XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s9

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +30d

assessed

91

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

63.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2167

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0602

actual -0.0970

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004091	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004082	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004092	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004103	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004054	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004215	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004231	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004261	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004069	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.00393	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003888	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003789	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003813	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003814	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003695	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003892	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003888	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003851	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004207	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003594	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004676	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004714	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004681	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004025	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004279	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.00422	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.00438	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004486	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004846	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004229	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004183	-3.92%	0.004312	-0.97%	0.0227	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004181	-3.59%	0.004312	-0.57%	0.0227	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004166	-4.71%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0486	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004358	-4.50%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0044	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004577	-4.53%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0579	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005031	-7.68%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0953	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004129	-4.96%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1082	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003642	-5.09%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2649	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003683	-4.93%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1768	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003447	-5.43%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.2082	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.00291	-4.78%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3588	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003663	-5.68%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.1073	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.00374	-5.76%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0942	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003805	-5.11%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0734	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004702	-4.06%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1734	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004641	-4.00%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.1025	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004533	-3.92%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0831	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004368	-3.57%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0542	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004598	-3.08%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0198	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.00496	-2.09%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2518	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004885	-2.61%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0481	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.00488	-2.26%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0556	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004572	-2.08%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1079	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004963	-1.66%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1333	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005051	-1.05%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0911	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005165	-0.66%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1287	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005417	+0.61%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1463	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005445	+0.51%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1240	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005256	+0.48%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0066	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005331	+1.03%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1651	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.00521	+0.64%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1482	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005109	+0.44%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1277	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004971	+0.90%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1183	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005377	-6.97%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.1768	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005312	-7.59%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1148	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005365	-7.81%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0006	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005431	-7.79%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2383	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005518	-7.89%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3811	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005519	-7.91%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3752	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005444	-7.98%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4201	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005459	-7.92%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6006	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005597	-7.77%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3856	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.005983	-7.58%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4291	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006289	-7.48%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4676	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.00628	-7.40%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2681	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005976	-7.41%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2335	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006444	-7.18%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3356	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006585	-6.94%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3993	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006805	-7.04%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3836	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006096	-7.19%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1898	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005915	-7.33%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1617	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005618	-7.44%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1143	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.0055	-7.65%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1507	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005539	-7.83%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0808	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005516	-7.75%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0779	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005566	-7.68%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0655	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005417	-7.46%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0012	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005658	-7.57%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0403	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005844	-7.76%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1029	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.0058	-8.14%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0770	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005738	-8.58%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0843	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.00567	-8.70%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.0999	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005603	-8.62%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1296	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005727	-9.91%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0093	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005604	-10.33%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0309	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005301	-8.62%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.0933	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005313	-8.41%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1023	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005317	-8.31%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1153	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005491	-9.11%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0847	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005533	-9.39%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0613	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005741	-10.99%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005033	-7.49%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.1689	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.00533	-9.09%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.1978	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005033	-8.21%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.2984	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004643	-7.15%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3678	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005036	-10.03%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2212	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003823	-6.33%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5548	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003593	-7.00%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6630	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003011	-7.07%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.8791	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003009	-7.19%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.7735	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002777	-7.44%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.8263	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002246	-8.03%	0.00607	+148.53%	0.9785	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.00632	-4.60%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006875	-4.37%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1812	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006654	-4.02%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.2076	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007565	-4.39%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2872	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008398	-4.41%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4318	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008585	-4.53%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3991	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008754	-4.53%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.4085	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008901	-4.43%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.4175	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009956	-4.74%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.5109	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.