KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1678

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0270

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.028382	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028684	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027609	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027835	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032096	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032682	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.03051	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029291	-8.23%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0263	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026909	-6.81%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.1252	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025537	-6.81%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1397	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.02349	-6.18%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2329	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023089	-7.69%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.4151	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023233	-7.81%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4474	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022951	-7.54%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3842	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019371	-6.45%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.5042	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021069	-7.23%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.3197	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024634	-8.21%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.1142	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018943	-6.79%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2880	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018061	-6.45%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.3311	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020247	-8.00%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.2249	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019791	-7.89%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.2362	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021919	-9.22%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.0560	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.023924	-10.12%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.0576	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029295	-11.75%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.0934	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014311	-2.54%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3352	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01467	-2.27%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2721	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013388	-0.69%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.4939	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013164	-0.50%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.4864	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013561	-0.58%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.5833	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013535	-0.13%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.6951	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013736	-0.03%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9064	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013304	-1.53%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0683	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013605	-1.57%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0693	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013301	-1.55%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0156	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.01349	-2.91%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1070	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013537	-2.97%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0832	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012847	-1.90%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0666	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012797	-1.68%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0278	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013017	-1.72%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0166	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013737	-1.81%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0419	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013763	-1.47%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0617	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013711	-1.31%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0156	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013912	-0.40%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0294	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014153	-0.18%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0436	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014919	-0.04%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1260	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015772	+0.22%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1347	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015738	+0.27%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0884	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016432	+0.39%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1379	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01688	+0.53%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1514	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017387	-0.07%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2319	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.01783	+0.22%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2432	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018252	+0.60%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2077	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017837	+0.57%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1605	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017659	+0.58%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1412	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018048	+0.76%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1251	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017921	+0.74%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0809	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017362	+0.63%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0303	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018293	+0.60%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0091	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018796	+0.41%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0282	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020254	-0.45%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1316	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018193	-0.04%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0569	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017522	-0.17%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0309	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017195	-0.56%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1131	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016638	-1.28%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1661	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015736	-1.38%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1741	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01725	-2.32%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2433	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017301	-2.64%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1864	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017374	-2.97%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2877	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017284	-3.20%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3469	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016954	-3.04%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2237	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016736	-3.04%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1328	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017624	-4.37%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1271	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017258	-4.25%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0088	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01659	-3.77%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.1224	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016359	-3.77%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1405	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017049	-4.27%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0975	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017339	-4.94%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0310	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017545	-5.29%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0153	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017412	-5.29%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0719	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01655	-4.17%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0726	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015545	-2.91%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0653	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014466	-2.36%	0.017	+14.75%	0.1017	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014792	-2.72%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1282	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016228	-4.54%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1292	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014898	-3.14%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1993	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013917	-2.75%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2731	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013211	-2.29%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2739	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016568	-4.23%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0091	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012818	-1.78%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1766	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013838	-1.96%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1206	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013344	-1.99%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2491	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012795	-2.03%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2317	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012734	-2.05%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1749	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014815	-2.01%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0551	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015674	-2.01%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0828	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015319	-1.87%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1482	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015919	-1.58%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1249	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01868	-1.79%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3482	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019121	-1.89%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4151	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020433	-2.28%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4898	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019802	-1.90%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3452	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020252	-2.40%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2603	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020028	-2.44%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2756	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020376	-2.74%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2248	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.01976	-2.40%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0534	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019579	-2.08%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0676	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020466	-2.66%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0205	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021377	-3.23%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0129	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020773	-2.75%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0050	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019852	-2.09%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0168	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020764	-2.24%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0310	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022246	-2.71%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1388	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022383	-2.30%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1747	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023265	-2.37%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2383	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.02575	-3.72%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2581	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025306	-3.21%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2808	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024594	-2.70%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2788	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025679	-3.02%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2587	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024724	-2.20%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1263	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023737	-1.67%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0063	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025038	-2.08%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0698	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.028695	-3.30%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0324	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029305	-3.35%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0103	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029369	-3.20%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0309	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026846	-2.20%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0771	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.02586	-1.71%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0580	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027915	-2.26%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0597	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028695	-2.30%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0422	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028938	-2.30%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0820	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030062	-2.21%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0699	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031262	-2.32%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0246	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030409	-1.94%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1008	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029863	-1.54%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1097	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030714	-1.00%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1527	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.03121	-0.86%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1638	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032153	-0.76%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1675	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.03433	-0.95%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1748	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037405	-1.18%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2840	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028305	+1.13%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0093	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034121	-0.14%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1140	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037489	-0.35%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1479	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036712	-0.21%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040939	-2.08%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1110	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047476	-5.05%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1643	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.058462	-13.43%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2422	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.037791	-1.20%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1162	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036472	-0.81%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0764	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.0388	-0.97%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.043678	-1.54%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.050184	-2.49%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1026	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.053262	-2.65%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.052197	-2.22%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2958	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.054896	-1.97%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3334	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.052343	-2.26%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.2997	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.052508	-2.24%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2512	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.060643	-2.34%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3003	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.05981	-2.22%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1542	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.07218	-2.74%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2715	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.074334	-2.83%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3123	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.090773	-3.48%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4362	✓	1.00