SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s9
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3162
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0681
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.086192 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.086185 | -5.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.08673 | -5.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.087162 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.088532 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.088455 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.08963 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.084143 | -5.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.085268 | -5.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.097555 | -5.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.094999 | -5.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.094467 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.094131 | -5.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.092973 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.092873 | -6.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.090787 | -5.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.093079 | -5.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.08044 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.088419 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.086315 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.08903 | -4.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.090616 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.102034 | -5.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.118073 | -6.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.115362 | -6.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.142943 | -9.64% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.118382 | -7.45% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.099939 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.098953 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.098922 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.091107 | -3.91% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0470 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.099179 | -3.56% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1477 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.106058 | -6.24% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.1020 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.111239 | -6.45% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1746 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.111871 | -6.46% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1485 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.119874 | -7.30% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.3111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.129262 | -7.96% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.120289 | -7.34% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3877 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.142405 | -8.56% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.5027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.142941 | -8.73% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.4007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.167365 | -9.80% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.5617 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.175473 | -10.52% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.6405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.165016 | -11.24% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.5802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.123126 | -9.93% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.122682 | -10.56% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.2549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.106162 | -9.64% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.096013 | -6.71% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0385 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.074207 | -3.60% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.072988 | -3.51% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1585 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071186 | -2.87% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2014 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.067264 | -4.07% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.066991 | -4.00% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.066886 | -3.71% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4192 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.068436 | -4.21% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5421 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.068569 | -4.31% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5241 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.070841 | -5.08% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7217 | ✗ | 1.00 |