-43.15%0.0943✓1.6933.4M2022-02-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0536.9662-12.09%29.72-29.32%0.0345✓0.9043.4M2022-02-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.713.6407-13.12%7.27-53.69%0.6246✓0.023.9M2022-02-03
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67213.1611-16.02%7.128-54.52%0.6199✓-0.0386k2022-02-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.