2021-12-20 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0264

135 of 135 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

64.4%

in alpha space · 3.8% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.24%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5221	1.5222	+0.00%	1.6866	+10.81%	0.0802	✓	0.54	8.8M	2021-12-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.411	7.4071	-0.05%	7.512	+1.36%	0.0397	✓	1.29	635k	2021-12-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.348744	-0.07%	0.357	+2.29%	0.0068	✓	0.73	54k	2021-12-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06558	0.065526	-0.08%	0.09777	+49.09%	0.3595	✗	0.98	22.6M	2021-12-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	188.43	188.2561	-0.09%	194.4	+3.17%	0.0104	✓	1.02	236k	2021-12-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3873	-0.11%	2.44	+2.09%	0.0160	✓	0.91	4.9M	2021-12-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,868.20	46,803.63	-0.14%	48,448.30	+3.37%	0.0063	✓	0.98	15k	2021-12-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.75	21.7125	-0.17%	23.11	+6.25%	0.0084	✗	1.30	20.8M	2021-12-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.86	34.7964	-0.18%	35.31	+1.29%	0.0277	✓	1.02	21.2M	2021-12-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.46	8.4441	-0.19%	8.47	+0.12%	0.0242	✓	0.66	1.1M	2021-12-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	430.28	429.4708	-0.19%	437.94	+1.78%	0.0230	✓	1.02	14.2M	2021-12-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022282	0.022239	-0.19%	0.02275	+2.10%	0.0290	✓	1.25	1.9M	2021-12-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.84	14.8114	-0.19%	15.28	+2.96%	0.0160	✓	1.14	6.6M	2021-12-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	174.01	173.669	-0.20%	186.26	+7.04%	0.0340	✗	0.87	12.3M	2021-12-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10877	0.10855	-0.20%	0.11184	+2.82%	0.0154	✓	1.09	31k	2021-12-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.08	24.0301	-0.21%	25.17	+4.53%	0.0040	✓	1.21	75.1M	2021-12-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2381	1.2355	-0.21%	1.2801	+3.39%	0.0060	✓	1.00	131.8M	2021-12-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	23.75	23.6997	-0.21%	24.74	+4.17%	0.0148	✗	0.68	2.9M	2021-12-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.71	121.4521	-0.21%	124.64	+2.41%	0.0145	✓	0.97	2.5M	2021-12-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2888	3.2816	-0.22%	3.4308	+4.32%	0.0022	✗	1.02	798k	2021-12-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0652	0.065057	-0.22%	0.0688	+5.52%	0.0004	✓	1.36	2.9M	2021-12-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.38	30.3119	-0.22%	32.03	+5.43%	0.0042	✓	1.43	1.6M	2021-12-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010638	0.00010614	-0.23%	0.00010928	+2.73%	0.0119	✓	0.99	13.4M	2021-12-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9718	8.9499	-0.24%	9.2185	+2.75%	0.0283	✓	1.39	356k	2021-12-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.838	2.8311	-0.24%	2.907	+2.43%	0.0085	✓	0.84	104k	2021-12-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.78	18.7336	-0.25%	19.44	+3.51%	0.0128	✓	1.20	69.7M	2021-12-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.07761	0.077413	-0.25%	0.07885	+1.60%	0.0216	✓	0.96	798k	2021-12-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	181.01	180.5418	-0.26%	186.16	+2.85%	0.0079	✓	0.93	11.0M	2021-12-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.2	3.1916	-0.26%	3.61	+12.81%	0.0817	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.54	34.4488	-0.26%	35.33	+2.29%	0.0166	✓	1.01	6.5M	2021-12-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.409	1.4052	-0.27%	1.482	+5.18%	0.0010	✓	1.31	5.6M	2021-12-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	176.9138	176.4292	-0.27%	183.964	+3.99%	0.0015	✓	0.97	1.1M	2021-12-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.52	14.4802	-0.27%	15.06	+3.72%	0.0125	✓	1.25	14.2M	2021-12-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.811	0.808674	-0.29%	0.865	+6.66%	0.0084	✗	1.42	10.9M	2021-12-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.195	1.1915	-0.29%	1.221	+2.18%	0.0157	✓	0.97	4.6M	2021-12-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.671	1.666	-0.30%	1.776	+6.28%	0.0111	✗	1.27	7.6M	2021-12-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05406	0.053896	-0.30%	0.0562	+3.96%	0.0024	✓	1.07	22k	2021-12-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	127.33	126.942	-0.30%	133.6	+4.92%	0.0009	✓	1.21	2.2M	2021-12-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3017	0.300777	-0.31%	0.3132	+3.81%	0.0171	✓	1.39	4.9M	2021-12-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.167179	0.166654	-0.31%	0.170906	+2.23%	0.0205	✓	1.10	5.3M	2021-12-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.095	0.094701	-0.31%	0.0992	+4.42%	0.0105	✓	1.37	3.4M	2021-12-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.04	2.0336	-0.32%	2.128	+4.31%	0.0003	✓	1.10	3.4M	2021-12-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6222	0.62023	-0.32%	0.7097	+14.06%	0.0886	✗	1.11	14.9M	2021-12-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	174.06	173.5043	-0.32%	179.75	+3.27%	0.0024	✓	0.91	281.0M	2021-12-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.1249	0.124499	-0.32%	0.128	+2.48%	0.0160	✓	1.05	202k	2021-12-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2405	0.239728	-0.32%	0.2431	+1.08%	0.0059	✓	0.48	434k	2021-12-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.939	3.9263	-0.32%	3.946	+0.18%	0.0282	✓	0.80	780k	2021-12-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.06	5.0435	-0.33%	5.32	+5.14%	0.0063	✗	1.13	2.8M	2021-12-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.49	61.289	-0.33%	64.37	+4.68%	0.0102	✓	1.43	2.2M	2021-12-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.23	3.2194	-0.33%	3.33	+3.10%	0.0062	✓	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.48	5.4618	-0.33%	5.85	+6.75%	0.0154	✗	1.28	12.7M	2021-12-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.57	40.4342	-0.33%	41.96	+3.43%	0.0049	✓	1.01	25.2M	2021-12-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	263.85	262.9588	-0.34%	267.01	+1.20%	0.0291	✓	1.07	1.5M	2021-12-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.11	5.0926	-0.34%	5.36	+4.89%	0.0072	✗	1.06	5.5M	2021-12-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08901	0.088707	-0.34%	0.10229	+14.92%	0.0822	✗	1.45	6.7M	2021-12-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.755084	0.752499	-0.34%	0.783071	+3.71%	0.0025	✓	1.02	4.8M	2021-12-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.2563	2.2486	-0.34%	2.4347	+7.91%	0.0344	✗	1.09	169k	2021-12-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.63	92.3113	-0.34%	97.27	+5.01%	0.0126	✗	0.96	10.6M	2021-12-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1064	4.0922	-0.35%	4.2356	+3.15%	0.0193	✓	1.30	4.7M	2021-12-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2674	0.266474	-0.35%	0.2803	+4.82%	0.0011	✓	1.25	7.0M	2021-12-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	152.71	152.181	-0.35%	154.8	+1.37%	0.0414	✓	1.41	60.7M	2021-12-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4213	0.41984	-0.35%	0.4485	+6.46%	0.0083	✗	1.39	1.8M	2021-12-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.77	2.7604	-0.35%	2.94	+6.14%	0.0106	✗	1.26	3.0M	2021-12-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.99	31.8789	-0.35%	33.16	+3.66%	0.0135	✗	0.62	754k	2021-12-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1991	0.198396	-0.35%	0.2039	+2.41%	0.0212	✓	1.17	8.9M	2021-12-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.51	1.5045	-0.36%	1.63	+7.95%	0.0117	✗	1.65	2.0M	2021-12-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5742	3.5611	-0.37%	3.601	+0.75%	0.0152	✗	-0.10	372k	2021-12-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.8629	5.8414	-0.37%	6.1354	+4.65%	0.0030	✓	1.11	833k	2021-12-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01493	0.014874	-0.37%	0.01576	+5.56%	0.0203	✗	0.90	1.9M	2021-12-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1303	0.129812	-0.37%	0.135	+3.61%	0.0060	✓	1.09	603k	2021-12-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.033	5.014	-0.38%	5.077	+0.87%	0.0134	✓	0.62	1.0M	2021-12-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6692	0.666668	-0.38%	0.72	+7.59%	0.0282	✗	1.17	7.8M	2021-12-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,926.07	46,748.41	-0.38%	48,914.70	+4.24%	0.0038	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.01664	0.016576	-0.39%	0.01735	+4.27%	0.0033	✓	1.18	3.1M	2021-12-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	21.53	21.4465	-0.39%	23.65	+9.85%	0.0637	✗	0.82	42.5M	2021-12-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2037	0.202902	-0.39%	0.2099	+3.04%	0.0016	✓	0.85	756k	2021-12-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.25839	0.257368	-0.40%	0.267972	+3.71%	0.0003	✓	0.98	40.4M	2021-12-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.239	1.2341	-0.40%	1.2842	+3.65%	0.0043	✓	1.06	1.6M	2021-12-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6264	1.6199	-0.40%	1.8094	+11.25%	0.0833	✗	0.66	1.4M	2021-12-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2978	1.2926	-0.40%	1.3577	+4.62%	0.0077	✗	1.00	35.8M	2021-12-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3532	0.351775	-0.40%	0.3697	+4.67%	0.0044	✓	1.30	6.8M	2021-12-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09914	0.098735	-0.41%	0.10431	+5.21%	0.0326	✗	0.54	143k	2021-12-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19466	0.19386	-0.41%	0.206	+5.83%	0.0061	✓	1.61	34k	2021-12-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3175	0.316193	-0.41%	0.3328	+4.82%	0.0148	✗	0.88	693k	2021-12-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6286	0.625987	-0.42%	0.6712	+6.78%	0.0191	✗	1.22	7.7M	2021-12-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.8354	5.811	-0.42%	6.0446	+3.59%	0.0082	✗	0.75	5.1M	2021-12-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,946.16	3,929.44	-0.42%	4,017.11	+1.80%	0.0217	✓	1.06	768.5M	2021-12-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.11	4.0925	-0.43%	4.62	+12.41%	0.0677	✗	1.29	28.7M	2021-12-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.955	8.9168	-0.43%	9.463	+5.67%	0.0665	✗	-0.17	119k	2021-12-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.01	8.9714	-0.43%	9.54	+5.88%	0.0661	✗	-0.11	3.7M	2021-12-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.901	4.88	-0.43%	4.9779	+1.57%	0.0092	✓	0.70	31k	2021-12-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.75	8.7124	-0.43%	9	+2.86%	0.0133	✓	1.10	3.9M	2021-12-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.45	10.4045	-0.44%	10.93	+4.59%	0.0289	✗	0.49	4.2M	2021-12-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.84	188.0158	-0.44%	188.96	+0.06%	0.0322	✓	0.90	2.9M	2021-12-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04664	0.046435	-0.44%	0.04838	+3.73%	0.0026	✓	0.93	15.8M	2021-12-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0483	1.0436	-0.45%	1.1044	+5.35%	0.0064	✓	1.52	3.4M	2021-12-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057981	0.057718	-0.45%	0.061664	+6.35%	0.0062	✗	1.44	13.8M	2021-12-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01728	0.017202	-0.45%	0.01806	+4.51%	0.0022	✓	1.23	3.6M	2021-12-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	9.53	9.4865	-0.46%	9.79	+2.73%	0.0082	✓	0.96	2.0M	2021-12-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.16	3.1456	-0.46%	3.24	+2.53%	0.0099	✓	0.95	821k	2021-12-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0799	1.075	-0.46%	1.3147	+21.74%	0.1630	✗	0.92	23.6M	2021-12-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0836	0.083208	-0.47%	0.0861	+2.99%	0.0102	✓	1.07	24k	2021-12-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	157.02	156.2775	-0.47%	162.44	+3.45%	0.0151	✓	1.29	13.6M	2021-12-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.241	10.1916	-0.48%	10.258	+0.17%	0.0226	✓	0.70	388k	2021-12-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.6929	-0.49%	3.799	+2.37%	0.0003	✓	0.68	544k	2021-12-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.69	8.6472	-0.49%	8.69	+0.00%	0.0263	✓	0.75	838k	2021-12-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.888	4.8635	-0.50%	5.0109	+2.51%	0.0273	✓	1.38	5.2M	2021-12-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1076	1.1017	-0.52%	1.1664	+5.32%	0.0145	✓	1.72	1.5M	2021-12-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.312	2.2994	-0.54%	2.437	+5.41%	0.0207	✗	0.90	3.3M	2021-12-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01925	0.019143	-0.56%	0.01971	+2.39%	0.0096	✗	0.47	67k	2021-12-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	40.37	40.1445	-0.56%	40.92	+1.36%	0.0611	✓	1.93	13.8M	2021-12-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.14	12.0716	-0.56%	12.24	+0.82%	0.0267	✗	-0.31	5.9M	2021-12-21
HIVE	Hive	native	1.4	1.3919	-0.58%	1.4758	+5.41%	0.0045	✓	1.30	12.4M	2021-12-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.607	0.603404	-0.59%	0.624	+2.80%	0.0169	✓	1.22	3.4M	2021-12-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.76	5.7243	-0.62%	5.66	-1.74%	0.0528	✓	1.00	9.3M	2021-12-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.801	3.777	-0.63%	3.833	+0.84%	0.0268	✓	1.00	3.7M	2021-12-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	34.09	33.8725	-0.64%	36.53	+7.16%	0.0034	✓	1.74	6.0M	2021-12-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.28	4.2499	-0.70%	4.61	+7.71%	0.0398	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.103	20.9541	-0.71%	21.875	+3.66%	0.0274	✓	1.70	23.4M	2021-12-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.19	1.1813	-0.73%	1.19	+0.00%	0.0341	✓	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0189	2.0032	-0.78%	2.4015	+18.95%	0.1010	✗	1.93	2.3M	2021-12-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1667	3.142	-0.78%	3.1906	+0.75%	0.0357	✓	1.23	4.7M	2021-12-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.3	15.173	-0.83%	15.05	-1.63%	0.0365	✓	0.68	1.6M	2021-12-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3895	1.3771	-0.89%	1.5007	+8.00%	0.0446	✗	0.99	7.8M	2021-12-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003122	0.000030939	-0.90%	0.00003285	+5.22%	0.0184	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.65	9.5553	-0.98%	9.96	+3.21%	0.0110	✗	0.74	1.9M	2021-12-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.55	112.4211	-0.99%	123.27	+8.56%	0.0477	✗	1.07	164.3M	2021-12-21
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.79	4.7388	-1.07%	4.94	+3.13%	0.0001	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.035847	0.035453	-1.10%	0.038297	+6.83%	0.0352	✗	1.01	15.0M	2021-12-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1901	3.1551	-1.10%	3.2869	+3.04%	0.0044	✓	0.88	10.9M	2021-12-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01809	0.017878	-1.17%	0.02294	+26.81%	0.2078	✗	1.00	30.7M	2021-12-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8335	-1.34%	7.7	-3.02%	0.0448	✓	0.67	1.1M	2021-12-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.219	0.215219	-1.73%	0.2224	+1.55%	0.0156	✓	1.17	3.9M	2021-12-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,818.43	35,940.68	-2.38%	34,696.99	-5.76%	0.0606	✓	0.61	6.2M	2021-12-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5372	0.522156	-2.80%	0.602	+12.06%	0.0675	✗	1.80	10.2M	2021-12-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.