8=======>

2021-12-24 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2799
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.3%
in alpha space · 90.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.373669+1.54%0.278-24.46%0.0459✗0.7445k2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.1677+1.30%5.92-34.59%0.2129✗0.661.0M2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27455.5795+0.73%302.74-33.06%0.0697✗1.0013.7M2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1839+0.65%3.138-24.51%0.0139✗0.81714k2022-01-23
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.081319+0.53%0.057499-28.92%0.0273✗0.95659k2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.6219+0.42%19.51-46.50%0.2899✗1.0123.1M2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.29+0.29%3.844-27.13%0.1062✗0.63846k2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.5184+0.23%16.67-22.36%0.1579✓1.2269.7M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7557+0.21%1.7-38.18%0.1555✗0.974.7M2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,794.09+0.16%36,274.40-28.47%0.0065✗0.989,2792022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35161.2926-0.04%112.35-30.37%0.0994✗1.3758.6M2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58129.3098-0.21%93.79-27.62%0.0053✗0.973.2M2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7397-0.26%5.02-35.31%0.2199✓0.631.0M2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.5581-0.29%35.99-15.67%0.1714✗1.0021.8M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5675-0.39%3.5571-0.68%0.0328✓-0.09384k2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.874-0.40%22.3-34.43%0.2034✓0.64649k2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023149-0.48%0.015019-35.43%0.0209✓1.222.2M2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero204.44202.7267-0.84%156.73-23.34%0.0501✗0.912.7M2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum199.57197.8111-0.88%109.75-45.01%0.2801✓0.9212.0M2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,389.88-0.91%36,282.47-28.65%0.0091✗1.00750.8M2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.8766-1.04%18.82-33.19%0.0181✗1.2277.3M2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.120604-1.06%0.08478-30.45%0.0112✗1.0830k2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9612-1.07%2.945-26.45%0.0564✓0.71473k2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3782-1.10%1.1249-19.28%0.1462✗1.03124.4M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.5978-1.22%2.227-38.85%0.1283✓1.04819k2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,999.26-1.24%2,541.19-37.25%0.1089✓1.02768.5M2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0401-1.29%1.82-40.91%0.0843✓1.273.2M2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.564-1.35%6.033-30.50%0.0831✗1.28511k2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2667-1.58%0.731-43.20%0.2311✓0.944.1M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.9381-1.59%14.05-44.55%0.3357✓0.712.7M2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.5718-1.63%8.17-48.39%0.2660✓1.125.0M2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.7811-1.71%25.17-32.74%0.0412✓1.006.1M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9151-1.71%5.85-35.50%0.1719✓0.74836k2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.090923-1.78%0.05508-40.50%0.0028✓1.484.8M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6174-1.79%3.94-31.12%0.0155✓1.105.0M2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum6.31286.1966-1.84%6.1111-3.20%0.2349✗0.744.6M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana190.65187.1261-1.85%99.82-47.64%0.3193✓0.92257.1M2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.182822-1.87%0.141702-23.95%0.1157✗1.106.1M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.212076-1.91%0.1477-31.68%0.0759✓0.85776k2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2205-2.01%1.421-37.29%0.0767✓1.103.4M2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.08701-2.02%0.0613-30.97%0.0043✓1.0521k2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.13590.133087-2.07%0.0976-28.18%0.0444✗1.05202k2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5101-2.13%3.59-36.23%0.0408✓1.153.0M2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4541-2.15%2.41-31.73%0.0357✓0.961.3M2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.0328-2.16%21.28-22.98%0.2241✗1.3724.1M2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.0698-2.21%2.095-33.26%0.0983✓0.84100k2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.1147-2.31%19.45-44.30%0.0744✓1.441.3M2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000114573-2.32%0.00007477-36.26%0.0962✓0.9811.7M2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6596-2.38%0.85-50.00%0.1054✓1.671.5M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.8942-2.39%3.1436-37.30%0.0158✓1.365.2M2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62102.0689-2.44%54.81-47.61%0.2944✓0.978.8M2022-01-23
DASHDashDash149.49145.7743-2.49%99.58-33.39%0.0334✗1.232.2M2022-01-23
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.063-2.50%11.43-34.69%0.0306✗1.2814.6M2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.238331-2.52%0.1617-33.87%0.2237✓0.49410k2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.885813-2.55%0.507-44.22%0.0781✓1.429.3M2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.296-2.65%12.97-22.52%0.0012✓0.681.4M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2224.0511-2.67%128.28-44.27%0.1990✓1.06239k2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.3693-2.69%3.0753-31.51%0.0778✗1.275.4M2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.056342-2.82%0.0379-34.63%0.0400✓1.0617k2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.5116-2.86%5.815-40.62%0.0297✓1.37349k2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5458-2.97%0.881-44.70%0.1250✓1.305.2M2022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration288.88279.9857-3.08%191.51-33.71%0.0223✓1.061.5M2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.269659-3.22%0.201066-27.84%0.0427✗1.0036.2M2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.673934-3.31%0.4151-40.44%0.0907✓1.1714.0M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.133048-3.52%0.0783-43.22%0.1730✓1.06445k2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.0337-3.55%2.9942-42.63%0.2901✓0.6829k2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3411.8999-3.57%6.52-47.16%0.6909✓-0.264.9M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019003-3.64%0.01258-36.21%0.2392✓0.5160k2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.6545-3.68%6.129-38.85%0.2296✓0.67455k2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.017980.017296-3.80%0.00969-46.11%0.1803✓1.182.8M2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.208438-3.99%0.1139-47.54%0.2038✓1.196.5M2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.04745-4.02%0.02905-41.24%0.1902✓0.8912.1M2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.444074-4.07%0.5547+19.83%0.7045✗1.431.2M2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8725.7696-4.10%34.65+28.95%0.5853✗0.8640.2M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash165.18158.3667-4.12%97.58-40.93%0.0672✓1.2413.6M2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9164-4.13%1.154-42.27%0.0686✓1.307.9M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33258.5961-4.34%158.72-41.29%0.1421✓1.0211.4M2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.017911-4.53%0.01032-44.99%0.1389✓1.223.2M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3771-4.60%2.44-31.07%0.0081✓0.99807k2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.193437-4.62%0.1069-47.29%0.2071✓1.144.3M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.103584-4.62%0.0576-46.96%0.1223✓1.383.0M2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.05934-4.62%0.039977-35.75%0.0827✗1.419.5M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.2502-4.67%2.7981-17.93%0.2732✗1.253.4M2022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.809822-4.80%0.54463-35.97%0.0496✓1.033.7M2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.4515-4.83%1.6289-36.76%0.0406✓1.09152k2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2227-4.84%0.8156-36.52%0.0648✓1.0122.8M2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.015705-4.88%0.00983-40.46%0.1558✓0.931.4M2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.363369-5.03%0.2414-36.91%0.0208✓1.276.2M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.3405-5.09%4.4346-33.62%0.0213✓1.12876k2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.5262-5.21%4.66-41.31%0.0216✓1.3614.9M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative22.8121.5555-5.50%15.88-30.38%0.2539✗1.6621.0M2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3092-5.51%1.4593+5.32%0.4649✗1.061.4M2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.489-5.52%0.9895-37.21%0.0622✓1.0334.9M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.07817-5.64%0.05184-37.42%0.0093✓1.1921.7M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748177.521-5.66%84.9691-54.85%0.4083✓0.97720k2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6330,712.36-5.73%25,099.20-22.96%0.0211✓0.547.0M2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.382582-5.81%0.2697-33.60%0.1374✗1.444.4M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.4247-5.91%8.96-19.13%0.1098✗0.771.5M2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0517-5.95%0.596-46.70%0.0665✓1.492.5M2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.1796-6.00%2.57-53.36%0.3633✓1.006.5M2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.3441-6.17%2.49-46.22%0.2190✓1.002.5M2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.282968-6.18%0.1855-38.49%0.0028✓1.266.2M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.1561-6.39%5.21-51.98%0.3460✓0.951.6M2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.103037-6.47%0.06514-40.87%0.2622✓0.58143k2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000033794-6.49%0.0000225-37.74%0.0692✓1.002.2M2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1471-6.74%0.66-46.34%0.2152✓1.002.4M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.568.9026-6.88%6.38-33.26%0.0319✓1.084.1M2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.741083-6.97%0.5301-33.45%0.0786✗1.237.7M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.221-7.07%0.76101-42.08%0.1070✗1.721.6M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.4795-7.26%4.37-9.52%0.3128✗1.001.5M2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.8062-7.40%3.02-41.81%0.0298✓1.2928.7M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase70.5365.2705-7.46%35.77-49.28%0.1257✓1.411.4M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.699595-7.90%0.4546-40.15%0.0002✓1.285.1M2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.071721-8.17%0.0335-57.11%0.3186✓1.312.5M2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.786-8.27%1.0945-43.78%0.2491✓0.711.3M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.035011-8.46%0.022662-40.75%0.0889✓1.0312.1M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7241.4751-9.28%17.17-62.45%0.2583✓1.858.8M2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.0785-9.29%0.8434-29.07%0.0916✓1.00190k2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.326895-9.47%0.2245-37.83%0.0692✓0.91388k2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.421-9.81%2.649-30.16%0.0818✓1.003.5M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.5135-10.01%1.611-42.32%0.1195✓0.962.2M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.60149-10.63%0.331-50.82%0.1860✓1.223.0M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93102.6118-10.72%64.85-43.57%0.0994✓1.06142.8M2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.18932-11.87%0.16077-25.16%0.3745✗1.5924k2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21291.9451-12.10%0.8591-61.18%0.1687✓1.922.1M2022-01-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.6578-12.60%0.5018-73.54%0.9519✓0.728.1M2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1110.5832-12.61%5.9-51.28%0.4057✓0.532.7M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.019121-12.73%0.00841-61.62%0.4838✓1.0039.8M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.5931.3772-13.55%0.839-47.33%0.0575✓1.3010.4M2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.5123-13.63%0.90224-48.47%0.1795✓1.006.7M2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.653878-14.21%0.609-20.10%0.5131✗1.7314.6M2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1537.8051-14.37%24.37-44.80%0.1370✓1.714.7M2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.2091-14.88%2.24-40.58%0.0220✓1.0011.9M2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.713.3358-15.06%7.33-53.31%0.5895✓0.034.8M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.52.9616-15.38%2.1145-39.59%0.0379✓0.899.0M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61112.5708-19.47%7.243-53.60%0.5625✓-0.03133k2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.