HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s9
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +7d
assessed
55
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
69.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2624
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0224
actual -0.1284
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.0067 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006846 | -1.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006851 | -0.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007398 | -1.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008342 | -1.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008762 | -1.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008491 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.0089 | -1.48% | 0.00679 | -24.83% | 0.3172 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008699 | -1.69% | 0.006935 | -21.63% | 0.2198 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.00861 | -1.32% | 0.006911 | -20.79% | 0.2238 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008965 | -1.75% | 0.007476 | -18.06% | 0.1100 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010764 | -2.05% | 0.008448 | -23.13% | 0.1757 | ✓ | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009835 | -1.71% | 0.008892 | -11.13% | 0.0552 | ✓ | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008392 | -1.13% | 0.008617 | +1.52% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010684 | -1.58% | 0.009034 | -16.78% | 0.0967 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011993 | -1.35% | 0.008849 | -27.22% | 0.2048 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011764 | -1.11% | 0.008725 | -26.65% | 0.1336 | ✓ | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013522 | -1.78% | 0.009124 | -33.73% | 0.2801 | ✓ | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.01421 | -3.97% | 0.010989 | -25.73% | 0.1812 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012807 | -2.21% | 0.010006 | -23.60% | 0.1650 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.014275 | -4.24% | 0.008488 | -43.06% | 0.3889 | ✓ | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011595 | -1.86% | 0.010855 | -8.13% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012504 | -2.44% | 0.012157 | -5.14% | 0.1038 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010611 | -1.54% | 0.011895 | +10.37% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011542 | -1.08% | 0.013768 | +17.99% | 0.0951 | ✗ | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013845 | -3.23% | 0.014797 | +3.43% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.013204 | -2.58% | 0.013097 | -3.38% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009829 | -1.25% | 0.014907 | +49.77% | 0.3974 | ✗ | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008854 | -1.67% | 0.011815 | +31.22% | 0.3231 | ✗ | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009397 | -0.71% | 0.012816 | +35.41% | 0.4192 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012408 | -0.12% | 0.010778 | -13.25% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010661 | -1.92% | 0.011668 | +7.35% | 0.0551 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011569 | -2.13% | 0.014306 | +21.02% | 0.0727 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.015167 | -6.51% | 0.013554 | -16.46% | 0.2532 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.0116 | -3.27% | 0.009953 | -17.00% | 0.4802 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.012403 | -4.53% | 0.009004 | -30.70% | 0.6551 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.011094 | -2.82% | 0.009465 | -17.09% | 0.5853 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009471 | -2.21% | 0.012424 | +28.27% | 0.1304 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007873 | -1.63% | 0.01087 | +35.81% | 0.1118 | ✗ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009871 | -1.75% | 0.011822 | +17.66% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011819 | -1.99% | 0.016224 | +34.53% | 0.1465 | ✗ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.010256 | -1.54% | 0.011992 | +15.13% | 0.1588 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009432 | -1.74% | 0.012992 | +35.34% | 0.3479 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011868 | -1.32% | 0.011416 | -5.07% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012667 | -0.97% | 0.009685 | -24.28% | 0.2567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015601 | -0.48% | 0.008004 | -48.95% | 0.6224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.022094 | -3.41% | 0.010047 | -56.08% | 0.7553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.01818 | -1.05% | 0.01206 | -34.36% | 0.3790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.023586 | -3.91% | 0.010417 | -57.56% | 0.7573 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018697 | -2.31% | 0.0096 | -49.84% | 0.6792 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.020286 | -3.47% | 0.012026 | -42.77% | 0.5363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023835 | -5.65% | 0.012792 | -49.36% | 0.6291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024907 | -7.73% | 0.015676 | -41.93% | 0.4968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021185 | -4.43% | 0.022874 | +3.19% | 0.0565 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014329 | +0.32% | 0.018372 | +28.63% | 0.2252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016706 | +0.27% | 0.024546 | +47.33% | 0.3726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021773 | -4.71% | 0.019138 | -16.25% | 0.1070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019185 | -2.67% | 0.021014 | +6.61% | 0.1055 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018511 | -2.14% | 0.025262 | +33.55% | 0.3162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015997 | -0.95% | 0.026994 | +67.15% | 0.5241 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.01367 | -0.36% | 0.022167 | +61.58% | 0.4682 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013299 | -0.22% | 0.014283 | +7.16% | 0.0776 | ✗ | 1.00 |