MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s9

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

70.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0816

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0110

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042224	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042678	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043293	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043073	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044392	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045691	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044526	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044732	-2.14%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0634	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043586	-1.85%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0022	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042859	-1.84%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0256	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045547	-2.53%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0070	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042363	-1.55%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0945	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040919	-1.33%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1540	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.04051	-1.23%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1081	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043635	-1.60%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0767	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045436	-1.74%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0193	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048573	-2.93%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0366	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047912	-2.53%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0236	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048255	-3.44%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0823	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045167	-2.49%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0508	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048184	-3.89%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1056	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041353	-1.00%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0746	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041587	-0.94%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0734	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041812	-0.93%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1408	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043528	-0.85%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0871	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044365	-1.04%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1135	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045736	-1.70%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0056	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044464	-0.99%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1121	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043343	-0.66%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0227	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046095	-0.97%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0490	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045049	-0.50%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0091	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042437	-1.29%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0286	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041893	-1.16%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0076	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040484	-0.97%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0794	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034966	-0.92%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1100	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034241	-0.81%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1005	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033828	-0.74%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1513	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035499	-0.59%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1137	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035236	-0.66%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1282	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036867	-0.56%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0761	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037462	-0.43%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0290	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036724	-0.38%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0365	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038648	+0.01%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0756	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042059	-0.20%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1593	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040306	+0.34%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1046	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039859	+0.71%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0512	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.04045	+0.75%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0398	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038978	+1.01%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0113	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040572	+1.25%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0069	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037024	+0.91%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0242	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037875	+1.16%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0867	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038508	+1.50%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0327	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037272	+1.57%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0133	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039077	+1.74%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0004	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038111	+1.87%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0192	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039911	+2.00%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0128	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040298	+1.99%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0635	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039617	+1.84%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0365	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040848	+1.64%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0666	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043403	+1.27%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1667	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040639	+0.99%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0778	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042771	+0.68%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1252	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037781	-0.08%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0917	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034046	-2.42%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0264	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031339	-2.22%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0435	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031492	-2.20%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0279	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031047	-1.59%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0362	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030782	-1.44%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0036	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030743	-1.31%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0286	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032131	-1.61%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0293	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032679	-1.63%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0562	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032624	-1.56%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0423	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035517	-2.42%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1101	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035099	-2.45%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0622	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.03523	-2.58%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0787	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034447	-2.36%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0584	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034721	-2.33%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0426	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035174	-2.49%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0307	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034999	-2.35%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0430	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.0358	-2.43%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0066	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035667	-2.31%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0214	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035735	-2.10%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0363	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035809	-2.00%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0613	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036182	-2.21%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0075	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035739	-1.80%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0058	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038732	-2.12%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0820	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038955	-1.93%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0550	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042317	-2.16%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1092	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041639	-2.08%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.0994	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042585	-2.08%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1265	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042361	-1.86%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1284	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04296	-1.67%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1196	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042689	-1.55%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0195	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04211	-1.56%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0260	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043355	-1.58%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0165	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.04386	-1.39%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0202	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042755	-1.26%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0130	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045514	-1.27%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0805	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047417	-1.27%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1107	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048424	-1.26%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1425	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.0466	-1.40%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1500	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045437	-1.43%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0523	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.04604	-1.37%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0576	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046833	-1.26%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0731	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047403	-1.16%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0416	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046812	-1.09%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0315	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049661	-1.31%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0502	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048775	-1.29%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0087	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050561	-1.48%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0961	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.05155	-1.66%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1153	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050222	-1.58%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0946	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048844	-1.47%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0578	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044679	-1.02%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0068	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044883	-0.77%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0047	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047575	-1.07%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0476	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045331	-0.78%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0343	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046844	-0.86%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0436	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046365	-0.74%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0408	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046232	-0.60%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0306	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050258	-0.85%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0855	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054737	-1.39%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1055	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054974	-1.53%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0554	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055596	-1.57%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1170	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05392	-1.43%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0399	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056072	-1.70%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1058	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060483	-2.71%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1889	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056107	-1.76%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0145	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056302	-2.07%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0603	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058567	-2.84%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0093	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060521	-3.74%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0067	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060525	-3.48%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0959	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046407	-0.52%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2076	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045933	-0.34%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3171	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042733	+0.50%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2335	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047338	+0.27%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1207	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050069	-0.06%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1268	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04865	+0.35%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2125	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045315	+1.60%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2698	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046954	+1.83%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0453	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051117	+1.08%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1001	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054738	+0.83%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2152	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054883	+0.59%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0650	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058832	-0.50%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0037	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060423	-0.90%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0129	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062438	-0.99%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0380	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061297	-0.53%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1006	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063043	-0.56%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.066849	-1.01%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067032	-0.99%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0770	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072651	-1.71%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1260	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.075953	-1.84%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.078698	-1.81%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1832	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.079171	-1.43%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2226	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.08511	-2.17%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2410	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.080371	-1.51%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1324	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.0801	-1.26%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1559	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.084825	-1.37%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1416	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.088567	-1.53%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091332	-1.51%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1118	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098555	-1.70%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103531	-1.75%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101656	-1.66%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1966	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107903	-1.70%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2380	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116474	-1.77%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2430	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124472	-1.93%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2649	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122774	-2.18%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2485	✓	1.00