XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s9

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0390

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.07918	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077887	-0.43%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0264	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076051	-0.37%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0065	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076435	-0.37%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0020	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078379	-0.36%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0337	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082365	-0.44%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0436	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085254	-0.51%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0179	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.080025	-0.29%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0576	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082398	-0.32%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0036	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080281	-0.26%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0028	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.088029	-0.43%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0535	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086961	-0.41%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0026	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084309	-0.36%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0284	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083465	-0.33%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0019	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087238	-0.41%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0125	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.089447	-0.39%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0195	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094306	-0.53%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0452	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.095798	-0.54%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0034	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.094959	-0.73%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0182	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092647	-0.72%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0275	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095424	-0.75%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0159	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094076	-0.83%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0028	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.094824	-0.98%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0020	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097097	-1.20%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0173	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.104399	-1.59%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0399	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.109353	-1.89%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0312	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.112195	-2.12%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0132	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.109165	-1.52%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0549	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089652	-0.39%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2121	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095935	-0.46%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0290	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097463	-0.54%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0040	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088818	-0.47%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0001	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091701	-0.53%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0259	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093259	-0.59%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0183	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087046	-0.43%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0122	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080791	-0.23%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0748	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081708	-0.21%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0208	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083765	-0.18%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0273	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077711	-0.11%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0511	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080033	-0.03%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0197	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082581	+0.12%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0320	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084231	+0.17%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0338	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089431	+0.28%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0291	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098507	+0.17%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0961	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093319	+0.41%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0656	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.090038	+0.51%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0578	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093677	+0.60%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0553	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093817	+0.66%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0107	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097137	+0.69%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0086	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.08385	+0.68%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0513	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083216	+0.70%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0029	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084439	+0.68%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0026	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084632	+0.64%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0269	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087353	+0.56%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0273	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084896	+0.39%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0155	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090347	+0.15%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0209	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087788	+0.08%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0041	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090461	-0.01%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0399	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097256	-0.12%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0641	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101214	-0.42%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0616	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093306	-0.44%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0731	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.101002	-0.59%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0520	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088492	-0.42%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0448	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079874	-0.67%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0377	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075222	-0.88%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0305	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075502	-0.76%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0006	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074295	-0.71%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0137	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07535	-0.65%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0028	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075842	-0.68%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0010	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074894	-0.61%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0298	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073488	-0.58%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0248	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.077912	-0.78%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0498	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.078049	-0.80%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0150	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076102	-0.66%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0556	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075568	-0.68%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0151	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075207	-0.72%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0112	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074595	-0.65%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0009	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074554	-0.56%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0149	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077465	-0.55%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0455	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077153	-0.55%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0043	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.07564	-0.47%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0261	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074859	-0.39%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0024	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073321	-0.31%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0261	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077751	-0.38%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0115	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076901	-0.32%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0038	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.083204	-0.41%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0767	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.07861	-0.30%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0575	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.08491	-0.40%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0380	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082957	-0.35%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0045	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084345	-0.36%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0177	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080895	-0.31%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0669	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084613	-0.34%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0193	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083392	-0.31%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0272	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084764	-0.34%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0414	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.08016	-0.30%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0478	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082464	-0.29%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0229	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084952	-0.29%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0466	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086144	-0.30%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0139	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091599	-0.44%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0387	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.09273	-0.50%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0022	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.08915	-0.39%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0140	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088473	-0.42%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0443	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.09044	-0.51%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0170	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091305	-0.59%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0040	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.094641	-0.80%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0533	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090361	-0.59%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0309	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.097743	-1.07%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0462	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.107592	-1.47%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0692	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.10524	-1.32%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0269	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.105094	-1.41%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0027	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105067	-1.53%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0007	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094246	-0.90%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0991	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090305	-0.55%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0145	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086348	-0.29%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0162	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.10332	-1.51%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1411	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094842	-1.00%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0862	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.099317	-1.52%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0263	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.101784	-1.85%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0078	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.102836	-1.97%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0020	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091238	-0.83%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1685	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088179	-0.70%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0811	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084344	-0.60%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0821	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088262	-1.05%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0564	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.092665	-1.73%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0151	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.098336	-2.44%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0596	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095373	-2.48%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0412	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.108625	-3.53%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0702	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089432	-2.05%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2584	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088347	-2.00%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0488	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.08805	-1.73%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0097	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085751	-1.44%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0110	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081684	-1.11%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0404	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075079	-0.43%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.0961	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061213	+0.02%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1584	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066114	+0.02%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0715	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069959	-0.06%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0242	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069272	-0.04%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0162	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065572	+0.11%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0013	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067028	+0.04%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0188	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.083927	-0.56%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1706	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.092556	-1.43%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0872	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085712	-0.57%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1501	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.091711	-1.39%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0285	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088146	-1.07%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0971	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.08967	-1.46%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0027	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087516	-1.33%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0313	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.093828	-1.75%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0533	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084531	-0.67%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1381	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.087379	-0.82%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0036	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085408	-0.75%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0616	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080811	-0.60%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0570	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083698	-0.71%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0358	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081788	-0.50%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0050	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.088969	-0.81%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0361	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086633	-0.65%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0333	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081291	-0.44%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0559	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083377	-0.45%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0173	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083245	-0.42%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0155	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086289	-0.47%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0176	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088548	-0.51%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0019	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.095776	-0.60%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0338	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.09365	-0.58%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0067	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095488	-0.59%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0093	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101714	-0.67%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0346	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106471	-0.82%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0305	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.10518	-0.96%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0077	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108864	-1.21%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0333	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.10572	-0.83%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0382	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099604	-0.45%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0904	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.092242	-0.33%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0731	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.088115	-0.32%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0330	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089349	-0.39%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0311	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090285	-0.35%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0045	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090772	-0.36%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0091	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090896	-0.33%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0304	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092758	-0.31%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0265	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095742	-0.37%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0185	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.098004	-0.40%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0012	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.100352	-0.35%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0033	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099675	-0.47%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0077	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099555	-0.49%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0026	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100665	-0.38%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0085	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101331	-0.41%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0041	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.101834	-0.75%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0345	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103697	-0.86%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0196	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.102931	-0.89%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0230	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108374	-0.89%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0061	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126143	-0.99%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1177	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.13893	-1.33%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1236	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.129568	-1.13%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0768	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.132166	-1.37%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0214	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.138016	-1.42%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0243	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.122432	-1.46%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0614	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.134423	-1.67%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0331	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.128155	-1.68%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0628	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.12121	-1.58%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0495	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.122571	-1.71%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0092	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.127796	-1.92%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0084	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.117625	-2.06%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0407	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.119123	-2.08%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0113	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.114767	-2.20%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0229	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.108045	-2.04%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0757	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.115603	-2.94%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0483	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.104896	-1.04%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1530	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092396	-0.49%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1397	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087992	-0.41%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0220	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086128	-0.31%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0085	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088383	-0.30%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0148	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089075	-0.20%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0041	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093394	-0.27%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0066	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100127	-0.37%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0145	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097368	-0.34%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0160	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096253	-0.31%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0219	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090843	-0.23%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0023	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092453	-0.27%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0073	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093998	-0.27%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0190	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098673	-0.33%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0579	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107829	-0.57%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0579	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117513	-0.87%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0265	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.122562	-1.00%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0146	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106946	-0.47%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1071	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109453	-0.72%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0506	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107584	-0.71%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0186	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105799	-0.66%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0154	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099139	-0.46%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0649	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098686	-0.47%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0041	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090674	-0.36%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0577	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092698	-0.38%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0730	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.09436	-0.46%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0148	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098073	-0.64%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0155	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117307	-1.38%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1163	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.112906	-1.13%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0884	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.113989	-1.48%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0925	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103857	-0.71%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1190	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097146	-0.47%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0046	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101241	-0.65%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0092	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091373	-0.36%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0841	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094165	-0.46%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0102	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102622	-0.75%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0703	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086973	-0.15%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0888	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086887	-0.13%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0147	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089359	-0.21%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0385	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096358	-0.35%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0661	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094827	-0.34%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0202	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093363	-0.31%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0026	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.09209	-0.28%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0049	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096188	-0.43%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0183	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101505	-0.68%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0203	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095745	-0.47%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0639	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101397	-0.79%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0322	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096721	-0.59%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0353	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091552	-0.32%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0067	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081616	+0.02%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1356	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081057	+0.01%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0444	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083649	-0.00%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0046	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082676	+0.09%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0154	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083972	+0.21%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0380	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083981	+0.28%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0246	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079409	+0.65%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1476	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095026	+0.19%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1441	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095237	+0.14%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0783	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103874	-0.07%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0016	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101401	+0.10%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0283	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106289	-0.01%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0046	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122123	-0.59%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0223	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.124889	-0.65%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0050	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143092	-1.32%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0033	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137073	-0.96%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0550	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124291	-0.45%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0851	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118265	-0.28%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0102	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128521	-0.45%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0158	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123964	-0.35%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0506	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122489	-0.29%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0152	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125661	-0.27%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0252	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120369	-0.19%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0191	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.133356	-0.33%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0067	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130935	-0.35%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0486	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139916	-0.34%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0267	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.14425	-0.31%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0175	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.142383	-0.29%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0182	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.161227	-0.35%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0904	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160874	-0.51%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0306	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.152413	-0.58%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0510	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163141	-0.83%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0708	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.15971	-0.80%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0160	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.167453	-1.03%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0355	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.16346	-0.99%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0485	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.176346	-1.32%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0590	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.205478	-1.78%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0832	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.186993	-1.48%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1156	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.189217	-1.76%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0592	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.194829	-2.00%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0362	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.191353	-2.17%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0203	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.168342	-1.55%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1187	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.159096	-1.31%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0581	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.161614	-1.33%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.155965	-1.41%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0344	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.153436	-1.26%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0393	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.151552	-1.01%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0243	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.138852	-0.64%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0918	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132478	-0.54%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132281	-0.54%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129351	-0.42%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127847	-0.43%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128712	-0.45%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136235	-0.56%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130596	-0.46%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119002	-0.25%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0672	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124856	-0.31%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.132863	-0.44%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134697	-0.41%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.150709	-0.55%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0881	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155294	-0.58%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.147707	-0.47%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0562	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162298	-0.58%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0648	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.