NIULAI

? · · lstm_s9

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

73.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1807

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0243

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.061909	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.061612	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061894	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057692	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058504	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059283	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064573	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066717	-0.98%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0994	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068897	-1.05%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1456	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073227	-1.88%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1555	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071151	-1.26%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2069	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.07748	-2.26%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2482	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078291	-2.23%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2490	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073087	-1.49%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0991	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072324	-1.06%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0782	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.070925	-1.06%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0115	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.07787	-1.52%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0033	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075792	-1.31%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0148	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081385	-1.17%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0177	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079292	-1.02%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0389	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086757	-0.91%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1254	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098477	-0.80%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2497	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103771	-1.01%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3655	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104105	-0.98%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.3045	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114036	-1.56%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4305	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103098	-0.90%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2576	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.104776	-1.01%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2737	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103251	-1.01%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1716	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.099754	-0.88%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0124	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106111	-1.21%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0011	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.110752	-1.40%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0126	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.106444	-1.23%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1335	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.099576	-1.50%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0147	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.10584	-1.92%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0552	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.116406	-2.69%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1657	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.103789	-2.33%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1309	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.098357	-2.18%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.11568	-3.37%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1608	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.117667	-3.75%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1902	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.112604	-3.83%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1631	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.127123	-5.78%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2139	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.118625	-5.68%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0380	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.11407	-6.02%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0684	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.07733	-1.60%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.2903	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097987	-4.05%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2374	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.080051	-1.96%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4351	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.088369	-2.91%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3265	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.111731	-7.32%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2213	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.081847	-2.70%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4610	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.092253	-4.21%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3343	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.075337	-3.19%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.079822	-4.24%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2329	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.095821	-6.85%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1668	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.093157	-8.20%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.055189	+0.45%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7612	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.05619	+0.23%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3802	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.