ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s9

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0929

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0327

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.292518	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.293055	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.32793	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.302732	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.298669	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.305758	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.292859	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.305751	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.280262	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.294401	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.303784	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.308439	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.307847	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.279381	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.290705	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.283109	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.305145	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.299143	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.309069	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.292109	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.308884	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.31283	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.313995	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.318038	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.307361	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.314897	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.312451	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.321982	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.323394	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.330302	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.326699	-4.00%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0285	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.312577	-3.36%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0267	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.266833	-3.64%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2389	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.271574	-3.58%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1562	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.275772	-3.63%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1196	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.243676	-3.76%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2173	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.239969	-3.67%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1834	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.233426	-3.56%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2404	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.259331	-3.45%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0890	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.250631	-3.49%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1379	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.251722	-3.41%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1887	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.246369	-3.35%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2008	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.247267	-3.41%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1977	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.241282	-3.25%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1437	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.243958	-3.27%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1896	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.213936	-3.41%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2745	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.256374	-3.11%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1643	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.251515	-3.00%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1519	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.246664	-2.81%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1963	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.257255	-2.33%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1349	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.253919	-2.54%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1587	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.245786	-2.31%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1995	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.253083	-2.06%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.2054	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.241904	-2.02%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2522	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.246305	-1.75%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.2075	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.25192	-1.71%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1905	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.256247	-0.91%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1942	✗	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.25996	-0.97%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1998	✗	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.260501	-0.72%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1893	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.266339	-0.36%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1964	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.265845	-0.32%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1380	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269525	-0.51%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0592	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.267981	+0.18%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0052	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.238817	-1.68%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0562	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.209133	-2.95%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1771	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.194107	-3.62%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1233	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.195228	-3.64%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.1006	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.197599	-3.66%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0381	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.195062	-3.67%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1278	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.199344	-3.70%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0867	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.201258	-3.70%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0790	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.207846	-3.73%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0269	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.213264	-3.76%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0179	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.228209	-4.19%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0886	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.226739	-3.84%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0639	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.229488	-3.90%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2116	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.226726	-3.77%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0346	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.225109	-3.84%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0504	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.217279	-3.56%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0311	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.214055	-3.58%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0044	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.208482	-3.57%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0497	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.206451	-3.57%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0192	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.194831	-3.55%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0858	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.197313	-3.56%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0385	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.200075	-3.49%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0572	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.200998	-3.55%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0665	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.200001	-3.57%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0526	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.193498	-3.59%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1129	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.201353	-3.43%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.1040	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.207778	-3.49%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0658	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.208734	-3.50%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0728	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.212809	-3.40%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0901	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.211018	-3.25%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0836	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.216397	-3.18%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0317	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.212492	-3.32%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0402	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.213157	-3.37%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0567	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.213678	-3.36%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0490	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.213498	-3.44%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0257	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.212443	-3.43%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0377	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.212628	-3.35%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0030	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.205857	-3.31%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0366	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.203099	-3.42%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0444	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.213983	-3.39%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0379	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.212794	-3.36%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1109	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.211654	-3.31%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0983	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.210943	-3.33%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.1002	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.214175	-3.35%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0579	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.214266	-3.27%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0752	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.215924	-3.22%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0341	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.209076	-3.16%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0538	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.206234	-3.13%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0421	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.206151	-3.12%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0250	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.201458	-3.10%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0144	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.197144	-3.08%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.184428	-3.14%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0375	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.196292	-3.07%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0142	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.196458	-3.08%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0000	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.198489	-3.08%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0355	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.198789	-3.08%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0179	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.205882	-3.07%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0128	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.213347	-3.07%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0234	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.214729	-3.06%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0026	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.214291	-3.04%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0073	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.211155	-3.01%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0186	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.211118	-2.98%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0285	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.207958	-2.96%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0446	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.207227	-2.94%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0421	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.213563	-2.84%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0411	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.21937	-2.76%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0244	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.226954	-2.72%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0130	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.220297	-2.70%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0258	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.21596	-2.76%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0006	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.215759	-2.86%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0238	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.21417	-2.91%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0252	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.204181	-2.91%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0376	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.209891	-2.92%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0210	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.206258	-2.89%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0818	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.206659	-2.84%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0691	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.204474	-2.45%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0494	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.209481	-2.39%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0001	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.221106	-2.73%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0298	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.230257	-2.76%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0631	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.245408	-3.08%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1159	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.262731	-3.16%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1743	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.265964	-3.53%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2254	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.262514	-3.52%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1728	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.254601	-3.34%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1376	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.250781	-3.32%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1126	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26031	-3.62%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1451	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.272428	-4.04%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1495	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.267339	-3.94%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0562	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.273713	-3.99%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0949	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.273661	-4.01%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1184	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.271971	-4.03%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1288	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.270778	-3.91%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1157	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.277566	-3.92%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1515	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.276086	-4.00%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1509	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.273673	-3.97%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1236	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.272446	-3.90%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1003	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.278495	-3.74%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0898	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.2939	-3.45%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1574	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.297961	-3.04%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1637	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.297084	-3.29%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1636	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.30036	-3.02%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1737	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.313136	-2.75%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2319	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.303892	-2.60%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1715	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.300164	-2.83%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2007	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.300576	-2.85%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2077	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.299413	-2.82%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1966	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.308005	-2.50%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1532	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.310234	-2.56%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1796	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.292644	-2.71%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0935	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.289958	-2.89%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0510	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.292705	-2.82%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0248	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.293875	-2.85%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0313	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.287463	-3.11%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0362	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.287709	-3.13%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0705	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.295455	-2.97%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1092	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.296318	-2.78%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0702	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.303933	-2.52%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0476	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.308535	-2.67%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1002	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.304556	-2.67%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0625	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.306955	-2.49%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0621	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.311598	-2.50%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0748	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.306631	-2.84%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0931	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.306984	-2.95%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0725	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.308797	-3.32%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0937	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.315199	-3.05%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1099	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.321517	-2.78%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1282	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.312565	-3.14%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0995	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.306233	-3.15%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0375	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.301198	-3.25%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0311	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.29735	-3.17%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0051	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.28997	-3.63%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0117	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.304171	-3.38%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0094	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.295267	-3.35%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0152	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.289468	-3.48%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0036	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.290205	-3.52%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0070	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.288959	-3.42%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0011	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.288606	-3.57%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0125	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.285808	-3.54%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0106	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.286115	-3.50%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0556	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.276177	-3.37%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0202	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.278378	-3.37%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0208	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.283797	-3.50%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0215	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.269769	-3.45%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0256	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.265764	-3.32%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0322	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.262054	-3.27%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0584	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.270816	-3.35%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0216	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.276194	-3.39%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0135	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.279625	-3.54%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0480	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.284257	-3.51%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0429	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.28278	-3.55%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0404	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.285864	-3.55%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0484	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.275262	-3.59%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0614	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.277832	-3.63%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0683	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.279008	-3.62%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.1057	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.28889	-3.54%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0665	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.304101	-3.40%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0317	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.319104	-3.07%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0004	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.32533	-2.92%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0280	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.315597	-3.22%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0255	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.305444	-3.37%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0231	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.312354	-3.36%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0356	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.305834	-3.37%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0061	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.307996	-3.36%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0332	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.311108	-3.35%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0533	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.31033	-3.38%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0557	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.310361	-3.37%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.0925	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.308172	-3.36%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0445	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.309222	-3.34%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0513	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.304491	-3.27%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0087	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.313554	-3.13%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0376	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.320162	-3.19%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0901	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.326989	-3.14%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.0986	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.334941	-3.11%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2094	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.344402	-3.12%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2227	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.336791	-3.03%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2189	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.344721	-3.03%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1935	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.34883	-3.08%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1798	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.306639	-3.12%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1060	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.287643	-3.18%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0442	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.284971	-3.14%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0017	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.294688	-3.10%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0239	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.295555	-3.13%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0331	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.300981	-3.16%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0648	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.310713	-3.14%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1162	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.319112	-3.09%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0906	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.319429	-3.06%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0410	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.322101	-3.04%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0343	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.36425	-2.81%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1373	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.360003	-2.91%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1423	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.351297	-2.98%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1615	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.349983	-2.94%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1247	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.368578	-2.95%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1720	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.373119	-2.93%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1589	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.383727	-2.98%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1721	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.388713	-3.06%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1815	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.394238	-3.21%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1526	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.349223	-1.96%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1387	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.354191	-2.88%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0321	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.353878	-3.02%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0490	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.346154	-3.12%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0249	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.336145	-2.79%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1107	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.351553	-3.02%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1059	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.377638	-3.19%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1811	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.395471	-3.19%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1481	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.409265	-3.48%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1747	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.416546	-3.51%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1474	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.411136	-3.49%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1472	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.413767	-3.44%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0674	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.418145	-3.59%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0216	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.417423	-3.62%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0194	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.421735	-3.65%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0031	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.43241	-3.69%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0243	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.416783	-3.66%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0414	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.437893	-3.59%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0954	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.446755	-3.49%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1005	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.458294	-3.31%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0643	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.463994	-3.23%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0747	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.474993	-3.20%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1558	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.495094	-3.06%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1362	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.443465	-3.28%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2379	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.431397	-3.60%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.2049	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.436269	-3.61%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2102	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.437556	-3.62%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1891	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.44391	-3.62%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2269	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.436331	-3.59%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2763	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.442427	-3.55%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2803	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.468019	-3.38%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2894	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.482636	-3.38%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0719	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.474201	-3.52%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0072	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.469493	-3.52%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0721	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.474829	-3.55%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0939	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.466262	-3.51%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0802	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.45061	-3.39%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0890	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.478328	-3.54%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0953	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.459768	-3.41%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1133	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.461659	-3.46%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0865	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.417207	-3.31%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0141	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.414244	-3.28%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0452	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.417225	-3.26%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0094	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.428186	-3.28%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0169	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.431328	-3.25%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0164	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.450068	-3.32%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0146	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.460155	-3.33%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0567	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.479138	-3.40%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1175	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.470594	-3.39%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.0998	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.438288	-3.20%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0651	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.447751	-3.27%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0686	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.439902	-3.36%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0056	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.435598	-3.31%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0019	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.459502	-3.41%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1081	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.46022	-3.48%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0420	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.465008	-3.45%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0360	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.478232	-3.43%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0197	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.497333	-3.39%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0539	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.503353	-3.37%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0815	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.506655	-3.37%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1089	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.516308	-3.39%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1136	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.50776	-3.36%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0858	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.487535	-3.31%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0248	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.493143	-3.31%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0096	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.502272	-3.28%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0336	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.520775	-3.29%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0336	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.484557	-3.20%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0586	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.524182	-3.18%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0235	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.530995	-3.12%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0491	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.565832	-3.18%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1194	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.583469	-3.22%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2453	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.59748	-3.30%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2819	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.603631	-3.40%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3336	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.584786	-3.20%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2672	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.598132	-3.53%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.3048	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.513298	-3.30%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1627	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.439354	-2.75%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0207	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.438993	-2.75%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0922	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.457614	-3.11%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1202	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.493897	-3.23%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0408	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.485018	-3.19%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0541	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.497118	-3.28%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0199	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.503216	-3.28%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0454	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.505021	-3.16%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0484	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.550218	-3.11%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0108	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.578559	-3.09%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0006	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.601876	-3.14%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0293	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.60287	-3.20%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0656	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.62095	-3.23%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0196	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.620336	-3.16%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0284	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.623033	-3.24%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0640	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.596158	-3.11%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0785	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.622078	-3.39%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0331	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.553221	-3.22%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0674	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.543384	-3.26%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1771	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.588551	-3.48%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2338	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.606865	-3.47%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2214	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.60365	-3.37%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2191	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.609406	-3.31%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1955	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.588811	-3.32%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3276	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.583036	-3.31%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4089	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.66634	-3.43%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3256	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.714072	-3.75%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3336	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.655843	-3.38%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3136	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.659641	-3.41%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3489	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.641784	-3.27%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2471	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.596465	-3.05%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1021	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.612952	-3.09%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0574	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.644321	-3.27%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0000	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.650982	-3.29%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0130	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.602926	-3.18%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0578	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.592869	-3.22%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0524	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.60506	-3.22%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0480	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.632933	-3.32%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0567	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.652622	-3.47%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0617	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.673837	-3.61%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0813	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.679948	-3.74%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0897	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.59501	-3.50%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1126	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.56574	-3.56%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2489	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.657125	-3.60%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2371	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.68892	-3.31%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1944	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.680131	-3.49%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1630	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.713932	-3.00%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1614	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.690885	-3.25%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0928	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.697786	-3.29%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0185	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.709169	-3.22%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0052	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.721125	-3.31%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0032	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.702668	-3.48%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0008	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.662771	-3.50%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0248	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.668532	-3.53%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0339	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.685025	-3.45%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1379	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.671685	-3.34%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0383	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.65958	-3.37%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0461	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.671672	-3.37%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0294	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.710513	-3.65%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0047	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.69001	-3.59%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0100	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.720455	-3.57%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0751	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.756324	-3.58%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0674	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.77563	-3.58%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0739	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.773039	-3.59%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0299	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.783781	-3.59%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0770	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.