KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3979

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0565

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.027087	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026688	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027764	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026836	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027227	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032348	-7.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033105	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030288	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029049	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026488	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025179	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023182	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022864	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022894	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022651	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019129	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021028	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.023949	-10.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.01859	-8.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017853	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020179	-8.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019852	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021931	-9.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02349	-11.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.028423	-14.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013892	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014166	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012888	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012662	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013074	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013093	-3.39%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8342	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013334	-2.95%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.8080	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.01285	-4.89%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8479	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013157	-4.81%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7973	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.01287	-4.74%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8225	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013084	-5.83%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9252	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012931	-7.31%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9719	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012287	-6.18%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9337	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012267	-5.75%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9152	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012489	-5.70%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7613	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013204	-5.62%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6762	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013235	-5.25%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5625	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013183	-5.11%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5652	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013372	-4.27%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5828	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013611	-4.00%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5637	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014408	-3.46%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.3160	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.01534	-2.53%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3367	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015302	-2.50%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4976	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016019	-2.14%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1739	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016563	-1.36%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1229	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.016905	-2.84%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1721	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017349	-2.48%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1180	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.017843	-1.66%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2435	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.0174	-1.89%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3478	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017292	-1.51%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5777	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017684	-1.27%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2821	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017768	-0.12%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2335	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017232	-0.12%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3248	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018207	+0.13%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4126	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018807	+0.47%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4097	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020053	-1.44%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5396	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.017983	-1.19%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4326	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01743	-0.69%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3057	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.01679	-2.90%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3601	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.01593	-5.47%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4028	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015048	-5.70%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3522	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01632	-7.59%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4233	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016349	-8.00%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5245	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016438	-8.19%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.5917	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016384	-8.24%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5424	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016079	-8.04%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.4803	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.015901	-7.87%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4394	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.016886	-8.38%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.4833	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.016567	-8.09%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.4967	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.015926	-7.62%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4402	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.015707	-7.61%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.3870	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.016478	-7.48%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4116	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.016846	-7.64%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4431	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017074	-7.83%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.3989	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.016899	-8.08%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4469	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.015936	-7.72%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2719	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.014978	-6.44%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.1874	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014042	-5.22%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1425	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014442	-5.02%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1712	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.015866	-6.67%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2294	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014599	-5.08%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1286	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.01364	-4.68%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1179	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.012934	-4.34%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0699	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016135	-6.73%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1591	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.01245	-4.60%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1364	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013417	-4.94%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1593	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.012923	-5.08%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.1105	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012381	-5.20%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.1087	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012313	-5.29%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.2072	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014326	-5.25%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0684	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015164	-5.19%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0510	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.014828	-5.01%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1825	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015424	-4.64%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1679	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018102	-4.83%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0081	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018504	-5.06%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0084	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.019711	-5.74%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.0804	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019152	-5.12%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1338	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.019559	-5.74%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0540	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019368	-5.66%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0754	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.01971	-5.92%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1524	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019152	-5.40%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1632	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.018994	-5.01%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1317	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.01984	-5.64%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1080	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.0207	-6.29%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1261	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020058	-6.10%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.0987	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019167	-5.46%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1136	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020049	-5.61%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2494	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021473	-6.09%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4050	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.021599	-5.72%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4285	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022309	-6.38%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4468	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.024487	-8.44%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5670	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024076	-7.91%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6384	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023461	-7.18%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6529	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.024394	-7.88%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.4865	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023529	-6.93%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7108	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022649	-6.18%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5586	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.023881	-6.61%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6280	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027204	-8.33%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.7891	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.027661	-8.77%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8407	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.027691	-8.73%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6315	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025483	-7.16%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.4961	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.02461	-6.46%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5020	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026597	-6.87%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4840	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027406	-6.69%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3202	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027727	-6.39%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3146	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028827	-6.22%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3035	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029971	-6.35%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3387	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029177	-5.91%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3459	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028694	-5.39%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3400	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029507	-4.89%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4142	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030036	-4.59%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4343	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030995	-4.34%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4157	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033063	-4.61%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4533	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.03582	-5.36%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5965	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027107	-3.15%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3217	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032815	-3.97%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4701	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036137	-3.94%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.5074	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.035434	-3.69%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3573	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.039662	-5.14%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3754	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.046134	-7.73%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4317	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.055718	-17.49%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5300	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.036018	-5.84%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.1104	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.034829	-5.28%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1164	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.037097	-5.32%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1232	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.041857	-5.64%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2652	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.048201	-6.34%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4551	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.051158	-6.49%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4875	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.050153	-6.05%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3436	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.05265	-5.98%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3753	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.050244	-6.18%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3159	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.050436	-6.10%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.4090	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.058205	-6.26%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5945	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.057462	-6.05%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5219	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.069156	-6.81%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6911	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071303	-6.79%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7143	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.086956	-7.54%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8549	✓	1.00