NIULAI

? · · lstm_s9

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0924

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062502	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062454	-0.07%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0059	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057994	+0.08%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0544	✓	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058813	+0.08%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0116	✗	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.05953	+0.13%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0247	✗	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.065037	+0.03%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0875	✗	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067353	-0.04%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0238	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069588	-0.06%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0426	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074423	-0.28%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0390	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.07199	-0.10%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0117	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078983	-0.36%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0590	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079802	-0.34%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0197	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.074095	-0.13%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0714	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.07308	-0.03%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0005	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.07167	-0.02%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0475	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078962	-0.14%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0603	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076736	-0.08%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0334	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.08229	-0.07%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0574	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.080097	-0.02%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0003	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087539	-0.01%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0924	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.099235	-0.04%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1201	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104726	-0.09%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0737	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.105034	-0.09%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0007	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.115542	-0.26%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0973	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103953	-0.07%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1248	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105732	-0.10%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0170	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.104204	-0.10%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0103	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100579	-0.06%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0412	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.107245	-0.15%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0637	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.112081	-0.22%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0146	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107586	-0.17%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0492	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100893	-0.20%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0291	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.10757	-0.32%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0608	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118967	-0.55%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1038	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105842	-0.40%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.100201	-0.35%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0561	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118854	-0.72%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121211	-0.85%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.116064	-0.88%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.132826	-1.56%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1201	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.1238	-1.56%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0853	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119385	-1.64%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.07842	-0.21%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4594	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.101179	-0.93%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2506	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081403	-0.30%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2350	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090485	-0.59%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0871	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118174	-1.98%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2674	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083655	-0.55%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3635	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095275	-1.07%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077245	-0.74%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1707	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082376	-1.18%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.100545	-2.26%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1725	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.098727	-2.71%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0296	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.055003	+0.11%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6198	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.056086	+0.05%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0257	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.