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2021-12-31 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3338
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.7%
in alpha space · 95.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.413+0.96%1.66-30.54%0.1742✗1.014.1M2022-01-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.525+0.08%17.77-8.92%0.1559✓1.2669.7M2022-01-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15146.1103-0.03%108.59-25.70%0.0319✓1.3446.1M2022-01-30
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075421-0.07%0.058692-22.24%0.0653✓0.94607k2022-01-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7656-0.39%6.16-30.00%0.2340✓0.60999k2022-01-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.0815-0.46%19.84-42.06%0.3380✓1.0223.7M2022-01-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,828.69-0.50%37,655.60-18.25%0.0037✓0.979,2042022-01-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15427.4383-0.63%290.04-32.57%0.1915✓0.999.8M2022-01-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.225-0.66%90.34-25.35%0.0987✓0.943.7M2022-01-30
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3771-0.72%2.2301-34.44%0.2085✓1.04798k2022-01-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021623-0.91%0.014098-35.40%0.1846✓1.232.4M2022-01-30
FTTFTXEthereum38.2537.8867-0.95%41.05+7.32%0.2786✗1.0020.7M2022-01-30
QNTQuantEthereum179.22177.5111-0.95%94.77-47.12%0.4399✓0.959.4M2022-01-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2445,755.15-0.99%37,901.35-17.98%0.0099✓1.00750.8M2022-01-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.066.9888-1.01%5.28-25.21%0.1548✓0.631.1M2022-01-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.430.9915-1.30%25.75-17.99%0.0587✓0.64503k2022-01-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.0927-1.34%19.28-21.05%0.0552✗1.4024.2M2022-01-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.111165-1.37%0.08818-21.76%0.0143✓1.1029k2022-01-30
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58196.66-1.46%117.46-41.15%0.2941✓1.12210k2022-01-30
BANDBandEthereum5.014.9243-1.71%3.45-31.14%0.1244✓1.172.4M2022-01-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,611.80-1.74%2,602.89-29.19%0.1250✓1.02716.9M2022-01-30
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.2843-1.83%1.0359-20.81%0.0064✓1.05106.2M2022-01-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.1726-1.87%18.19-31.80%0.1152✓1.2575.1M2022-01-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0234.9278-1.90%4.078-18.81%0.0743✓0.58773k2022-01-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.8729-1.95%1.9-35.15%0.1574✓1.293.2M2022-01-30
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.190695-1.96%0.1781-8.43%0.0384✗0.54410k2022-01-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.6873-1.97%3.587-4.63%0.0510✓-0.12409k2022-01-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.166817-2.00%0.139318-18.16%0.0377✗1.105.5M2022-01-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.3759-2.01%24.92-26.83%0.0935✓1.004.7M2022-01-30
DASHDashDash133.78130.8591-2.18%92.77-30.65%0.0984✓1.242.1M2022-01-30
XEMNEMnative0.12270.11999-2.21%0.1024-16.54%0.0523✗1.06153k2022-01-30
SOLSolanaSolana169.88165.9947-2.29%93.31-45.07%0.3865✓0.96236.5M2022-01-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.5964-2.30%1.414-13.46%0.1426✗1.337.6M2022-01-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2191.0078-2.36%53.4-42.71%0.3389✓0.987.0M2022-01-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.052026-2.41%0.04035-24.31%0.0455✓1.0515k2022-01-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.085523-2.45%0.0595-32.13%0.0755✓1.453.9M2022-01-30
XVSVenusEthereum15.1414.7631-2.49%7.79-48.55%0.4156✓1.134.3M2022-01-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.080237-2.51%0.066-19.81%0.0119✓1.0520k2022-01-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.2245-2.53%20.05-39.35%0.1847✓1.461.3M2022-01-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.3408-2.54%5.25-4.20%0.2073✗1.134.3M2022-01-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0037-2.64%1.486-27.79%0.0770✓1.123.1M2022-01-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.1877-2.64%6.14-26.99%0.1433✓0.731.1M2022-01-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.4969-2.74%5.9884-31.45%0.0793✓1.36280k2022-01-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8016-2.79%2.243-22.17%0.0502✓0.8753k2022-01-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.192672-2.89%0.1251-36.95%0.2580✓0.88622k2022-01-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.17.8646-2.91%5.789-28.53%0.0640✓1.22391k2022-01-30
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000105019-2.93%0.00007524-30.46%0.1379✓0.998.0M2022-01-30
ZECZcashZcash146.46142.1559-2.94%93.02-36.49%0.1695✓1.2811.8M2022-01-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.6269-2.94%14.02-6.97%0.0915✗0.681.4M2022-01-30
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.4585-3.07%10.8-36.40%0.1694✓1.2715.5M2022-01-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5697-3.10%0.81-50.00%0.3269✓1.691.1M2022-01-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.4631-3.11%3.0959-32.79%0.1090✓1.305.0M2022-01-30
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.816749-3.11%0.496-41.16%0.2131✓1.448.5M2022-01-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1096-3.13%2.48-22.74%0.0330✓0.971.1M2022-01-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.8882-3.23%3.067-23.67%0.1085✓0.65502k2022-01-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.3587-3.31%3.138-30.39%0.1913✓0.691.0M2022-01-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015267-3.31%0.00971-38.51%0.2003✓1.272.3M2022-01-30
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92245.3147-3.39%149.01-41.32%0.2828✓1.0911.5M2022-01-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4123.5788-3.41%14.23-41.70%0.3642✓0.711.5M2022-01-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.216-3.42%0.732-41.86%0.3233✓0.932.7M2022-01-30
GTGateEthereum6.55556.331-3.42%6.7915+3.60%0.2247✗0.784.0M2022-01-30
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.014656-3.45%0.00984-35.18%0.2099✓0.95868k2022-01-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.5476-3.67%6.101-31.24%0.2116✓0.63338k2022-01-30
XVGVergenative0.017030.016403-3.68%0.00997-41.46%0.2623✓1.192.4M2022-01-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.168731-3.69%0.1219-30.42%0.0954✓1.162.8M2022-01-30
XMRMoneroMonero228.93220.2504-3.79%148.16-35.28%0.2178✓0.903.0M2022-01-30
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.1735-3.84%3.2781-24.47%0.0167✓1.304.9M2022-01-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.617111-3.89%0.3997-37.75%0.1978✓1.1911.8M2022-01-30
KSMKusamaHydration276.22265.4213-3.91%163.11-40.95%0.2721✓1.081.4M2022-01-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.194344-3.93%0.1153-43.01%0.2849✓1.205.4M2022-01-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.397443-3.98%0.5479+32.37%0.5992✗1.40722k2022-01-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.6505-4.00%4.8343-17.87%0.0699✗1.14649k2022-01-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.255662-4.06%0.195399-26.67%0.0684✓1.0127.7M2022-01-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.4789-4.09%0.897-41.83%0.2481✓1.273.6M2022-01-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.0175-4.10%3.0137-4.22%0.2381✗1.213.3M2022-01-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.408422-4.13%0.251-41.08%0.3428✓0.7346k2022-01-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.093025-4.20%0.0619-36.25%0.1327✓1.391.8M2022-01-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.122853-4.25%0.0797-37.88%0.2204✓1.07324k2022-01-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018259-4.30%0.01326-30.50%0.2100✓0.5542k2022-01-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.338439-4.58%0.3236-8.77%0.2336✗1.404.3M2022-01-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.046023-4.68%0.02962-38.65%0.2640✓0.898.6M2022-01-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.76477-4.71%0.553313-31.06%0.1136✓1.062.8M2022-01-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.268849-5.10%0.1816-35.90%0.1370✓1.295.5M2022-01-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.1756-5.13%6.37-45.93%0.5942✓-0.163.4M2022-01-30
ZENHorizenBase60.5757.4363-5.17%40.22-33.60%0.0760✓1.411.0M2022-01-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.06015-5.32%0.038887-38.79%0.1650✓1.377.9M2022-01-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2106-5.39%1.7386+35.87%0.5730✗1.06987k2022-01-30
KCSKuCoinnative21.37620.2137-5.44%17.407-18.57%0.1722✗1.6216.6M2022-01-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.6475-5.47%1.158-33.56%0.1947✓0.80889k2022-01-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.345503-5.47%0.2398-34.39%0.1117✓1.284.2M2022-01-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.6027-5.57%5.92-35.02%0.1509✓1.124.1M2022-01-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3428-5.57%2.27-35.88%0.1810✓1.04723k2022-01-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.2614-5.66%1.5641-34.75%0.1587✓1.06128k2022-01-30
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528171.5327-5.67%75.0918-58.71%0.6260✓1.01622k2022-01-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.080208-5.78%0.04709-44.68%0.2905✓1.2221.7M2022-01-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.2868-5.78%0.8142-40.39%0.2764✓0.9123.6M2022-01-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.518-5.86%9.32-7.81%0.1273✗0.751.3M2022-01-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.665709-5.95%0.5123-27.62%0.0147✓1.256.1M2022-01-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.45-6.17%3.0214-36.29%0.2555✓0.6622k2022-01-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1284-6.27%0.83304-30.81%0.0412✓1.741.4M2022-01-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.03165-6.43%0.021008-37.89%0.2027✓1.058.5M2022-01-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.094395-6.45%0.07979-20.92%0.0392✓0.6564k2022-01-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000031252-6.49%0.00002109-36.89%0.1428✓1.262.0M2022-01-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2830,837.94-6.66%23,834.59-27.86%0.1424✓0.5813.3M2022-01-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.639155-6.88%0.4519-34.16%0.0849✓1.323.1M2022-01-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.070977-6.98%0.0352-53.87%0.4262✓1.391.7M2022-01-30
API3Api3Ethereum4.223.925-6.99%3.63-13.98%0.1201✗1.001.1M2022-01-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.1418-7.03%0.5944-51.60%0.3761✓1.402.1M2022-01-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.304324-7.19%0.2571-21.59%0.0185✓0.94293k2022-01-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.5396-7.19%0.9447-43.05%0.2748✓1.0831.7M2022-01-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9236.111-7.22%19.1-50.92%0.2763✓1.826.6M2022-01-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0483-7.23%0.64-43.36%0.2952✓1.002.2M2022-01-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.554-7.25%2.57-47.66%0.3739✓1.003.0M2022-01-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.0575-7.30%5.09-53.09%0.5113✓0.861.2M2022-01-30
LUNATerraTerra 285.5678.9985-7.67%46.21-45.99%0.3380✓1.006.3M2022-01-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.324.8988-7.92%3.18-40.23%0.1762✓1.2928.7M2022-01-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.3701-7.92%1.788-30.54%0.0819✓1.012.1M2022-01-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.563003-8.01%0.313-48.86%0.3396✓1.252.5M2022-01-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4329.7952-8.12%27.19-16.16%0.0839✓0.8842.6M2022-01-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.2118-8.13%2.693-22.97%0.1413✗1.602.5M2022-01-30
SUSHISushiEthereum9.428.6537-8.13%4.09-56.58%0.4867✓1.3317.1M2022-01-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.343.97-8.53%2.14-50.69%0.4197✓1.003.4M2022-01-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.4307-8.68%1.0776-31.22%0.0916✓0.974.3M2022-01-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.4739-9.02%0.4444-72.57%1.0264✓0.874.6M2022-01-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.826774-9.03%0.8483-6.66%0.2239✗1.00146k2022-01-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.178999-9.08%0.18014-8.50%0.3165✗1.568,4562022-01-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.499.2111-9.31%67.98-37.86%0.1703✓1.05127.7M2022-01-30
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09081.8914-9.54%1.0017-52.09%0.2594✓1.901.5M2022-01-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.711.4522-9.83%7.28-42.68%0.4532✓-0.004.2M2022-01-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26772.9283-10.38%2.5078-23.25%0.0331✓0.956.9M2022-01-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2210.9244-10.60%5.92-51.55%0.5018✓0.561.3M2022-01-30
HIVEHivenative1.48961.3234-11.16%0.9375-37.06%0.0724✓1.375.8M2022-01-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6935.2041-11.30%26.29-33.76%0.0385✓1.672.9M2022-01-30
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73411.1827-12.18%7.233-43.20%0.4481✓-0.06111k2022-01-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.02051-12.57%0.0074-68.46%0.8212✓1.0033.0M2022-01-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.553.9659-12.84%2.13-53.19%0.3550✓1.3412.3M2022-01-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.81336-13.07%0.5593-40.22%0.0426✓1.6730.1M2022-01-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.