HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s9
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3879
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0835
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.006721 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.006711 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006472 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006452 | -6.65% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.006987 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007891 | -6.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008267 | -7.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008007 | -7.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.00837 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008166 | -7.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008074 | -7.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008395 | -7.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010027 | -8.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009156 | -8.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007819 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009971 | -8.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011166 | -8.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.010981 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.012599 | -8.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013327 | -9.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.011958 | -8.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.01336 | -10.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010865 | -8.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.011676 | -8.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009966 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.010806 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.012851 | -10.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012212 | -9.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009191 | -7.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008313 | -7.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008784 | -7.19% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.1115 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.011619 | -6.48% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.3754 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010111 | -6.98% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4560 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.010986 | -7.07% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4904 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014336 | -11.64% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7011 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010984 | -8.41% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4711 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011654 | -10.30% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4921 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.01039 | -8.99% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4564 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008893 | -8.18% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1510 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007374 | -7.87% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009251 | -7.92% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2679 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011007 | -8.73% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4829 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009535 | -8.46% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008783 | -8.51% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011031 | -8.28% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.011792 | -7.82% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014622 | -6.73% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020685 | -9.57% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017148 | -6.66% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022308 | -9.12% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4525 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017437 | -8.89% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019111 | -9.05% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.022705 | -10.12% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.02356 | -12.72% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.01982 | -10.59% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6739 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013438 | -5.92% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2229 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.015952 | -4.26% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020614 | -9.79% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4814 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018315 | -7.08% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6818 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.017782 | -5.99% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015287 | -5.34% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.5828 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013037 | -4.97% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1649 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.012786 | -4.08% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.1979 | ✓ | 1.00 |