XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s9

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

45.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1836

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0208

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004294	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004274	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004296	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004234	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004433	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.00445	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004479	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004263	-1.77%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0273	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.0041	-1.57%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0563	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004057	-1.55%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0737	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003953	-1.48%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0828	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003983	-1.50%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1266	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003991	-1.49%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1298	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003863	-1.40%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1707	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004082	-1.45%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0587	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004082	-0.93%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0202	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004046	-0.78%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0166	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004417	-0.36%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.1003	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003774	-1.11%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0644	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004898	-1.81%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1944	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004931	-1.72%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2363	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004893	-2.39%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1684	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004221	-1.09%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0117	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004484	-1.26%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0806	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004429	-0.57%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0104	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004587	-0.64%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1822	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004686	-0.89%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0645	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005041	-1.47%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0023	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004426	-0.21%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1204	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004381	+0.62%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0360	✗	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004366	+0.69%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0293	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004303	-1.59%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0490	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004486	-1.70%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0430	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004687	-2.24%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0218	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.00512	-6.04%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0172	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004236	-2.50%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0646	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003776	-1.58%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1982	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003811	-1.63%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1602	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003595	-1.39%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2091	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003028	-0.90%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4199	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003848	-0.92%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2292	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003941	-0.69%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3236	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003993	-0.40%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0786	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004874	-0.55%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2477	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004816	-0.39%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2201	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004708	-0.20%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2648	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004537	+0.17%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.4020	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004768	+0.51%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2114	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005125	+1.15%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2704	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005063	+0.95%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2295	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005066	+1.47%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0291	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004756	+1.87%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0180	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.00515	+2.06%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0797	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005233	+2.52%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1397	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005345	+2.81%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.1139	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005564	+3.32%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0903	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005601	+3.38%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.1164	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005407	+3.36%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0838	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005456	+3.41%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1572	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005348	+3.31%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0584	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.00525	+3.21%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0234	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.00508	+3.11%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0215	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.00589	+1.91%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.1010	✗	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005596	-2.66%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0428	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005617	-3.48%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0887	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005676	-3.63%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.0912	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005765	-3.75%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1283	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005767	-3.76%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1454	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.0057	-3.65%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1668	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005713	-3.65%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0028	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005836	-3.83%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0243	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006188	-4.41%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0632	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006468	-4.85%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.0943	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006449	-4.91%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0705	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006157	-4.62%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0238	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006581	-5.20%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1031	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006692	-5.43%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1195	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006888	-5.90%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1247	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.00622	-5.30%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0402	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006057	-5.11%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.1155	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005796	-4.51%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1575	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005703	-4.25%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1258	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005756	-4.21%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1892	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005758	-3.71%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2063	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005813	-3.59%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2308	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005674	-3.08%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1465	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005907	-3.49%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0774	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.0061	-3.72%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0063	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006075	-3.78%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0218	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006053	-3.58%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0091	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006028	-2.94%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0083	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005989	-2.33%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0069	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006184	-2.72%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0550	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006076	-2.80%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0054	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.00566	-2.44%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1148	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005652	-2.57%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1093	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005629	-2.92%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1097	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.0058	-4.00%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0731	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005828	-4.56%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0551	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006044	-6.30%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.00521	-4.23%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005512	-5.98%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005168	-5.75%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0996	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004751	-4.99%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.2030	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005156	-7.88%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1490	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003956	-3.08%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3951	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003733	-3.37%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5208	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003119	-3.73%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5838	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003107	-4.16%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6325	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002839	-5.36%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.6473	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002163	-11.45%	0.005	+104.73%	0.8127	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006497	-1.92%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1763	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007107	-1.14%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5918	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006901	-0.47%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6588	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007815	-1.24%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9423	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008664	-1.37%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0499	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008856	-1.51%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1337	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009027	-1.56%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3484	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009173	-1.51%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3548	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010224	-2.18%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3354	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.