DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

56.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1603

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0347

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.390614	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.390511	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.386793	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.386292	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.370331	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.389076	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.374317	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.395584	-3.81%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0198	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.399453	-4.07%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0346	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.428949	-4.86%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0703	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.419677	-4.79%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0526	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.466099	-6.09%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1677	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.498064	-7.53%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.1819	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.473563	-8.18%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.1809	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.409	-6.35%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0027	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.358226	-4.10%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1851	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.386733	-5.12%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.2006	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.388866	-5.63%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.2032	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.391483	-6.11%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2916	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.362833	-5.64%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4303	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.371512	-6.29%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3660	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.369332	-6.54%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2286	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.365169	-6.33%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0281	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.357509	-6.33%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0953	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.346968	-6.10%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1303	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.402366	-7.55%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0025	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.383466	-7.14%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0026	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.408024	-8.15%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0354	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.413099	-8.94%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0517	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.439102	-9.66%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1061	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.395803	-9.29%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0057	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.366816	-9.27%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0598	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.353984	-9.59%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1450	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.398714	-10.70%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0231	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.267404	-9.41%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4479	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.232024	-9.04%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.5256	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.22095	-9.66%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6401	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.134165	-2.11%	0.436315	+218.36%	1.0007	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.138914	-1.47%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9273	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.141148	-1.68%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9428	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.14754	-1.59%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0376	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.146182	-1.56%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6389	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.145317	-1.62%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5661	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.152701	-0.90%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5086	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.16272	-0.74%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1212	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.1571	-0.25%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0921	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.165028	-0.07%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0766	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171195	-0.61%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0874	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149987	+0.23%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0360	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.159204	+0.41%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0107	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143553	-0.11%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0519	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142756	-0.06%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1179	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153458	-0.19%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0176	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154906	-0.90%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0212	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.168495	-1.98%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0001	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.165166	-2.52%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1240	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.171197	-3.00%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0898	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.162036	-2.92%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0968	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.14492	-2.11%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0006	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.158127	-3.47%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0226	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129841	-0.95%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1864	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.113963	+0.55%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.3970	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.119192	+0.26%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3574	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098554	+0.08%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5201	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.097477	-1.23%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4426	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091805	-1.79%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3378	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093775	-2.08%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4104	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.100118	-3.28%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.0923	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091655	-1.42%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0441	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.091505	-1.33%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0791	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093757	-1.29%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0681	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.097223	-1.44%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0593	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.096315	-1.35%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0449	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092222	-1.22%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0303	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.095497	-1.62%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1067	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.095735	-1.67%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0048	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.095307	-1.63%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0025	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.096023	-1.82%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0001	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.09879	-2.07%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0140	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099447	-2.19%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0115	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.095445	-1.77%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0278	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097797	-1.91%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0249	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.103264	-2.36%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0881	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.112471	-3.61%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1776	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093461	-1.18%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0534	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095629	-1.09%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0406	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.10168	-1.43%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0038	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.104181	-1.56%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0655	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112053	-2.20%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0847	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111028	-2.33%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0213	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112157	-2.46%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0622	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.115701	-2.87%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1959	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.11778	-3.14%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1597	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.116116	-3.19%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0724	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.11923	-3.63%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.0913	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.1184	-3.79%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0449	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.120967	-4.07%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0529	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.124393	-4.26%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0823	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.128927	-4.70%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1040	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.137819	-5.50%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1506	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.145909	-5.99%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2240	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.112044	-4.15%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0667	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.117909	-4.40%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0333	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.118591	-4.38%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0510	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.112548	-4.39%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1460	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.109896	-3.91%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.2018	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.104912	-3.79%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.3051	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.106065	-4.05%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3648	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.109154	-3.96%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0850	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.107745	-3.95%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1336	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.10324	-4.11%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1771	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.105253	-4.58%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0963	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.106671	-4.85%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0517	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.10155	-5.38%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0476	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.106539	-6.22%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0265	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.101219	-4.22%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0593	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097854	-3.75%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0767	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085829	-1.71%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1803	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081969	-1.20%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2559	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082258	-0.94%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2802	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082077	-0.84%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2851	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085331	-0.96%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3543	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086402	-1.00%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2625	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089854	-1.04%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1849	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.097065	-1.49%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093931	-1.26%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.092929	-1.21%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.09647	-1.48%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0979	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.098755	-1.67%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0901	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.10007	-1.89%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.1011	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.098804	-2.05%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098421	-2.33%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.099475	-2.64%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.101073	-3.13%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.096211	-2.42%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.101487	-3.40%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0722	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.106133	-4.72%	0.102	-8.43%	0.0894	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.09984	-3.68%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.089565	-2.15%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0607	✗	1.00