8=======>

2021-12-25 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3353
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+36.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.1%
in alpha space · 94.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.36457.4306+0.45%292.51-35.76%0.1281✗1.0013.1M2022-01-24
TRXTRONTron0.0817150.082068+0.43%0.055067-32.61%0.0986✗0.94655k2022-01-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin158158.3901+0.25%109.65-30.60%0.0667✓1.3756.9M2022-01-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.0237.0543+0.09%18.43-50.22%0.3789✗1.0022.7M2022-01-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.284.2787-0.03%3.081-28.01%0.0713✓0.81719k2022-01-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,009.4050,955.12-0.11%36,642.30-28.17%0.0190✓0.988,5662022-01-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.732.727-0.11%1.58-42.12%0.2373✓0.974.4M2022-01-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV128.21128.0279-0.14%91.78-28.41%0.0253✓0.973.2M2022-01-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1222.0561-0.29%15.61-29.43%0.0428✗1.2269.7M2022-01-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55243.5394-0.37%3.5476-0.14%0.0256✓-0.09384k2022-01-24
FTTFTXEthereum42.7442.56-0.42%35.59-16.73%0.1402✗1.0021.2M2022-01-24
QNTQuantEthereum195.44194.3398-0.56%102.9-47.35%0.3446✓0.9212.0M2022-01-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.475.4384-0.58%3.711-32.16%0.1824✓0.63846k2022-01-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.4434.1848-0.74%20.79-39.63%0.2955✓0.63611k2022-01-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0238080.023572-0.99%0.014337-39.78%0.1101✓1.222.2M2022-01-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.057.968-1.02%4.86-39.63%0.2946✓0.631.0M2022-01-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.959.846-1.05%5.5-44.72%0.3730✓0.661.0M2022-01-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,428.3149,891.49-1.06%36,693.32-27.24%0.0107✗1.00750.8M2022-01-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.123330.121802-1.24%0.08158-33.85%0.0586✓1.0829k2022-01-24
XMRMoneroMonero211.35208.4615-1.37%147.04-30.43%0.0602✓0.912.8M2022-01-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.053.9937-1.39%2.941-27.38%0.0803✓0.71473k2022-01-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.8628.4315-1.48%18.03-37.53%0.0691✓1.2277.3M2022-01-24
ETHEthereumEthereum4,097.434,034.79-1.53%2,441.74-40.41%0.1780✓1.02768.5M2022-01-24
NANOnanopayBase3.783.7189-1.62%2.2825-39.62%0.1582✓1.04819k2022-01-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.133.0794-1.62%1.76-43.77%0.1561✓1.273.2M2022-01-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.2926.7776-1.88%20.73-24.04%0.1804✗1.3724.1M2022-01-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3021.277-1.92%0.703-46.01%0.2972✓0.943.7M2022-01-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.6225.1238-1.94%12.81-50.00%0.4497✓0.702.7M2022-01-24
ADACardanoCardano1.45421.4251-2.00%1.0664-26.67%0.0380✗1.03120.7M2022-01-24
SOLSolanaSolana193.06189.1002-2.05%91.96-52.37%0.4301✓0.91257.1M2022-01-24
GTGateEthereum6.3896.2553-2.09%6.2431-2.28%0.2322✗0.744.3M2022-01-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.137.2947-2.11%24.17-36.56%0.1158✓1.005.9M2022-01-24
XVSVenusEthereum16.4616.1072-2.14%7.93-51.82%0.3527✓1.124.9M2022-01-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.885.7537-2.15%4.22-28.23%0.0378✗1.094.6M2022-01-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08950.087577-2.15%0.0578-35.42%0.0819✓1.0519k2022-01-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21740.212705-2.16%0.1426-34.41%0.1309✓0.85756k2022-01-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos9.0018.8059-2.17%5.898-34.47%0.0064✓1.28455k2022-01-24
XEMNEMnative0.1370.134026-2.17%0.0977-28.69%0.0175✓1.05199k2022-01-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.349.1302-2.25%5.59-40.15%0.2565✓0.74934k2022-01-24
COMPCompoundEthereum228.44223.1095-2.33%124.78-45.38%0.2433✓1.06239k2022-01-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.312.2556-2.35%1.474-36.19%0.0778✓1.093.3M2022-01-24
BANDBandEthereum5.755.6141-2.36%3.37-41.39%0.1459✓1.153.0M2022-01-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.553.4641-2.42%2.34-34.08%0.0871✓0.961.2M2022-01-24
UNIUniswapEthereum17.4717.0384-2.47%10.7-38.75%0.0592✓1.2814.6M2022-01-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1907480.185958-2.51%0.137427-27.95%0.0459✗1.106.1M2022-01-24
DASHDashDash150146.2049-2.53%90.49-39.67%0.0896✓1.232.1M2022-01-24
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.236264-2.53%0.1572-35.15%0.2527✓0.49393k2022-01-24
XECeCashnative0.000119880.000116691-2.66%0.00007195-39.98%0.1728✓0.9811.6M2022-01-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.0116.5126-2.92%12.53-26.34%0.0603✓0.681.4M2022-01-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059020.057259-2.98%0.03766-36.19%0.0837✓1.0516k2022-01-24
DODODODOEthereum0.9410.912266-3.05%0.477-49.31%0.1973✓1.428.9M2022-01-24
XTZTezosTezos4.58384.4405-3.13%2.9641-35.34%0.0008✓1.275.4M2022-01-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.28145.1143-3.16%3.0465-42.32%0.0883✓1.355.4M2022-01-24
CBKCobakEthereum3.3313.2255-3.17%2.007-39.75%0.2085✓0.8499k2022-01-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.101790.098529-3.20%0.05059-50.30%0.1997✓1.474.8M2022-01-24
KSMKusamaHydration293.74283.9354-3.34%174.93-40.45%0.1482✓1.061.5M2022-01-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum109.28105.588-3.38%51.24-53.11%0.4157✓0.978.4M2022-01-24
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9521.8851-3.43%1.163-40.42%0.0695✓1.307.9M2022-01-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6391.5825-3.45%0.82-49.97%0.2464✓1.294.8M2022-01-24
QTUMQtumQtum10.05269.7051-3.46%5.4487-45.80%0.1425✓1.37309k2022-01-24
AAVEAaveEthereum263.91254.3498-3.62%152.41-42.25%0.1859✓1.0311.4M2022-01-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.9529.5907-3.63%6.128-38.42%0.2362✓0.67388k2022-01-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.71990.692755-3.77%0.3932-45.38%0.1961✓1.1613.2M2022-01-24
XLMStellarStellar0.2900470.278999-3.81%0.198106-31.70%0.0267✓0.9935.1M2022-01-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019960.01919-3.86%0.01192-40.28%0.3133✓0.5153k2022-01-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.17064.971-3.86%2.9084-43.75%0.3198✓0.6828k2022-01-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.4137.8845-3.87%19.02-51.74%0.2325✓1.441.3M2022-01-24
XVGVergenative0.018380.017659-3.92%0.00934-49.18%0.2617✓1.182.8M2022-01-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14060.135072-3.93%0.0759-46.02%0.2406✓1.06413k2022-01-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5712.0616-4.04%6.18-50.84%0.7531✓-0.274.9M2022-01-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.049560.047508-4.14%0.02733-44.85%0.2700✓0.8911.3M2022-01-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47030.450335-4.25%0.5315+13.01%0.6186✗1.421.1M2022-01-24
SUSHISushiEthereum7.657.3146-4.38%4.4-42.48%0.0766✓1.3615.1M2022-01-24
ZECZcashZcash169.64162.1796-4.40%94.49-44.30%0.1480✓1.2312.7M2022-01-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018810.017952-4.56%0.01025-45.51%0.1724✓1.222.9M2022-01-24
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.4251-4.59%2.34-34.82%0.0676✓0.99787k2022-01-24
LSKLiskEthereum2.51922.4014-4.68%1.6127-35.98%0.0511✓1.09147k2022-01-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,196.7129,726.34-4.71%23,944.84-23.25%0.0453✓0.547.7M2022-01-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11090.105629-4.75%0.0557-49.77%0.2030✓1.373.0M2022-01-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.20580.196013-4.76%0.1023-50.29%0.2875✓1.144.2M2022-01-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.941.8475-4.77%0.8-58.76%0.3090✓1.661.5M2022-01-24
SCSiacoinnative0.016750.015949-4.78%0.00936-44.12%0.2388✓0.921.3M2022-01-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8624610.819942-4.93%0.505092-41.44%0.1580✓1.033.4M2022-01-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.064640.061405-5.00%0.036957-42.83%0.0587✓1.419.2M2022-01-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23450.222593-5.08%0.1111-52.62%0.3194✓1.186.2M2022-01-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.3151.2477-5.12%0.7906-39.88%0.1365✓1.0122.8M2022-01-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.866.4929-5.35%4.1138-40.03%0.1004✓1.12819k2022-01-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.58423.3914-5.38%2.7044-24.55%0.1700✗1.253.4M2022-01-24
MOVRMoonriverBase185.5458175.4932-5.42%75.75-59.17%0.5307✓0.97704k2022-01-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.57481.4894-5.42%0.9125-42.06%0.1638✓1.0333.5M2022-01-24
KCSKuCoinnative22.9221.6632-5.48%15.591-31.98%0.1979✗1.6620.1M2022-01-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.39740.375514-5.51%0.2227-43.96%0.1185✓1.275.3M2022-01-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40981.3293-5.71%1.5542+10.24%0.4915✗1.051.3M2022-01-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.7928.0736-5.76%36.03+20.95%0.5198✗0.8539.4M2022-01-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11811.0518-5.93%0.554-50.45%0.1693✓1.482.4M2022-01-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.088010.082778-5.95%0.05018-42.98%0.1237✓1.1921.7M2022-01-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1810.5025-6.06%8.64-22.72%0.0505✓0.771.4M2022-01-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.41760.392204-6.08%0.2619-37.28%0.0542✓1.444.4M2022-01-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.294.9612-6.21%2.6-50.85%0.3282✓1.006.5M2022-01-24
IMXImmutableEthereum4.724.4203-6.35%2.31-51.06%0.3310✓1.002.5M2022-01-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79160.739095-6.63%0.5079-35.84%0.0144✓1.227.7M2022-01-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.112670.10505-6.76%0.06212-44.87%0.3409✓0.58113k2022-01-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000037720.000035155-6.80%0.00002123-43.72%0.1864✓1.002.1M2022-01-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.31830.296576-6.82%0.1756-44.83%0.1249✓1.265.8M2022-01-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.1818-6.95%0.67-47.24%0.2495✓1.002.4M2022-01-24
RADRadworksEthereum11.0810.2971-7.07%5.07-54.24%0.4062✓0.952.0M2022-01-24
ZENHorizenBase70.7765.7379-7.11%34.11-51.80%0.2082✓1.411.3M2022-01-24
UMAUMAEthereum9.789.0809-7.15%5.94-39.26%0.0812✓1.084.1M2022-01-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.33891.2426-7.19%0.74957-44.02%0.0403✓1.721.6M2022-01-24
LUNATerraTerra 298.491.2188-7.30%65.92-33.01%0.0069✓1.006.1M2022-01-24
API3Api3Ethereum4.914.5505-7.32%3.94-19.76%0.1739✗1.001.3M2022-01-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0378450.034867-7.87%0.020919-44.72%0.1847✓1.0311.6M2022-01-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78690.7238-8.02%0.4258-45.89%0.1255✓1.274.0M2022-01-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.08260.075817-8.21%0.0337-59.20%0.3949✓1.312.3M2022-01-24
STORJStorjEthereum2.01621.845-8.49%1.023-49.26%0.3637✓0.711.3M2022-01-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum46.4142.2047-9.06%16.47-64.51%0.3542✓1.858.6M2022-01-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.36590.332717-9.07%0.2121-42.03%0.1620✓0.91356k2022-01-24
CELLCellframeEthereum1.17991.0714-9.20%0.8142-30.99%0.0435✓1.00184k2022-01-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.5360.486446-9.25%0.254-52.61%0.4220✓0.7245k2022-01-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.845.2941-9.35%2.82-51.71%0.2225✓1.2828.7M2022-01-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.86102.5882-10.68%63.05-45.11%0.1481✓1.07136.0M2022-01-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7210.641718-11.00%0.312-56.73%0.3352✓1.213.0M2022-01-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2923.8143-11.13%2.568-40.17%0.0777✓1.003.6M2022-01-24
LRCLoopringEthereum2.28412.0218-11.48%0.8598-62.36%0.2445✓1.921.9M2022-01-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.216290.190651-11.85%0.16604-23.23%0.3682✗1.5923k2022-01-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.1342.7534-12.15%1.504-52.01%0.3004✓0.962.2M2022-01-24
UOSUltraEthereum1.72411.5137-12.20%0.8826-48.81%0.2215✓1.006.2M2022-01-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon21.7486-12.57%0.4591-77.05%1.1093✓0.727.5M2022-01-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022840.019892-12.91%0.00795-65.19%0.5992✓1.0035.6M2022-01-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum13.2311.5013-13.07%5.27-60.17%0.6139✓0.522.7M2022-01-24
HIVEHivenative1.65091.4268-13.57%0.8485-48.60%0.1077✓1.308.6M2022-01-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73540.635149-13.63%0.5732-22.06%0.4486✗1.7317.7M2022-01-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.5738.1797-14.34%23.47-47.34%0.0559✓1.714.2M2022-01-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum16.1513.767-14.76%6.71-58.45%0.7106✓0.035.1M2022-01-24
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74813.182-15.10%2.08-44.51%0.1445✓0.888.6M2022-01-24
GITCOINGITCOIN16.05713.0747-18.57%6.712-58.20%0.6777✓-0.03134k2022-01-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.014.0792-18.58%2.02-59.68%0.3848✓1.0012.1M2022-01-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.