PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s9

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

51.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1645

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0141

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.09813	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097364	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094363	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085485	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088405	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091515	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.095193	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.097614	-1.29%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0340	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.101867	-1.30%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0115	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.10568	-1.33%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0976	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.107472	-1.37%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2170	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.111381	-1.31%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2291	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.111306	-1.33%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1924	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.111509	-1.31%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1513	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.110976	-1.31%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1130	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.111508	-1.19%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0860	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.113111	-1.04%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0673	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.114117	-1.03%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0644	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.11411	-0.98%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0236	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.115118	-1.11%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0284	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.114993	-1.12%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0265	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.116351	-1.14%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0484	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.115236	-1.20%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0221	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.114685	-1.20%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0042	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.114007	-1.19%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0196	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.120762	-1.28%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0394	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.121097	-1.30%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0383	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.119311	-1.28%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0241	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.117405	-1.24%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0041	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.112509	-1.19%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0330	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.119512	-1.08%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0402	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.116854	-1.07%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0250	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.114056	-1.24%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.0870	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.115284	-1.36%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0789	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112837	-1.22%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0852	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108035	-0.79%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1502	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.108549	-0.69%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1047	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.106979	-0.42%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1896	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.112207	-0.96%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1085	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.109892	-0.64%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0793	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.116256	-0.95%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0331	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.113519	-0.86%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0323	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.109134	-0.48%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0035	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.116531	-1.14%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0812	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.124056	-1.30%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1620	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.130614	-1.46%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1481	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.126226	-1.10%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1520	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.124776	-1.07%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0760	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.122633	-1.03%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0814	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.128435	-0.52%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1841	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.13558	-0.71%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1366	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.148406	-0.24%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1626	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158957	+0.21%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1793	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.174539	+0.35%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3040	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.18339	+0.58%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3693	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.1887	+0.81%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4148	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.205165	+1.19%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4594	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.206892	+1.43%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4222	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.215735	+1.69%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3766	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.223861	+1.81%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3462	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.233516	+1.00%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2948	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.230333	+0.41%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2296	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.249747	-1.02%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2904	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.250996	-2.26%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1841	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.308845	-2.47%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4211	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.435726	-2.76%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.9001	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.38085	-2.42%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7320	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.387257	-2.61%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7182	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.342585	-3.38%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5920	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.341877	-2.53%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5119	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.293938	-2.08%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2766	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.316343	-2.31%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0969	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.32194	-2.48%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3116	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.297736	-2.30%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2612	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.268992	-2.11%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4268	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.293997	-2.25%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2213	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.277668	-2.24%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2659	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.273769	-2.12%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1064	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.266053	-2.13%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2167	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.251402	-2.21%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2809	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.2518	-2.57%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1836	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.258041	-2.81%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0406	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.235938	-2.45%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2077	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.238387	-3.15%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1414	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.238638	-3.46%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1664	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.20621	-2.64%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2666	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.178396	-1.57%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3627	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.177247	-1.96%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3802	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.186321	-2.73%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3768	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.178293	-1.31%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3185	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.177486	-1.27%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3386	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.170334	-0.93%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3755	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.168947	-0.84%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2468	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.175246	-0.92%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0580	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.172218	-0.95%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0629	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.170685	-0.92%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1092	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.170998	-0.99%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0607	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.168496	-0.95%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0628	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.167317	-0.92%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0106	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.167949	-0.89%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0003	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.173305	-1.02%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0027	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.163817	-0.88%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0260	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.16923	-1.03%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0074	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.167531	-0.99%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0214	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.172038	-1.12%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0095	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.167831	-1.05%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0017	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.17024	-1.14%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0225	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.186275	-1.77%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0723	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.186632	-1.77%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1107	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.170404	-1.21%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0026	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.180913	-1.74%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0709	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.176512	-1.49%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0264	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.165934	-1.21%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0093	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.164017	-1.15%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0312	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.157669	-0.88%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1479	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.161361	-1.16%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1354	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.152919	-0.81%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.0991	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.149675	-0.77%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1947	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143443	-0.46%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2130	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.143684	-0.34%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1493	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138346	-0.26%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1900	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.140882	-0.68%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1393	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.137768	-0.64%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1868	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.141651	-0.61%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1025	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.143677	-0.77%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0684	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.143585	-0.60%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0197	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150172	-0.65%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0251	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155901	-0.98%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.1016	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.163175	-0.96%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1282	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.181943	-1.23%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2636	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.187301	-1.50%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2641	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.192425	-1.79%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2836	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.188595	-1.60%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2665	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.194517	-2.15%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2495	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.174949	-0.48%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.1114	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.178833	-0.63%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0896	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.186095	-1.47%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0148	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.176488	-0.85%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0710	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.173738	+0.18%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1165	✓	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.17517	+0.14%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.0874	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.185578	-1.44%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0686	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.202966	-2.11%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1461	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.190936	-1.98%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0567	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.19392	-1.99%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0288	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.198327	-2.45%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1184	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.197744	-2.56%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1444	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.177985	-2.05%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0350	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.173565	-2.78%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0682	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.153091	-0.51%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.3021	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.159219	-0.65%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1950	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.170896	-1.03%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1361	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.177705	-1.07%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1289	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.189167	-1.30%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0659	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.18702	-0.95%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0323	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.194959	-1.23%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0992	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.198085	-1.22%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2613	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.198478	-1.06%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2164	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.204438	-1.17%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1680	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.198028	-0.80%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0986	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.201912	-0.83%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0562	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.217295	-1.23%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1538	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.247005	-1.67%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2478	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.250627	-1.77%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2349	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.250584	-1.72%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2475	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.268864	-1.89%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.3005	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.266288	-1.87%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3265	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.283775	-2.10%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3503	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.277821	-2.12%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2415	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.268579	-2.11%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0593	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.261773	-2.13%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0409	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.276348	-2.57%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0834	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.259819	-2.14%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0670	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.247209	-2.04%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1220	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.257199	-2.08%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1357	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.247853	-1.96%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1518	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.274707	-2.10%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0221	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.305677	-2.55%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.1014	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.340709	-3.93%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1517	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.309364	-4.84%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1379	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.216406	-1.95%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1537	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.204161	-1.78%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2517	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.201964	-1.70%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2244	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199031	-1.46%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3691	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.228358	-2.24%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3494	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.22121	-2.14%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4724	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.21544	-2.18%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3919	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.18678	-1.72%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1033	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.177347	-1.50%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1338	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.238038	-4.14%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.27828	-6.38%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3612	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.178586	-1.21%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2244	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.177093	-1.29%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2153	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.173573	-1.22%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2192	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.181737	-1.86%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.170017	-1.39%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.159674	-1.29%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3869	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.166305	-1.47%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5349	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.171878	-1.63%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.168801	-1.59%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0299	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.168195	-1.73%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.188526	-2.25%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.162401	-1.79%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.142234	-1.40%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0423	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.