ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s9

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0124

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.302473	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.303588	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.33743	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.31367	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.309517	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.316375	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303568	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.315797	-2.56%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0589	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.290152	-1.84%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0223	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.304013	-2.25%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1363	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.312827	-2.70%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0219	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.317009	-2.83%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0221	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.316616	-2.94%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0473	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.288418	-1.97%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0879	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.300422	-2.33%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0690	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.291962	-1.96%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0399	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.313536	-2.37%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0290	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.307002	-2.17%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1071	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.317066	-2.28%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0706	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.300189	-1.96%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1104	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.317128	-2.57%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0457	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.320716	-2.65%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0055	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.321419	-3.01%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0721	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.325264	-3.17%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0408	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.314515	-2.81%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0367	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.321787	-2.81%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0226	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.318737	-2.76%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0451	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.327728	-3.25%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0131	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.328346	-3.31%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0037	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.335137	-3.64%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0014	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.330186	-2.97%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0570	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.315436	-2.48%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0739	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.271181	-2.07%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1532	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.275343	-2.24%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1296	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.278878	-2.54%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1494	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.248131	-2.00%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2076	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.244462	-1.86%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2438	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.238169	-1.60%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2178	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.263174	-2.02%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1052	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.255172	-1.74%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0272	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.256473	-1.58%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0439	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.251634	-1.28%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0824	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252863	-1.23%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0038	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.247603	-0.72%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0345	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.250508	-0.67%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0044	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.221025	-0.21%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2077	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.262704	-0.72%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0323	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.258241	-0.41%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0408	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.253795	-0.00%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0341	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.264566	+0.44%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0233	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.261047	+0.19%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0583	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.253616	+0.80%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0193	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.261138	+1.06%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1716	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.249974	+1.24%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0221	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.254416	+1.48%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0014	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.260074	+1.47%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0480	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.263456	+1.88%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0129	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.266906	+1.68%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0011	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.266455	+1.55%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0421	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.270793	+1.31%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0412	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.268949	+0.84%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0847	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.271217	+0.12%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0947	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.268595	+0.41%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0402	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.242864	-0.01%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0338	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213776	-0.80%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0893	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198382	-1.50%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1130	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.199569	-1.50%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1177	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202168	-1.43%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0872	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199689	-1.39%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1258	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204121	-1.39%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0750	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206072	-1.40%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0365	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212763	-1.45%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0671	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218202	-1.53%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0960	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.233434	-2.00%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1494	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.231336	-1.89%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0922	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.233912	-2.05%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1179	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.230932	-1.98%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0829	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.229348	-2.03%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0812	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.221348	-1.75%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0084	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218144	-1.74%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0230	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.212656	-1.64%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1073	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.210673	-1.60%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0937	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199203	-1.38%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1519	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.201744	-1.40%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1268	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.204314	-1.44%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1423	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.205392	-1.44%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0827	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.204469	-1.41%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0794	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.198029	-1.33%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0910	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.205768	-1.31%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0647	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.212305	-1.39%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0279	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.213298	-1.39%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0240	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.217319	-1.35%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0427	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.215533	-1.18%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0032	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220963	-1.14%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0265	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.216938	-1.30%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0568	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.217597	-1.36%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0518	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.218114	-1.35%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0063	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.217936	-1.43%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0101	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.216874	-1.42%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0015	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.21707	-1.33%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0136	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.21029	-1.23%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0405	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.207509	-1.33%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0151	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.218375	-1.41%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0030	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.217129	-1.39%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0045	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.215938	-1.35%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0268	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.215101	-1.42%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0143	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.218213	-1.53%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0269	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.218189	-1.49%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0480	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.21975	-1.50%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0192	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.212751	-1.46%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0382	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.209758	-1.48%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0395	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.209585	-1.51%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0224	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.204895	-1.45%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0404	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.200787	-1.28%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0679	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.18866	-0.91%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0983	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.200103	-1.18%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0618	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.20054	-1.07%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0228	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.202583	-1.08%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0104	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.202989	-1.03%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0156	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210193	-1.04%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0338	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.217403	-1.23%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0539	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.2186	-1.31%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0872	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.218081	-1.32%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0278	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.215007	-1.24%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0126	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214883	-1.25%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0052	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.211836	-1.15%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0108	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211247	-1.06%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0447	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217251	-1.16%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0540	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222821	-1.23%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0290	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.230187	-1.33%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0135	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223566	-1.25%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0024	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.219579	-1.13%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0066	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.219795	-1.04%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0245	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.218477	-0.96%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0147	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209321	-0.47%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0131	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21523	-0.45%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0009	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211493	-0.43%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0600	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.212069	-0.30%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0370	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.210454	+0.41%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0111	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.215775	+0.55%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0007	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.227419	+0.05%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0278	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.236939	+0.06%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0922	✗	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.252084	-0.44%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1056	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.268093	-1.18%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1749	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.271782	-1.42%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1736	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.268364	-1.37%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1652	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.260251	-1.20%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1137	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.256499	-1.12%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0585	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.266626	-1.29%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0537	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.27939	-1.59%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0448	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.273777	-1.63%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0376	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.280333	-1.67%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0090	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.280431	-1.64%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0100	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.279174	-1.49%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0433	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.277238	-1.62%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0373	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.284078	-1.67%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0281	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.283008	-1.60%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0097	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.280599	-1.54%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0104	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.279207	-1.51%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0239	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.284872	-1.53%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0108	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.299598	-1.58%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0294	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.303658	-1.19%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0495	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.302619	-1.49%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0331	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.305935	-1.22%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0348	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.318917	-0.96%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0773	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.310071	-0.62%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0542	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.305899	-0.97%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0368	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.306195	-1.04%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0024	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.305014	-1.00%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0003	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.313935	-0.62%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0024	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.315996	-0.75%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0172	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.298431	-0.79%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0636	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.295557	-1.02%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0308	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.298394	-0.93%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0217	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.299592	-0.96%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0191	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.29327	-1.16%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0231	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.293688	-1.12%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0326	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.301421	-1.01%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0222	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302518	-0.75%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0234	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.310418	-0.44%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0380	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314959	-0.64%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0520	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.31113	-0.57%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0337	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.313734	-0.34%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0416	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.318519	-0.34%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0522	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.313548	-0.65%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0291	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.314031	-0.72%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0408	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.315831	-1.12%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0496	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.322558	-0.78%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0318	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.329302	-0.42%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0538	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319929	-0.86%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0396	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313513	-0.85%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0061	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.308256	-0.98%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0070	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304449	-0.86%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0269	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296639	-1.42%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0484	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.310785	-1.28%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0239	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301764	-1.22%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0592	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.295735	-1.39%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0603	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296299	-1.50%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0347	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.294905	-1.44%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0358	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.294376	-1.65%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0055	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.291464	-1.63%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0165	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.291678	-1.63%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0253	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.281597	-1.47%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0284	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.283811	-1.49%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0117	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.289314	-1.63%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0126	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.275255	-1.48%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0507	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.271359	-1.29%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0786	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.267903	-1.11%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0724	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.276876	-1.19%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0594	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.282462	-1.20%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0060	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.285817	-1.41%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0256	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.290302	-1.46%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0423	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.288943	-1.45%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0122	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.292148	-1.43%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0223	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.282014	-1.22%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0222	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.284659	-1.26%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0087	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.285807	-1.28%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0390	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.295811	-1.23%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0095	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.311049	-1.19%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0549	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326697	-0.76%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0774	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.333242	-0.55%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0816	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.322723	-1.04%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0770	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.312062	-1.28%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0578	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.31892	-1.32%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0927	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.312249	-1.34%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0361	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.314339	-1.37%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0080	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.317417	-1.39%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0011	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.31662	-1.43%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0013	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.316891	-1.34%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0355	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.314592	-1.35%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0326	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.315566	-1.35%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0028	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.310773	-1.28%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0217	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.320127	-1.10%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0188	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.326072	-1.40%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0299	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.33273	-1.44%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0312	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.340478	-1.51%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0606	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.349517	-1.68%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0951	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.341853	-1.57%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0927	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.349316	-1.74%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1425	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.353248	-1.85%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1396	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.313059	-1.09%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0094	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.294488	-0.88%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0930	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.290865	-1.13%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1925	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.300596	-1.15%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1781	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.301746	-1.10%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1647	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.307864	-0.94%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1380	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.318065	-0.85%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1057	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.326272	-0.92%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0090	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.326324	-0.96%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0446	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.329275	-0.88%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0992	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.370559	-1.13%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1773	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.367182	-0.98%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1760	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.360089	-0.56%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1560	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.358826	-0.49%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1048	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.376992	-0.74%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1197	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.381291	-0.81%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1317	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.392058	-0.87%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1488	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.39802	-0.74%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0663	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.403806	-0.86%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0660	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.36089	+1.32%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0335	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.3643	-0.11%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0757	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.363869	-0.28%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1421	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355769	-0.43%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2114	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.346265	+0.13%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2298	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.362049	-0.12%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2420	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.386486	-0.93%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2454	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.404301	-1.03%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1984	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.417935	-1.43%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0875	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.425417	-1.46%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0267	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.420244	-1.35%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0387	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.423314	-1.21%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0703	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.427745	-1.37%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0244	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.42722	-1.36%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0180	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.431815	-1.34%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0116	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.442867	-1.37%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0409	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.42752	-1.17%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0013	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.448216	-1.32%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0076	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.457059	-1.26%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0326	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.468737	-1.11%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0022	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.474466	-1.05%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0100	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.485361	-1.09%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0207	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.505889	-0.94%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0182	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.453736	-1.04%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0453	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.441257	-1.40%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0103	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.446289	-1.39%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0010	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.447716	-1.38%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0070	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.454238	-1.38%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0185	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.446608	-1.32%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0296	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.452702	-1.31%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0357	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.478685	-1.18%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0678	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.493208	-1.26%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0567	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.484163	-1.49%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0577	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.479104	-1.54%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0503	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.484192	-1.65%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0587	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.475312	-1.63%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0851	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.459313	-1.52%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0605	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.48696	-1.80%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0867	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.468222	-1.63%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0389	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.470172	-1.68%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0116	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.425411	-1.41%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0920	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.422531	-1.35%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1123	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.425622	-1.32%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1028	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.436727	-1.35%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0674	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.439902	-1.32%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1050	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.458812	-1.44%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0590	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.468897	-1.49%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0313	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.487933	-1.63%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1149	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.479441	-1.57%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1004	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.447436	-1.18%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0633	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.45707	-1.26%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0535	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.449227	-1.31%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0011	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.445441	-1.12%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0106	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.469475	-1.31%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0067	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.470178	-1.39%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0828	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.475004	-1.37%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0584	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.488278	-1.40%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0331	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.507513	-1.42%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0024	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.513492	-1.42%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0471	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.516728	-1.44%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0712	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.526454	-1.49%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0669	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.517993	-1.41%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0980	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.497617	-1.31%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0471	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.502995	-1.37%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0224	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.512108	-1.38%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0268	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.530854	-1.42%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0407	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.495639	-0.99%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0157	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.534237	-1.32%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0002	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.540711	-1.35%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0038	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.574897	-1.63%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1063	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.591584	-1.88%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1606	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.604625	-2.15%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1985	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.610468	-2.31%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1916	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.591589	-2.07%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1331	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.605126	-2.40%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1723	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.526349	-0.84%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0613	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.452228	+0.09%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1606	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.451982	+0.13%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2096	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470158	-0.45%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2900	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.506687	-0.73%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3044	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.498668	-0.47%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2566	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.510642	-0.65%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3207	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.516598	-0.71%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2147	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.519189	-0.44%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0251	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.56215	-1.01%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0003	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.589784	-1.21%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0583	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.612885	-1.37%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0234	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.61378	-1.45%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0194	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.631828	-1.54%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0367	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.631342	-1.45%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0824	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.634261	-1.50%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0507	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.608279	-1.14%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0416	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.634529	-1.46%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0259	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.567083	-0.79%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0683	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.555623	-1.08%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1234	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.601213	-1.41%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1568	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.619326	-1.49%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1583	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.61531	-1.50%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1458	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.620813	-1.51%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1058	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.600678	-1.37%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1706	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.595169	-1.30%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1485	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.679451	-1.53%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0723	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.726994	-2.01%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1144	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.667989	-1.59%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0361	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.671419	-1.68%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0496	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.652919	-1.59%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0077	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.607675	-1.22%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0342	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.624536	-1.26%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1015	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.655921	-1.53%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0006	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.663082	-1.49%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0263	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.61626	-1.03%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0315	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.607459	-0.84%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0500	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.619109	-0.97%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0411	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.646524	-1.25%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0033	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.666408	-1.43%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0151	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.688009	-1.59%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0346	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.694988	-1.62%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0608	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.610519	-0.99%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0693	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.580437	-1.05%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1498	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.674216	-1.10%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1022	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.707031	-0.77%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0814	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.69718	-1.07%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0726	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.733165	-0.39%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0664	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.709125	-0.70%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.0979	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.714913	-0.91%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0048	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.72581	-0.95%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0987	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.736459	-1.25%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0904	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.717286	-1.47%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0633	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.676257	-1.54%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0490	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.682196	-1.56%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0572	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.698753	-1.51%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1360	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.685734	-1.32%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1315	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.674038	-1.25%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0965	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.686838	-1.19%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0869	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.726453	-1.48%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0757	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.705725	-1.39%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0581	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.736457	-1.42%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0862	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.772881	-1.47%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0368	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.792541	-1.47%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0394	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.789998	-1.47%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0538	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.80126	-1.44%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0183	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.