DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

137

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

58.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0540

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0090

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.384359	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.396556	-0.55%	0.386075	-3.18%	0.0226	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.396507	-0.58%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0135	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.379834	-0.53%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0517	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.40036	-0.66%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0581	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.384849	-0.61%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0482	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.408175	-0.75%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0422	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.412923	-0.83%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0135	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.445876	-1.10%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0426	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.436006	-1.09%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0104	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.488526	-1.57%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0661	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.52682	-2.19%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0744	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.503558	-2.37%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0602	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.42986	-1.58%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1660	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.370458	-0.83%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1967	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.403063	-1.11%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0322	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.406886	-1.26%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0057	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.411115	-1.40%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0167	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.379697	-1.26%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0603	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.390513	-1.49%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0200	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.388837	-1.60%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0259	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.383833	-1.54%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0046	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.375576	-1.60%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0388	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.363695	-1.58%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0449	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.425323	-2.28%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1241	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.403879	-2.20%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0740	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.432065	-2.74%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0504	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.439354	-3.15%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0157	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.469214	-3.47%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0339	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.421853	-3.31%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1714	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.390787	-3.34%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.1167	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.377824	-3.50%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0324	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.42879	-3.97%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0896	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.285185	-3.39%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4415	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.247013	-3.17%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0948	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.236685	-3.22%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0710	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.136576	-0.35%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5726	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140683	-0.21%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0203	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.143142	-0.29%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0400	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.149414	-0.34%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0316	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.147941	-0.38%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0123	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147146	-0.38%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0027	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.15377	-0.21%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0096	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163626	-0.19%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0572	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.157359	-0.09%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0522	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.164879	-0.16%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0240	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171585	-0.38%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0471	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149555	-0.06%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1384	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158448	-0.07%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0290	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143583	-0.09%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0239	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142673	-0.12%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0090	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153377	-0.25%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0524	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.155527	-0.51%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0260	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.170251	-0.96%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0775	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.167418	-1.19%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0209	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.173958	-1.43%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0066	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.164589	-1.39%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0532	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.146435	-1.08%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1243	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.161217	-1.59%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0793	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130189	-0.69%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2146	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112936	-0.36%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1410	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.118386	-0.42%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0287	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098391	-0.09%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1428	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.09841	-0.28%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0372	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.093118	-0.38%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0083	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095258	-0.53%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0212	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.102565	-0.91%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0901	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092831	-0.16%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1113	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092612	-0.14%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0033	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094844	-0.14%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0165	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098446	-0.20%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0360	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.097461	-0.18%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0136	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.093253	-0.12%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0510	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096869	-0.21%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0248	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.097145	-0.22%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0000	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096675	-0.22%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0068	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097546	-0.26%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0149	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100522	-0.35%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0231	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101245	-0.42%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0109	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096895	-0.27%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0405	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.099374	-0.33%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0221	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105203	-0.52%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0639	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.115615	-0.92%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0883	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094491	-0.09%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2447	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096611	-0.07%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0362	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.103015	-0.14%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0644	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105651	-0.17%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0267	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.114194	-0.33%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0474	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113267	-0.36%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0068	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114524	-0.40%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0112	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118516	-0.50%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0134	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.120885	-0.58%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0029	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.119204	-0.61%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0271	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.122783	-0.75%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0468	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.122019	-0.85%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0041	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.124788	-1.04%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0118	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.1284	-1.17%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0354	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.133323	-1.45%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0282	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.143136	-1.86%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0386	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.152103	-2.00%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0370	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.115723	-1.00%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2636	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.121944	-1.12%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0271	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.122653	-1.10%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0058	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116417	-1.11%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0669	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113381	-0.86%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0278	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108138	-0.84%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0467	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109442	-0.99%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0070	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112556	-0.96%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0117	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.111081	-0.98%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0189	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106484	-1.10%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0475	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.108908	-1.27%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0170	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.110598	-1.34%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0137	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.105627	-1.58%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0436	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.111697	-1.68%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0595	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104633	-0.99%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1075	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.10082	-0.84%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0368	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.087145	-0.20%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1611	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082895	-0.08%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0531	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.08302	-0.02%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.08277	-0.01%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.086123	-0.04%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.087227	-0.06%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090734	-0.07%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.098354	-0.18%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0645	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.095011	-0.12%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093965	-0.11%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0029	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.097729	-0.20%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.100162	-0.27%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101694	-0.30%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.100539	-0.33%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0058	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.100385	-0.38%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101695	-0.46%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.1037	-0.61%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.098183	-0.42%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0270	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.104321	-0.70%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.110145	-1.12%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102846	-0.78%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0836	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.091181	-0.38%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0887	✗	1.00