2022-01-03 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2831

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.89%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.6%

in alpha space · 95.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5634	+0.13%	1.63	-36.33%	0.2193	✗	1.02	4.0M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.077039	+0.07%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0603	✗	0.93	552k	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	148.3121	-0.08%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0087	✓	1.33	38.3M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,971.01	-0.10%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0301	✗	0.97	10k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.8366	-0.60%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2467	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	177.8033	-0.66%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2334	✓	0.94	8.7M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.8444	-0.67%	20.19	-42.45%	0.3087	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	431.2768	-0.77%	278	-36.03%	0.2111	✓	0.99	9.1M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	121.0023	-0.96%	90	-26.34%	0.0810	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.5439	-0.99%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2799	✓	1.05	754k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	31.2728	-1.16%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1344	✓	0.65	385k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.119504	-1.29%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0416	✓	1.08	26k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021764	-1.31%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1066	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,825.92	-1.36%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0137	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.1081	-1.41%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1979	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	39.6049	-1.53%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3110	✗	1.01	19.4M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2956	-1.74%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0123	✓	1.07	98.5M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,696.76	-1.84%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0874	✓	1.02	654.8M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.166966	-1.84%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0533	✗	1.09	4.7M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.7174	-1.95%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0809	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.201523	-2.08%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0014	✓	0.61	428k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0441	-2.09%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0970	✓	0.59	598k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	33.9912	-2.10%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0278	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	166.5186	-2.12%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2675	✓	0.97	217.0M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6445	-2.23%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0578	✗	1.35	6.0M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.088013	-2.29%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1683	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1726	-2.38%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2324	✓	1.29	3.0M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.12388	-2.46%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0439	✗	1.06	115k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	135.593	-2.49%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0935	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.1326	-2.50%	7.83	-49.55%	0.3963	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	216.5621	-2.54%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3247	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.403494	-2.54%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3129	✓	0.72	41k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	91.9816	-2.54%	49.12	-47.96%	0.4050	✓	0.97	6.3M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.193042	-2.70%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1557	✓	0.89	527k	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.206	-2.74%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3053	✓	0.92	2.5M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.055005	-2.80%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.1001	✓	1.05	15k	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.3998	-2.88%	3.37	-39.39%	0.2069	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.0181	-2.96%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0899	✓	1.25	69.2M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.191	-2.99%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1527	✓	1.26	72.5M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.2456	-3.01%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2652	✗	0.78	3.9M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.083412	-3.01%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0223	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.7132	-3.07%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1119	✗	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.9322	-3.11%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3932	✓	0.70	1.3M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.4836	-3.12%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0608	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.9148	-3.16%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0818	✓	1.35	273k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.3526	-3.17%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0454	✗	1.38	24.2M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.3257	-3.19%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1517	✓	0.73	773k	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	35.2344	-3.23%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2262	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6618	-3.39%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1870	✗	1.69	1.0M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016721	-3.40%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2631	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0105	-3.41%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1279	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	145.4078	-3.42%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0987	✓	1.27	10.3M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.1865	-3.46%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0642	✓	1.11	2.7M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.01518	-3.50%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.2172	✓	0.95	817k	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.0244	-3.51%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0293	✓	1.22	354k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000112367	-3.53%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1698	✓	0.97	7.4M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.3086	-3.54%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0931	✓	0.97	995k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.871238	-3.62%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2988	✓	1.43	8.1M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	223.2383	-3.70%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2164	✓	0.93	3.2M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.096649	-3.74%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1629	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.197515	-3.75%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3160	✓	1.20	4.8M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	2.9974	-3.86%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2879	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	256.9117	-3.87%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2796	✓	1.09	12.6M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.63238	-3.92%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1726	✓	1.19	11.4M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.0579	-4.01%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3056	✓	0.64	302k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5498	-4.10%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2675	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.5812	-4.10%	3.166	-33.72%	0.1982	✓	0.75	1.2M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	277.733	-4.11%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2876	✓	1.09	1.3M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.7082	-4.12%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2312	✓	1.26	14.1M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.06084	-4.34%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2185	✓	1.35	7.5M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016602	-4.36%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2656	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019335	-4.42%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2965	✓	0.57	36k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.129091	-4.52%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2396	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.188037	-4.55%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2639	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.8989	-4.59%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0195	✓	1.14	577k	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.276906	-4.61%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1286	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.081485	-4.70%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3917	✓	1.20	20.9M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.5843	-4.80%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.1022	✗	1.32	4.9M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.9976	-4.87%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5572	✓	-0.16	2.3M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.353986	-4.87%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1326	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.049823	-5.06%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3308	✓	0.88	8.2M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.069383	-5.08%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3921	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.284923	-5.18%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1623	✓	1.29	4.6M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	60.1107	-5.25%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1300	✓	1.42	837k	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2301	-5.28%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0923	✓	1.04	100k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.1789	-5.30%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1952	✗	1.61	14.1M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3807	-5.30%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0760	✓	1.05	626k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.368137	-5.31%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0461	✓	1.42	3.4M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.667294	-5.32%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0737	✗	1.24	5.3M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.7506	-5.48%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2677	✓	0.81	689k	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3164	-5.62%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5950	✗	1.08	926k	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.741	-5.71%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2086	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	180.7859	-5.79%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6657	✓	1.01	574k	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.8851	-5.87%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1911	✓	1.07	2.8M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3016	-5.97%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2281	✓	0.91	21.2M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	9.8764	-6.03%	9.36	-10.94%	0.1179	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031049	-6.11%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1222	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.1738	-6.13%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1578	✓	0.84	41k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3185	-6.22%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1231	✓	0.63	18k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.651007	-6.22%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1171	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.031706	-6.30%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2127	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	7.9723	-6.32%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3701	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.7291	-6.41%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0257	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.6874	-6.48%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2984	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1616	-6.60%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2934	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2151	-6.67%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0102	✓	1.72	1.3M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.263	-6.72%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1117	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8495	-6.79%	3.4	-17.68%	0.1056	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0625	-6.80%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2772	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.10292	-7.21%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.1842	✓	0.65	55k	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	82.3697	-7.37%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3186	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.4505	-7.44%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5005	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4215	-7.65%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.0918	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.59088	-7.68%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3410	✓	1.24	2.2M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.1957	-7.83%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1535	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.344663	-7.84%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0136	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.8811	-8.04%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3492	✓	1.85	1.5M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6489	-8.13%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3338	✓	1.07	30.0M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3826	-8.20%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1200	✓	0.86	4.5M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	99.1546	-8.27%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1370	✓	1.05	119.6M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.182597	-8.43%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4009	✗	1.55	6,519	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	35,464.75	-8.49%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.2902	✓	0.62	15.7M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.5577	-8.52%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1796	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.8083	-8.68%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3281	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.91218	-9.01%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1785	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.9449	-9.40%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0672	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.111874	-9.41%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1233	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.577284	-9.80%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2456	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.8745	-10.04%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3314	✓	1.33	29.3M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.5221	-10.05%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5547	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.2738	-10.54%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4784	✓	0.04	3.7M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	35.0769	-10.72%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0787	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4686	-10.83%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2979	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019678	-11.20%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9464	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	37.1116	-11.30%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0428	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4394	-11.71%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1085	✓	1.36	5.5M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.741094	-11.91%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0742	✓	1.69	31.9M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	11.8842	-12.69%	7.564	-44.43%	0.4555	✓	-0.02	98k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.