DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

29.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4465

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0631

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.372653	-7.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.372003	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.368147	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.367285	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.352182	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.370697	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.35673	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.378908	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.38422	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.416653	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.408344	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.460923	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.498116	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.470622	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.398989	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.344263	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.375521	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.379469	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.383567	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.354036	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.365044	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.363284	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.357983	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.350625	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.340235	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.398643	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.380125	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.408733	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.416596	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.44242	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.401072	-8.08%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0337	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.373167	-7.70%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1175	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.359902	-8.07%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.0690	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.398226	-10.81%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0097	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.271487	-8.03%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3199	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.231541	-9.23%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4618	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.215806	-11.76%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4864	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.126428	-7.75%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0668	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.133347	-5.42%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0801	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.132843	-7.47%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1114	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.139005	-7.28%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0756	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.137435	-7.45%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1733	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.136486	-7.60%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2635	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.142559	-7.49%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.2139	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.15212	-7.20%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9996	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.146803	-6.79%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8625	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.15454	-6.42%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8824	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.15892	-7.73%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8538	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.14244	-4.81%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9540	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.149581	-5.66%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8843	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.134003	-6.75%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9503	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.133852	-6.29%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9437	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.143862	-6.43%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.9194	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.146353	-6.38%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8650	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.161408	-6.10%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7583	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.158695	-6.34%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.9205	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.164984	-6.52%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8637	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.155946	-6.57%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9812	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.143581	-3.01%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0754	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.151806	-7.33%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0959	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130544	-0.42%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1085	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.114317	+0.86%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1556	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.120024	+0.96%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1501	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096231	-2.28%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4643	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.09537	-3.36%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0179	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.089824	-3.91%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9241	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.091781	-4.16%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8592	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.094976	-8.24%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2128	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.088454	-4.86%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2858	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.088425	-4.65%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3184	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.090504	-4.71%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3403	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.093359	-5.35%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.2995	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.09238	-5.38%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3135	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.088763	-4.93%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3805	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091457	-5.78%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4258	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.091674	-5.84%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3774	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.091293	-5.77%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4158	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.092024	-5.91%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4450	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.094621	-6.20%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2834	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.095168	-6.39%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3099	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.091483	-5.84%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2883	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.093654	-6.06%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2578	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.098587	-6.78%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2488	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.105253	-9.80%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2095	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.088492	-6.43%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4487	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.090251	-6.65%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4006	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.095596	-7.33%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3451	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.097912	-7.49%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2794	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.105632	-7.81%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1314	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.104852	-7.76%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2125	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.106091	-7.73%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0088	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.109893	-7.74%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1599	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.112276	-7.66%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1330	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.110911	-7.53%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2234	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.114417	-7.52%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2198	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.11414	-7.26%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1997	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.11732	-6.96%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1971	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.121364	-6.59%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1385	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.126969	-6.15%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2968	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.135447	-7.13%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3458	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.140343	-9.57%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3611	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.108702	-7.01%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1099	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.114661	-7.03%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1586	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.115366	-6.98%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2130	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.108768	-7.60%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1211	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.10617	-7.17%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1042	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.101433	-6.99%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0718	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.102846	-6.96%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0593	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.105972	-6.76%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0549	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.104897	-6.49%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0357	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.10091	-6.28%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0414	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.103086	-6.55%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0430	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.104666	-6.64%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0033	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.098722	-8.01%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1375	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.102846	-9.47%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1647	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.097306	-7.92%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0615	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.093362	-8.17%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0362	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082189	-5.88%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1978	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078528	-5.34%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2925	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078744	-5.17%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2930	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078752	-4.86%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3289	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.082186	-4.61%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3334	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.083484	-4.34%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3432	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.086956	-4.23%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2710	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.094385	-4.21%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2553	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.091309	-4.02%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2797	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.090392	-3.91%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3029	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.094286	-3.71%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3292	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.096803	-3.61%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3632	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.098093	-3.83%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4204	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.096961	-3.88%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.4814	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.09679	-3.95%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2229	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.098288	-3.80%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2238	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.100359	-3.82%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2084	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.0951	-3.55%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.1707	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.101136	-3.73%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.0991	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.106417	-4.46%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0376	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.099219	-4.28%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1077	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.088017	-3.84%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2051	✗	1.00