MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s9

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

81.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1737

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0281

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.043992	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044088	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041777	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042313	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042147	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043276	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044331	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043378	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043477	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042559	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041871	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044253	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041428	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040067	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039648	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042608	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044372	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.04687	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046549	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046555	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.04418	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.046306	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040663	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040958	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.04122	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042962	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043747	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044893	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044059	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043234	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046019	-1.13%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0367	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045268	-0.02%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.0616	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041896	-2.54%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0003	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041446	-2.22%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0494	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040083	-1.95%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0682	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034347	-2.67%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1870	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033654	-2.51%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2366	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.03323	-2.49%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2081	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035011	-1.96%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2129	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034659	-2.29%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1469	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036348	-1.96%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1120	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037043	-1.55%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1312	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036317	-1.49%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0611	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038434	-0.55%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0047	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041715	-1.02%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0726	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040126	-0.11%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0272	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039898	+0.80%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0564	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040487	+0.84%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1084	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039184	+1.54%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1048	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041007	+2.34%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1356	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036957	+0.73%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0938	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037891	+1.20%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1429	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038742	+2.11%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0127	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.0375	+2.19%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0104	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.03941	+2.60%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0195	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038628	+3.26%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0168	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040999	+4.78%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0206	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.041546	+5.15%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0276	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.041206	+5.93%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0137	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.042876	+6.68%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0730	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.045391	+5.91%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1222	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.042835	+6.45%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.1090	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.045329	+6.71%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.1026	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.038909	+2.91%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0571	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033405	-4.26%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0042	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030531	-4.74%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0771	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030678	-4.73%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1048	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.03027	-4.06%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1300	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.02999	-3.97%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1164	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029976	-3.77%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0999	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031309	-4.12%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1003	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031822	-4.21%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1023	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031742	-4.22%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1052	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034314	-5.73%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1595	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033903	-5.77%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0507	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033975	-6.06%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1121	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033331	-5.53%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1287	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033582	-5.54%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1292	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033958	-5.86%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1706	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033806	-5.68%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1695	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034546	-5.84%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2222	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034418	-5.73%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1999	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034504	-5.47%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2278	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034606	-5.29%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2455	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034999	-5.41%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1792	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034656	-4.78%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1936	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037512	-5.20%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2725	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037711	-5.06%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2497	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041048	-5.09%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3009	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.040358	-5.09%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2796	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.041304	-5.03%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2220	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.041231	-4.48%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2546	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.041982	-3.91%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2212	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041799	-3.60%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2285	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041148	-3.81%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2486	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042355	-3.85%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2788	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043016	-3.29%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2828	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041896	-3.24%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2607	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044688	-3.06%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3419	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046639	-2.89%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3661	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047674	-2.79%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3448	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045466	-3.80%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3392	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044303	-3.89%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2856	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.044981	-3.64%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2148	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045927	-3.17%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2603	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046564	-2.91%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2924	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045976	-2.86%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3259	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.048785	-3.05%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3379	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048001	-2.85%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2995	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.049704	-3.15%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3378	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.050621	-3.43%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3308	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049306	-3.38%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3233	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.047921	-3.33%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3023	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.043823	-2.92%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2455	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.043988	-2.75%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3130	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046564	-3.17%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3296	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044345	-2.94%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2093	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.045798	-3.07%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2241	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.045344	-2.92%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1614	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04522	-2.77%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1602	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049166	-3.01%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1871	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.053359	-3.87%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2592	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.053584	-4.01%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2463	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054141	-4.14%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2874	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.052698	-3.66%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2289	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.054735	-4.04%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2429	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.058538	-5.84%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3174	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05496	-3.76%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2249	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055314	-3.79%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1363	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057378	-4.81%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1398	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.058828	-6.43%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1641	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.058614	-6.53%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1591	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045724	-1.98%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0038	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045241	-1.84%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0269	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.041988	-1.25%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0712	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046557	-1.38%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0013	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049201	-1.79%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0232	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047624	-1.77%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0547	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044154	-1.00%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0638	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045728	-0.83%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0759	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049809	-1.51%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0613	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.053261	-1.90%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0211	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05341	-2.11%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0146	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.057204	-3.26%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0051	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.058646	-3.81%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.0950	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.060534	-4.01%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.0860	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.059524	-3.41%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.061163	-3.53%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.064635	-4.29%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.1109	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.064924	-4.10%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.070043	-5.24%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0869	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.073182	-5.43%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0704	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.075938	-5.25%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1266	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.076567	-4.67%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1278	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.08191	-5.85%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.2152	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.077572	-4.94%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.1081	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.077375	-4.62%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.081943	-4.72%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.0855	-4.94%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2317	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.088382	-4.69%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2184	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.095514	-4.73%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.100678	-4.46%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2436	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.098735	-4.48%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5283	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.105144	-4.21%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5887	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.113791	-4.03%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6992	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.121583	-4.20%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6589	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.11936	-4.90%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6221	✓	1.00