UMX

UMX · · lstm_s9

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 201

Track record at +30d

assessed

37

of 67 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2516

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0073

actual -0.2589

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0466	0.045616	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.041521	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.054366	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.054506	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.055015	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.058089	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.058116	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.058424	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.058506	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.059313	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.059309	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.059553	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.059711	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.059269	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.060675	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.061755	+0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.062008	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.063327	+2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.061119	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.061296	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.061366	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.060485	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.060401	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.059823	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.060816	+0.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.061261	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.061123	+0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.061968	+1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.06214	+1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.063335	+4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.064363	+5.22%	0.0466	-23.82%	0.2969	✗	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.06008	-2.21%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.3484	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.059196	-2.09%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0750	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.060014	-2.21%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0878	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.058513	-4.31%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0794	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.059228	-4.49%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0374	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.058336	-4.15%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0299	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.058372	-3.55%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0115	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.058554	-3.66%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0350	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.060483	-3.37%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0375	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.063015	-3.12%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0980	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.062991	-3.18%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0888	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.063823	-1.60%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0865	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.065814	-1.02%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.1153	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.067999	-0.10%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.1373	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.070206	+0.40%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.1843	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.072257	+0.53%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.2296	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.072389	+0.44%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.2419	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.07441	+1.75%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.2342	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.074382	+0.19%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.2760	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.075058	+0.91%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.2914	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.076488	+2.05%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.2815	✗	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.077036	+1.64%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.3041	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.076695	+2.08%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.2999	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.077871	+2.02%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.3301	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.079147	+2.84%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.3098	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.084421	+2.74%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.3885	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.085737	+2.62%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.4096	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.091138	+2.74%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.4648	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.088596	+2.16%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.4810	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.088208	+1.73%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.4828	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.085078	+1.94%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.3611	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.08061	-2.60%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3944	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.081201	-4.31%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.4345	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.081067	-4.57%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.4478	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.080841	-4.50%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.4315	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.080773	-4.37%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.4678	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.