8=======>

2021-12-21 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3014
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.9%
in alpha space · 83.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4902+2.06%2.03-16.80%0.0376✗0.904.8M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.6253+1.83%7.38-12.87%0.0370✗0.641.2M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.361056+1.14%0.328-8.12%0.0384✓0.7354k2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.6304+0.98%20.18+3.81%0.2471✓1.1969.7M2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9742+0.71%3.861-2.15%0.1157✓0.78734k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94440.9603+0.69%357.74-18.31%0.0230✗1.0114.2M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.078850.079177+0.41%0.067694-14.15%0.0180✓0.95787k2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.3819+0.20%26.19-25.83%0.1157✗1.0021.2M2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16186.465+0.16%198.37+6.56%0.2325✓0.9211.0M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,522.39+0.15%41,418.10-14.51%0.0224✓0.9815k2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.5209+0.12%7.481-0.41%0.2296✓1.27635k2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8154.8835+0.05%129.8-16.15%0.0771✓1.3860.7M2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0789+0.04%4.731-6.82%0.0426✓0.621.0M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.1344-0.14%23-8.62%0.1346✗1.2175.1M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum186.26185.6282-0.34%132.32-28.96%0.1741✓0.8912.3M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64124.1082-0.43%104.32-16.30%0.0040✓0.962.5M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2735-0.51%1.2589-1.66%0.1721✗1.00131.8M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.4095-0.62%2.8203-17.79%0.0014✓1.02819k2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1122.9624-0.64%24.98+8.09%0.3256✗1.3120.8M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero188.96187.7001-0.67%188.73-0.12%0.1664✗0.872.9M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4193.0391-0.70%162.17-16.58%0.0137✗1.02228k2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.6352-0.77%45.17+7.65%0.2672✗1.0125.2M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.867-0.88%25.43-23.31%0.1398✓0.63744k2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.110841-0.89%0.0964-13.81%0.0595✗1.0830k2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022518-1.02%0.018378-19.22%0.0232✗1.231.9M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,395.77-1.06%40,670.97-16.85%0.0107✓1.00754.4M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7573-1.10%3.583-5.69%0.0777✗0.68544k2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.7805-1.19%5.81-0.68%0.2442✗1.3013.8M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5578-1.20%3.7088+2.99%0.0247✗-0.09372k2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0614.877-1.22%14.49-3.78%0.2023✗1.2414.2M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.168722-1.28%0.155509-9.01%0.1187✗1.095.5M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3334.8709-1.30%29.37-16.87%0.0121✓1.006.5M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.5938-1.38%6.14-20.26%0.0962✓0.631.1M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.8976-1.44%2.35-20.07%0.0248✗1.273.1M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.2788-1.51%4.78-10.82%0.0976✗1.075.5M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8607-1.59%2.539-12.66%0.0347✗0.83104k2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5482-1.63%7.4-14.84%0.0089✓0.73934k2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.0306-1.63%11.36-25.65%0.0717✓1.136.2M2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.5015-1.65%24.39-23.85%0.0074✓1.431.5M2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,948.40-1.71%3,000.94-25.30%0.0835✓1.03768.5M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash133.6131.2644-1.75%121.15-9.32%0.1428✗1.212.2M2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum5.325.225-1.79%4.68-12.03%0.0997✗1.142.8M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.2883-1.83%18.34-25.87%0.1538✓0.692.8M2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.1280.125617-1.86%0.1095-14.45%0.0546✗1.04202k2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.1972-1.95%0.939-23.10%0.0663✓0.964.4M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.7479-2.01%14.59-3.06%0.1100✗0.651.6M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000107068-2.02%0.00009053-17.16%0.0134✓0.9812.6M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.0828-2.13%1.679-21.10%0.0127✓1.103.3M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2795.1991-2.13%69.09-28.97%0.1426✓0.969.8M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.75175.9117-2.14%127.52-29.06%0.1550✓0.90275.4M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.0214-2.14%7.057-23.45%0.0076✓1.37349k2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.084227-2.18%0.0723-16.03%0.0425✗1.0624k2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.305563-2.44%0.3693+17.91%0.4429✗1.374.9M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.5903-2.44%1.11-31.90%0.0536✓1.661.8M2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum6.04465.8967-2.45%7.0322+16.34%0.3145✗0.754.9M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.2481-2.46%2.8-15.92%0.0281✗0.961.3M2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.054787-2.51%0.04537-19.27%0.0075✓1.0622k2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.204566-2.54%0.1666-20.63%0.0481✓0.85756k2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.842866-2.56%0.682-21.16%0.0514✗1.439.9M2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1207-2.71%3.715-12.29%0.1328✗1.284.7M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4417-2.72%1.143-22.87%0.0089✓1.315.6M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6522.9947-2.77%38.97+64.78%0.6872✗0.8741.0M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration267.01259.5514-2.79%239.61-10.26%0.1135✗1.051.5M2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7253-2.85%1.272-28.38%0.0694✓1.286.8M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.235867-2.98%0.1782-26.70%0.1929✓0.47428k2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.8209-3.15%3.8114-23.43%0.1080✓0.6931k2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.8529-3.15%3.9838-20.50%0.0551✗1.375.2M2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.258331-3.60%0.231498-13.61%0.0707✗0.9840.4M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.196411-3.67%0.1484-27.22%0.0672✓1.158.6M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.095453-3.78%0.0736-25.81%0.0086✓1.363.3M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13545.9031-3.79%5.2113-15.06%0.0816✗1.12833k2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.017350.016665-3.95%0.01234-28.88%0.0839✓1.173.1M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.098195-4.00%0.06885-32.69%0.0770✓1.516.8M2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.129403-4.15%0.1002-25.78%0.0561✓1.08559k2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.750059-4.22%0.655547-16.29%0.0525✗1.014.8M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2411.7234-4.22%7.97-34.89%0.4401✓-0.295.7M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.015083-4.30%0.01217-22.78%0.0458✓0.911.6M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.0972-4.41%3.35+3.40%0.2521✗0.94807k2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2589.8035-4.43%6.92-32.54%0.2226✓0.68388k2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.018824-4.50%0.01551-21.31%0.1063✓0.4761k2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.046185-4.54%0.03533-26.97%0.0978✓0.9215.8M2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.0447-4.57%3.1598-0.97%0.2596✗1.214.7M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.427963-4.58%0.5776+28.78%0.5618✗1.421.8M2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.676576-4.67%0.5001-29.53%0.0864✓1.1715.1M2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017213-4.69%0.01227-32.06%0.1120✓1.233.6M2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.2939-4.70%1.1614-14.46%0.0769✗1.0035.7M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.3192-4.74%1.8707-23.17%0.0103✓1.11169k2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash162.44154.5939-4.83%118.84-26.84%0.0276✓1.2813.6M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2183-5.13%1.5815+23.15%0.4558✗1.061.6M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.350479-5.20%0.2832-23.40%0.0260✓1.306.6M2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.058391-5.31%0.050637-17.88%0.1233✗1.4413.0M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.233-5.69%6.89-29.62%0.1179✓0.951.9M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.264191-5.75%0.2346-16.30%0.1100✗1.247.0M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964173.3782-5.75%119.9355-34.80%0.1888✓0.97853k2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.548.9871-5.80%9.52-0.21%0.0450✓-0.073.7M2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase64.3760.6285-5.81%47.6-26.05%0.0192✓1.421.9M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.3689-5.93%10.09+1.31%0.2113✗0.741.9M2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.677181-5.95%0.6442-10.53%0.1701✗1.197.7M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.87520.5626-6.00%19.429-11.18%0.2500✗1.6622.7M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.064573-6.14%0.0452-34.30%0.1049✓1.362.7M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum98.4448-6.17%7.75-13.89%0.1157✗1.094.1M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2305-6.40%1.0173-22.62%0.0003✓1.0323.6M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.2916-6.51%2.79-50.71%0.4555✓1.007.1M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.032-6.56%0.8682-21.39%0.1073✗1.523.3M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.09726-6.76%0.08157-21.80%0.0734✓0.56143k2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.625033-6.88%0.5606-16.48%0.1183✗1.237.1M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.2902-6.94%3.36-27.11%0.0598✓1.002.5M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.2995-6.94%3.97-14.07%0.1645✗1.3228.7M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000030544-7.02%0.00002648-19.39%0.0418✓1.001.8M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.083-7.15%0.90658-22.28%0.1357✗1.701.5M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.206311-7.23%0.1141-48.70%0.3806✓1.154.2M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9932,124.44-7.41%31,414.30-9.46%0.0793✗0.556.8M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.0998-7.58%0.89-25.21%0.0271✓1.002.4M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4638.7263-7.79%9.432-0.33%0.0546✓-0.13119k2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.6601-8.25%1.3945-22.93%0.0438✓0.711.4M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.30498-8.36%0.2825-15.11%0.0873✗0.89544k2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.5111-8.68%4.19-15.18%0.1107✗1.001.9M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9237.355-8.71%21.12-48.39%0.2282✓1.8513.1M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.2228-8.79%2.111-13.38%0.1156✗0.913.2M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.08873-9.25%0.06785-30.60%0.0430✓1.2222.6M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.564442-9.54%0.428-31.41%0.0551✓1.203.2M2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.034617-9.61%0.026039-32.01%0.0958✓1.0215.0M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.453-9.91%3.095-19.25%0.0751✓1.003.6M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0116-10.64%1.0839-4.25%0.2536✗1.00215k2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.5051-10.76%0.6721-60.15%0.6972✓0.598.7M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.183749-10.80%0.18914-8.18%0.3244✗1.6034k2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.939.6775-11.46%7.96-27.17%0.1021✓0.514.1M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.3147-12.39%1.1313-24.61%0.0357✓1.017.8M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5331.8617-12.78%30.25-17.19%0.2668✗1.735.5M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27107.3815-12.89%79.35-35.63%0.1022✓1.09164.3M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.47581.2848-12.94%1.0699-27.50%0.0549✓1.2911.9M2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.518277-13.91%0.757+25.75%0.7127✗1.8112.4M2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.1069-13.94%3.06-15.24%0.1694✗1.0012.1M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28692.8016-14.77%2.6385-19.73%0.0982✓0.8610.1M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.019521-14.90%0.01207-47.38%0.2962✓1.0033.0M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.0163-16.04%1.0653-55.64%0.2737✓1.972.4M2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.