XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s9

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1741

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0864

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.072283	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.071841	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070241	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070647	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.072748	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.076396	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.078845	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074392	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.076769	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074763	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.081145	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.080112	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.077879	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.07731	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.080444	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.082794	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.086348	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.087887	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.086131	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.084688	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.087206	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.085905	-9.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.086808	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.088407	-10.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.093709	-11.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.096741	-13.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.097481	-14.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.096504	-12.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.085041	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.09179	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.093556	-4.52%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0895	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.083339	-6.61%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0962	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.08574	-6.99%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1273	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.086685	-7.60%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1432	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.080654	-7.74%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1215	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.075447	-6.83%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0109	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076282	-6.84%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0162	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.078619	-6.31%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0424	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.072857	-6.35%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0121	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.075647	-5.51%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0193	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.079276	-3.88%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0073	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.081016	-3.66%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0421	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.087066	-2.38%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1047	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.094544	-3.86%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1852	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.091654	-1.38%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1285	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.08991	+0.37%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1056	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094432	+1.41%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1151	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.095742	+2.73%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1303	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.0998	+3.45%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1120	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.086024	+3.30%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0771	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.086172	+4.27%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0557	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.088435	+5.44%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0294	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.088814	+5.62%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0401	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.092722	+6.74%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0375	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.09152	+8.22%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0269	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.099601	+10.41%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0387	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.097038	+10.62%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.0752	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.099621	+10.11%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0033	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.105818	+8.68%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2565	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.106463	+4.74%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2479	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.101508	+8.31%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.2015	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.107199	+5.51%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2330	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.091122	+2.53%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1302	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.076347	-5.05%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0017	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.068881	-9.24%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0046	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.069149	-9.11%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.0802	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.068126	-8.95%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.0846	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.068941	-9.10%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1164	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.069216	-9.36%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1728	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.068524	-9.07%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1338	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.067458	-8.74%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.0942	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.070675	-10.00%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1038	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.070795	-10.02%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0714	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.069553	-9.21%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0554	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.069068	-9.22%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0059	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.0691	-8.79%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0647	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.068697	-8.50%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0229	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.068817	-8.21%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0141	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.070882	-9.00%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0458	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.070007	-9.76%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1247	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069249	-8.88%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1248	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069077	-8.08%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1431	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.068064	-7.46%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1067	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072436	-7.19%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.0991	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071746	-7.00%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1218	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.077349	-7.42%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1776	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073259	-7.09%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1312	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.07897	-7.37%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1236	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.077376	-7.06%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0607	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.078678	-7.06%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0160	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.075549	-6.90%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0277	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.079343	-6.55%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0053	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.078607	-6.03%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0102	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.079464	-6.57%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0746	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.074911	-6.83%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0130	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.077505	-6.28%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0118	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.07992	-6.20%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0424	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.08106	-6.18%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0491	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.085317	-7.26%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0743	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.085824	-7.91%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.0971	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.082343	-8.00%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1328	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.081728	-8.02%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0354	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.083147	-8.53%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0584	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.083432	-9.16%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1023	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.085149	-10.75%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1547	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.082812	-8.90%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1543	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.086758	-12.19%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.1672	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.092665	-15.14%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.2260	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.091161	-14.52%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.1684	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.090503	-15.10%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.1633	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.089665	-15.97%	0.076	-28.77%	0.1892	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.084133	-11.53%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1438	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.082651	-8.97%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.1860	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.080466	-7.08%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1720	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.087229	-16.85%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2001	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.083375	-12.97%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.0879	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.084747	-15.97%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.1489	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.085238	-17.80%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.1076	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.084928	-19.04%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.1139	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.081423	-11.50%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0287	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.079992	-9.92%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0398	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.078048	-8.02%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0354	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.080396	-9.87%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0365	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.081792	-13.26%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0164	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.083929	-16.74%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.0714	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.081666	-16.50%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.0324	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.0874	-22.38%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.0133	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.078934	-13.54%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.1347	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.078286	-13.16%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1993	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.078942	-11.90%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1836	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.078428	-9.85%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1893	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.075867	-8.15%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1528	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.070816	-6.08%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2443	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.058518	-4.38%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3877	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.063547	-3.86%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3709	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.067441	-3.66%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3179	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.067025	-3.28%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3876	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064113	-2.12%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4602	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.065787	-1.81%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4247	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.080114	-5.08%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.2996	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.08279	-11.83%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2865	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.07984	-7.38%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2935	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.080795	-13.12%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3491	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.079397	-10.89%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.4061	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.079817	-12.29%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5595	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.078366	-11.65%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4967	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.080385	-15.83%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.5206	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.076926	-9.60%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6147	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.078514	-10.88%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6467	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.077117	-10.38%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5654	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.073719	-9.32%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5236	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.076146	-9.67%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3956	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075021	-8.73%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4547	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.080201	-10.59%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4572	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.078493	-9.99%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5621	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.074036	-9.33%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5889	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.07616	-9.06%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6677	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.076295	-8.74%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4397	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.079071	-8.80%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3888	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081108	-8.87%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3920	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.087822	-8.85%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3507	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085402	-9.34%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3146	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.087336	-9.07%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2135	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.093064	-9.12%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0030	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097013	-9.63%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0398	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.095081	-10.47%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0581	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.096973	-12.00%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0125	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.095843	-10.09%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0191	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.092929	-7.12%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0393	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.086302	-6.75%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2745	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.082092	-7.14%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4048	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.082358	-8.18%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2510	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.0838	-7.51%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2271	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.084143	-7.64%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1344	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.084546	-7.30%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1178	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.086655	-6.87%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0654	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.088678	-7.72%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1248	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.090516	-8.01%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0073	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.093245	-7.40%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0064	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.09151	-8.63%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0544	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.091551	-8.49%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1100	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093955	-7.02%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0793	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.094678	-6.95%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0914	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.092192	-10.14%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0492	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.093192	-10.91%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.0960	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.091659	-11.74%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1717	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.097077	-11.22%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1702	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.113799	-10.68%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3140	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.122339	-13.11%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4002	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.11462	-12.54%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3326	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.116429	-13.11%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3199	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.122224	-12.70%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3526	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.10646	-14.32%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.2870	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.118131	-13.58%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3001	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.112053	-14.04%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2098	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.105591	-14.26%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.1569	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.106385	-14.69%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1336	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.111119	-14.72%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.1907	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.100293	-16.49%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.2406	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.10167	-16.42%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3202	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.097409	-16.99%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.3373	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.093016	-15.67%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.2587	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.092112	-22.66%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.2432	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.092791	-12.46%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2184	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.084216	-9.30%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.0827	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.080132	-9.30%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0335	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.078987	-8.58%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0149	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.081366	-8.22%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0322	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083084	-6.91%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0537	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.087105	-6.99%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0371	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.093266	-7.20%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0499	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.09066	-7.21%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0423	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.089929	-6.86%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0192	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.08465	-7.03%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0213	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.086001	-7.23%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0566	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.087867	-6.77%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.1004	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.091933	-7.14%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0569	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.099238	-8.49%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.1341	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.106616	-10.07%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2542	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.11021	-10.98%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1742	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.099474	-7.42%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2720	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.099673	-9.59%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2759	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.098295	-9.28%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.2382	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.096886	-9.03%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2928	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.092139	-7.49%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2902	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.091524	-7.69%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2592	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.08432	-7.34%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.3367	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.086071	-7.50%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2864	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.08769	-7.50%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2796	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.091256	-7.54%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2682	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.105233	-11.53%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1824	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.103861	-9.05%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1789	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.100691	-12.97%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.2005	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.095639	-8.57%	0.106	+1.34%	0.1189	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.090322	-7.46%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0282	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.093486	-8.26%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0513	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.085901	-6.32%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0036	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.088538	-6.41%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0275	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.094676	-8.44%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0225	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.082086	-5.76%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0315	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.082235	-5.48%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0612	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.084237	-5.93%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0874	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.090057	-6.87%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0090	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.08864	-6.84%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0298	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.087381	-6.69%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0180	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.086211	-6.65%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0034	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.089477	-7.37%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0499	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.09331	-8.70%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.1016	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.089289	-7.18%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1807	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.093456	-8.56%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1811	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.090049	-7.45%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0967	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.085839	-6.54%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1475	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.077187	-5.41%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2583	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.076376	-5.77%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2967	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.078836	-5.75%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2316	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.078372	-5.12%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2417	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.080129	-4.38%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1443	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.080504	-3.88%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2422	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077631	-1.61%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0810	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.090407	-4.68%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2397	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.090458	-4.88%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4236	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.097487	-6.22%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3406	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.096089	-5.14%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4609	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.10028	-5.66%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3540	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.111478	-9.26%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4572	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.113789	-9.48%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4475	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.125136	-13.70%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.4036	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.122096	-11.78%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3995	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.113328	-9.23%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5069	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.108805	-8.26%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4627	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.116942	-9.42%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4261	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.113722	-8.58%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3954	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.112917	-8.09%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4675	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.116256	-7.73%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4194	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.111732	-7.35%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4441	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.12323	-7.90%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4689	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.120629	-8.20%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5446	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129706	-7.62%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5068	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.134697	-6.91%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4184	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.133289	-6.66%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4596	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.150441	-7.02%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3117	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.14775	-8.63%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3363	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.138687	-9.53%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2230	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.145416	-11.60%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.1053	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.142978	-11.19%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0919	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.148241	-12.39%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0390	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.145979	-11.58%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.1267	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.155408	-13.03%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0186	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.178924	-14.47%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0365	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.165166	-12.98%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0096	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.165213	-14.22%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.0911	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.168721	-15.13%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1295	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.164278	-16.01%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.0885	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.148569	-13.12%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.0576	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.142534	-11.58%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.144879	-11.55%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.0971	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.140247	-11.35%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.138499	-10.88%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.137459	-10.22%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1012	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.128386	-8.13%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0708	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.123197	-7.51%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.122954	-7.55%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.120442	-7.28%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.119006	-7.32%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.119679	-7.44%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.125963	-8.06%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.120769	-7.95%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.110465	-7.41%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1328	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.115645	-7.67%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1218	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.122431	-8.26%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0695	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.124701	-7.80%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1454	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.138462	-8.64%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0765	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.142601	-8.71%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.136265	-8.18%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1818	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.149564	-8.38%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0974	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.