PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s9

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3719

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0399

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.09602	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.095488	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092378	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.083612	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086276	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.08927	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092883	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.09531	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099322	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.103181	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104746	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.10874	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.108672	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.108803	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.108293	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.109059	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.110913	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.112053	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.112211	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.112904	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.112799	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.114123	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.112823	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.112265	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.111634	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.118416	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.118806	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.117121	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.1154	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.110622	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.117929	-2.39%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1762	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.115405	-2.29%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1612	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.112066	-2.96%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1460	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.113309	-3.05%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2673	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.110583	-3.19%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.2068	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.105469	-3.15%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0957	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.106018	-3.00%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0577	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.104269	-2.95%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0100	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.109767	-3.11%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0378	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.107437	-2.86%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0392	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.113735	-3.10%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0115	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.110974	-3.08%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0621	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.106454	-2.92%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1028	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.113899	-3.37%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0248	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.121242	-3.54%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0555	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.127837	-3.56%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0988	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.12305	-3.59%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0461	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.121474	-3.69%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0196	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.119044	-3.93%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0009	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.12487	-3.28%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0519	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.13134	-3.82%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0980	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.14373	-3.38%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1761	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.15348	-3.24%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2528	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.168391	-3.18%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3523	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.176889	-2.99%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4111	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.182131	-2.69%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3779	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.198643	-2.03%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4666	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.200516	-1.70%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4874	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.209636	-1.19%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5429	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.218108	-0.81%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6289	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.228828	-1.03%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.6117	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.226269	-1.36%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6190	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.247102	-2.06%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7494	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.243106	-5.34%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6994	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.30079	-5.01%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9756	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.426475	-4.83%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.5194	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.372677	-4.51%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3763	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.379404	-4.58%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4375	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.333367	-5.98%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2839	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.332361	-5.24%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2896	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.285127	-5.02%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0860	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.307371	-5.08%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.2047	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.312555	-5.32%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2457	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.288636	-5.29%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.1124	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.260539	-5.19%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9464	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.285002	-5.24%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9921	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.269193	-5.22%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9759	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.26555	-5.06%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9782	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.258879	-4.77%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9644	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.245177	-4.63%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8906	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.24585	-4.87%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7918	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.251877	-5.13%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7367	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.230571	-4.67%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.6085	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.232769	-5.43%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.5127	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.232264	-6.03%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4459	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.200946	-5.12%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2461	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.175621	-3.10%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0481	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.174902	-3.26%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0310	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.182779	-4.58%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0036	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.174617	-3.34%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1152	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.173669	-3.39%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1727	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.167016	-2.86%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2136	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.166062	-2.53%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3139	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.172284	-2.60%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3437	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.169236	-2.67%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5896	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.167902	-2.54%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9817	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.168064	-2.68%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8462	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.16584	-2.52%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8858	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.164943	-2.32%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7753	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.165604	-2.27%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7688	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.170742	-2.48%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5828	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.16101	-2.58%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6855	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.166278	-2.76%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6881	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.164817	-2.60%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6134	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.169049	-2.84%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4805	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165005	-2.72%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5875	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.16736	-2.81%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5098	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.181676	-4.19%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4256	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.182086	-4.17%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3971	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.167701	-2.78%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4247	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.177074	-3.82%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3759	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.172843	-3.54%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4219	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163106	-2.89%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3844	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.161387	-2.74%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4002	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.155356	-2.34%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4176	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.158887	-2.67%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2602	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.150599	-2.32%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1625	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.147459	-2.24%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1891	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140959	-2.19%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2869	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.140942	-2.25%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2309	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.135469	-2.33%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2590	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.138297	-2.50%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2078	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134875	-2.72%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2245	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.138582	-2.76%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2293	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140827	-2.74%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2064	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140687	-2.60%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1971	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.147325	-2.53%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1499	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.153432	-2.55%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1056	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.160608	-2.52%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0575	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.178263	-3.23%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0453	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.182955	-3.78%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0414	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.187243	-4.44%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1159	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.184059	-3.97%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0744	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.188235	-5.31%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.1074	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.170261	-3.15%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0164	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.174353	-3.12%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0305	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.18061	-4.37%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0465	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.17194	-3.40%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.0979	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.168223	-3.00%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1184	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.169832	-2.91%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0129	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.180442	-4.17%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0196	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.197009	-4.99%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0962	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.185894	-4.57%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0989	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.189191	-4.38%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.1346	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.193873	-4.64%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.2134	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.193149	-4.83%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1821	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.174413	-4.02%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1434	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.168705	-5.50%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1311	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.14756	-4.10%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0255	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.153376	-4.30%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0742	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.164965	-4.47%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.2043	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.171508	-4.52%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.2159	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.182487	-4.78%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2956	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.180156	-4.59%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2567	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.188104	-4.70%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.3009	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.191107	-4.70%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.3215	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.191541	-4.52%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2782	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.197362	-4.59%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2641	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.191423	-4.11%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1834	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.195574	-3.95%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0956	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.210249	-4.43%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1534	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.238761	-4.95%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3192	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.241822	-5.22%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3458	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.24224	-4.99%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3228	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.260042	-5.10%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5728	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.257813	-4.99%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5430	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.274172	-5.41%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5127	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.268421	-5.43%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5458	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.259667	-5.36%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5598	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.253484	-5.23%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5347	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.267146	-5.81%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4808	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.25039	-5.69%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3194	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.238263	-5.58%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.3061	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.248342	-5.45%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2914	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.239672	-5.20%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.2050	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.266691	-4.96%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2898	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.298109	-4.97%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.5092	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.330315	-6.86%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.6356	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.295838	-9.00%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6729	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.209438	-5.11%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2656	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.197928	-4.78%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1364	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.196179	-4.52%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0880	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.194436	-3.73%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.222479	-4.75%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1280	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.215391	-4.72%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.1029	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.210102	-4.60%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.18275	-3.84%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.17525	-2.67%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1500	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.231848	-6.63%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1536	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.260587	-12.33%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2851	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.175309	-3.03%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1722	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.173661	-3.20%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2802	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.170405	-3.02%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3406	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.176254	-4.83%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2403	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.166051	-3.69%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.3892	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.156068	-3.52%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4344	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.162299	-3.84%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4636	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.167517	-4.13%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4068	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.164798	-3.92%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4031	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.163906	-4.23%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3218	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.182531	-5.36%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.2816	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.157859	-4.54%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3487	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.138397	-4.06%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4409	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.