2021-12-28 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0547

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

69.3%

in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.25%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	208.7816	-0.10%	197	-5.74%	0.0327	✓	1.11	236k	2021-12-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.5366	-0.13%	2.41	-5.12%	0.0284	✓	1.00	4.4M	2021-12-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	121.5967	-0.14%	121.4	-0.30%	0.0201	✗	0.95	3.7M	2021-12-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.021945	-0.15%	0.021726	-1.15%	0.0180	✗	1.23	2.4M	2021-12-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.114259	-0.18%	0.10818	-5.49%	0.0298	✓	1.09	29k	2021-12-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.6607	-0.20%	1.589	-4.51%	0.0138	✓	1.33	8.3M	2021-12-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	437.8039	-0.21%	430.11	-1.97%	0.0050	✗	1.00	10.8M	2021-12-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	20.3156	-0.22%	19.74	-3.05%	0.0001	✓	1.26	69.7M	2021-12-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.00010927	-0.22%	0.00010763	-1.72%	0.0074	✗	0.99	9.9M	2021-12-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	36.17	-0.22%	34.21	-5.63%	0.0326	✓	1.01	22.1M	2021-12-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.07704	-0.23%	0.076395	-1.07%	0.0129	✗	0.93	648k	2021-12-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.054143	-0.23%	0.05381	-0.85%	0.0178	✗	1.05	16k	2021-12-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	145.3275	-0.24%	145.62	-0.03%	0.0327	✗	1.35	53.2M	2021-12-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.215275	-0.24%	0.1955	-9.41%	0.0841	✓	0.54	392k	2021-12-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	15.5017	-0.25%	15.01	-3.41%	0.0065	✓	1.13	4.8M	2021-12-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	24.6483	-0.25%	24.05	-2.67%	0.0074	✗	1.40	22.9M	2021-12-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	9.0693	-0.25%	8.7853	-3.38%	0.0006	✓	1.37	285k	2021-12-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	39.9078	-0.26%	38.54	-3.67%	0.0121	✓	1.00	20.7M	2021-12-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	188.2971	-0.26%	175.55	-7.01%	0.0487	✓	0.94	11.5M	2021-12-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	134.3964	-0.26%	133.27	-1.10%	0.0202	✗	1.25	2.0M	2021-12-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	176.796	-0.27%	170.64	-3.74%	0.0137	✓	0.95	257.1M	2021-12-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.396	-0.27%	1.3322	-4.83%	0.0230	✓	1.04	120.2M	2021-12-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.128043	-0.28%	0.1244	-3.12%	0.0046	✓	1.06	175k	2021-12-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.016464	-0.28%	0.01559	-5.57%	0.0260	✓	1.25	2.7M	2021-12-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.1021	-0.28%	2.015	-4.41%	0.0168	✓	1.12	3.3M	2021-12-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.3306	-0.28%	3.23	-3.29%	0.0085	✓	0.97	1.2M	2021-12-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	27.7617	-0.28%	26.81	-3.70%	0.0064	✓	1.25	77.1M	2021-12-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	34.8614	-0.28%	34.13	-2.37%	0.0017	✓	1.00	5.1M	2021-12-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.663944	-0.29%	0.6329	-4.96%	0.0208	✓	1.19	12.5M	2021-12-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.199211	-0.29%	0.1965	-1.65%	0.0063	✗	0.88	701k	2021-12-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.173233	-0.29%	0.167974	-3.32%	0.0058	✓	1.10	6.0M	2021-12-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.089503	-0.30%	0.08784	-2.15%	0.0145	✗	1.46	4.1M	2021-12-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	2.9709	-0.30%	2.862	-3.96%	0.0177	✓	0.86	92k	2021-12-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.3234	-0.31%	5.08	-4.87%	0.0203	✓	1.16	2.5M	2021-12-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.477	-0.31%	4.3759	-2.56%	0.0071	✗	1.31	5.4M	2021-12-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.5459	-0.32%	7.25	-4.23%	0.0255	✓	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	34.9079	-0.32%	33.2	-5.20%	0.0169	✓	1.46	1.3M	2021-12-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	47,390.28	-0.32%	46,471.24	-2.25%	0.0032	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.273206	-0.33%	0.266803	-2.66%	0.0006	✓	1.02	32.3M	2021-12-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	3.0201	-0.33%	3.03	+0.00%	0.0328	✗	1.29	3.0M	2021-12-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.065684	-0.33%	0.0651	-1.21%	0.0214	✗	1.33	1.9M	2021-12-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.5319	-0.33%	1.576	+2.54%	0.0581	✗	1.30	4.1M	2021-12-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,780.84	-0.34%	3,630.59	-4.30%	0.0174	✓	1.02	766.3M	2021-12-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	148.9429	-0.34%	146.64	-1.88%	0.0134	✗	1.27	11.8M	2021-12-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.075124	-0.34%	0.0724	-3.95%	0.0092	✓	1.22	21.1M	2021-12-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.7337	-0.34%	3.4827	-7.04%	0.0460	✓	1.03	819k	2021-12-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	5.012	-0.34%	4.8341	-3.88%	0.0063	✓	1.31	5.2M	2021-12-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.6665	-0.34%	9.02	-7.01%	0.0557	✓	0.59	1.1M	2021-12-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.083509	-0.35%	0.0817	-2.51%	0.0020	✓	1.05	16k	2021-12-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.219135	-0.35%	0.2068	-5.96%	0.0308	✓	1.19	6.1M	2021-12-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.428601	-0.35%	0.4107	-4.51%	0.0106	✓	1.41	1.0M	2021-12-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	207.8756	-0.36%	214.5	+2.82%	0.0521	✗	0.91	2.8M	2021-12-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.104118	-0.37%	0.0988	-5.45%	0.0207	✓	1.39	2.0M	2021-12-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	16.1099	-0.37%	15.52	-4.02%	0.0220	✓	0.67	1.4M	2021-12-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	25.3237	-0.38%	23.93	-5.86%	0.0405	✓	0.71	1.6M	2021-12-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.702	-0.38%	4.85	+2.75%	0.0608	✗	1.31	26.8M	2021-12-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.017533	-0.38%	0.01691	-3.92%	0.0090	✓	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.586	-0.39%	3.7411	+3.92%	0.0397	✗	-0.12	405k	2021-12-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	6.2438	-0.39%	5.9148	-5.64%	0.0284	✓	1.13	724k	2021-12-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.4335	-0.39%	6.3273	-2.04%	0.0006	✓	0.76	4.3M	2021-12-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.795517	-0.40%	0.759647	-4.89%	0.0222	✓	1.05	3.0M	2021-12-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	293.6122	-0.40%	283.66	-3.78%	0.0097	✓	1.09	1.5M	2021-12-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.907323	-0.40%	0.862	-5.38%	0.0184	✓	1.44	9.2M	2021-12-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	9.0427	-0.41%	8.64	-4.85%	0.0292	✓	0.72	1.1M	2021-12-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.302043	-0.41%	0.287	-5.37%	0.0218	✓	1.28	5.8M	2021-12-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.713519	-0.42%	0.7006	-2.22%	0.0101	✗	1.24	6.6M	2021-12-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.135233	-0.42%	0.1285	-5.38%	0.0269	✓	1.06	344k	2021-12-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	99.3224	-0.42%	93.8	-5.96%	0.0351	✓	0.97	7.6M	2021-12-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	9.7566	-0.42%	9.485	-3.19%	0.0139	✓	0.63	455k	2021-12-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.8251	-0.43%	5.44	-7.01%	0.0428	✓	1.12	5.1M	2021-12-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.38256	-0.43%	0.3698	-3.75%	0.0047	✓	1.28	4.4M	2021-12-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.8056	-0.43%	1.7101	-5.70%	0.0365	✓	0.78	1.1M	2021-12-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.5046	-0.44%	3.34	-5.11%	0.0249	✓	1.02	787k	2021-12-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	47,176.12	-0.44%	48,010.00	+1.32%	0.0400	✗	0.99	10k	2021-12-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.019842	-0.44%	0.01939	-2.71%	0.0105	✓	0.55	45k	2021-12-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.015561	-0.44%	0.01516	-3.01%	0.0044	✓	0.95	1.2M	2021-12-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.102705	-0.44%	0.09831	-4.70%	0.0291	✓	0.64	92k	2021-12-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.2743	-0.44%	1.223	-4.45%	0.0201	✓	0.92	3.1M	2021-12-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.376403	-0.45%	0.375	-0.82%	0.0285	✗	1.41	4.7M	2021-12-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	28,561.67	-0.45%	28,569.89	-0.42%	0.0138	✗	0.59	9.0M	2021-12-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.4601	-0.45%	1.5828	+7.92%	0.1053	✗	1.08	31.7M	2021-12-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.7021	-0.46%	1.6398	-4.11%	0.0178	✓	0.85	5.9M	2021-12-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.7822	-0.47%	4.5321	-5.67%	0.0386	✓	0.66	26k	2021-12-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	33.3528	-0.47%	31.67	-5.49%	0.0375	✓	0.63	572k	2021-12-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.7615	-0.48%	1.69	-4.52%	0.0029	✓	1.69	1.5M	2021-12-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.2144	-0.48%	1.1508	-5.69%	0.0142	✓	1.74	1.5M	2021-12-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	63.0139	-0.48%	61.88	-2.27%	0.0143	✗	1.42	1.2M	2021-12-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	26.4412	-0.48%	27.98	+5.31%	0.0772	✗	0.90	40.2M	2021-12-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.3495	-0.49%	3.2326	-3.97%	0.0076	✓	1.22	3.3M	2021-12-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.2947	-0.49%	1.2952	-0.45%	0.0247	✗	1.07	1.1M	2021-12-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.4209	-0.50%	0.405	-4.26%	0.0217	✓	0.74	46k	2021-12-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.058935	-0.50%	0.0617	+4.17%	0.0778	✗	1.40	8.2M	2021-12-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.191336	-0.50%	0.1817	-5.51%	0.0256	✓	1.14	3.6M	2021-12-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	189.2141	-0.51%	185.3722	-2.53%	0.0026	✓	1.01	674k	2021-12-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	11.9875	-0.52%	11.58	-3.90%	0.0388	✓	-0.19	4.3M	2021-12-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	18.3035	-0.52%	17.13	-6.90%	0.0377	✓	1.25	15.5M	2021-12-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	9.5393	-0.53%	9.3	-3.02%	0.0003	✓	1.13	4.1M	2021-12-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	39.4888	-0.53%	38.51	-3.00%	0.0167	✗	1.83	7.2M	2021-12-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.636543	-0.54%	0.628	-1.88%	0.0150	✗	1.25	2.9M	2021-12-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.4756	-0.54%	4.3	-4.44%	0.0172	✓	1.00	4.4M	2021-12-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.050353	-0.55%	0.04918	-2.86%	0.0032	✓	0.89	10.4M	2021-12-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.340116	-0.55%	0.331	-3.22%	0.0057	✓	0.94	328k	2021-12-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.706677	-0.55%	0.6824	-3.97%	0.0049	✓	1.32	3.4M	2021-12-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	251.242	-0.55%	236.52	-6.38%	0.0364	✓	1.05	11.4M	2021-12-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.8692	-0.56%	3.653	-6.12%	0.0347	✓	1.00	3.0M	2021-12-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000034723	-0.56%	0.00003365	-3.64%	0.0086	✓	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.1733	-0.56%	1.13	-4.24%	0.0148	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	84.6798	-0.58%	84.32	-1.00%	0.0185	✗	1.00	7.4M	2021-12-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.6968	-0.59%	10.3	-4.28%	0.0206	✓	0.76	1.4M	2021-12-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.033766	-0.59%	0.03331	-1.93%	0.0103	✗	1.05	9.3M	2021-12-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	10.0677	-0.60%	8.678	-14.32%	0.1210	✓	1.21	411k	2021-12-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.4696	-0.60%	2.3803	-4.20%	0.0129	✓	1.05	147k	2021-12-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	21.3743	-0.61%	20.666	-3.91%	0.0035	✓	1.63	18.6M	2021-12-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	11.499	-0.61%	11.9	+2.85%	0.0474	✗	0.57	1.5M	2021-12-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	2.0623	-0.62%	1.9662	-5.25%	0.0042	✓	1.91	1.5M	2021-12-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	106.3594	-0.65%	103.11	-3.68%	0.0067	✓	1.07	136.0M	2021-12-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.207154	-0.65%	0.20423	-2.05%	0.0218	✗	1.58	13k	2021-12-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.7359	-0.66%	2.644	-3.99%	0.0113	✓	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	1.0202	-0.66%	0.961	-6.43%	0.0370	✓	1.00	151k	2021-12-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.5294	-0.67%	4.49	-1.54%	0.0141	✗	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.6529	-0.74%	5.14	-9.75%	0.0822	✓	0.56	798k	2021-12-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	38.1528	-0.77%	42.53	+10.61%	0.1479	✗	1.72	3.0M	2021-12-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	4.3461	-0.77%	4.84	+10.50%	0.1304	✗	1.00	15.2M	2021-12-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.5989	-0.78%	1.4918	-7.43%	0.0383	✓	1.36	7.1M	2021-12-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.8319	-0.78%	4.84	-0.62%	0.0245	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.021659	-0.96%	0.02115	-3.29%	0.0010	✓	1.00	39.8M	2021-12-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	3.3076	-0.97%	3.2569	-2.48%	0.0061	✓	0.95	8.0M	2021-12-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.4146	-1.02%	1.482	+3.70%	0.0679	✗	0.94	23.6M	2021-12-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.244	-1.02%	1.2537	-0.25%	0.0405	✗	1.43	2.3M	2021-12-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.6649	-1.06%	1.5398	-8.49%	0.0558	✓	0.98	5.3M	2021-12-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	11.5233	-1.17%	10.96	-6.00%	0.0306	✓	0.86	1.3M	2021-12-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	8.9493	-1.22%	9.26	+2.21%	0.0639	✗	1.30	15.8M	2021-12-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	14.4496	-1.30%	13.54	-7.51%	0.0653	✓	-0.01	4.8M	2021-12-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.5041	-1.31%	4.115	-9.84%	0.0758	✓	0.64	502k	2021-12-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	14.3965	-1.33%	13.512	-7.39%	0.0650	✓	-0.07	129k	2021-12-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.778768	-1.37%	0.9819	+24.35%	0.2717	✗	1.75	28.3M	2021-12-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	5.2565	-1.73%	4.796	-10.34%	0.0763	✓	0.67	734k	2021-12-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.