DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s9

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

70.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0626

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0141

actual -0.0084

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.8793	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.387	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.1936	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.1463	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.1336	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.4821	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.8594	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.8523	-1.86%	15.295	-5.31%	0.0580	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.079	-1.75%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0849	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.0651	-1.64%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1026	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.4475	-1.43%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1126	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.6454	-1.46%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1296	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.2133	-1.55%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1445	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.128	-1.44%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1287	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.7805	-1.71%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0800	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.0451	-1.69%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0755	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.2116	-1.73%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0724	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.0339	-1.75%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0520	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.9822	-1.72%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0455	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.9241	-1.81%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0066	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.8496	-1.77%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0026	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.0468	-2.10%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0050	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.7744	-1.89%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0145	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.5138	-1.70%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0352	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.1097	-2.21%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0057	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.881	-2.15%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0199	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.3774	-1.82%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0453	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8303	-2.40%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0145	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.8107	-2.54%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0423	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.2472	-2.57%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0186	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.6487	-1.79%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0383	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8518	-2.60%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0617	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.992	-2.92%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0413	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.1438	-3.36%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.2662	-3.48%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0328	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.3922	-1.87%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0863	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.6128	-0.94%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1371	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.297	-2.37%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0212	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.9717	-2.20%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0385	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.8043	-1.58%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0644	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.6698	-1.28%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0884	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.3957	-1.04%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0923	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.1902	-1.76%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0112	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.8382	-3.00%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1051	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.7554	-0.21%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0667	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.4198	-1.08%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0284	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.8491	-0.27%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0376	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.6371	+0.51%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0378	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6271	+2.33%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1089	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.1463	+1.43%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1417	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.5752	+1.32%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1628	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7913	+1.70%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0595	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.3112	+1.74%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1195	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.5128	+1.83%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0737	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.3745	+1.74%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0594	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.2162	+2.04%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0053	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0982	+1.78%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0087	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8786	+1.56%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0484	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.0315	+1.30%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0405	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.3401	+0.62%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0185	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0406	+0.40%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0016	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0846	+0.61%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0825	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9582	+0.03%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0709	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8156	-0.95%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0372	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5553	-1.34%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0331	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8985	-1.48%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0592	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.798	-1.42%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0360	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8663	-1.42%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0483	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8048	-1.38%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1336	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9689	-1.41%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1497	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.073	-1.41%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1058	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7369	-1.91%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1028	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.5425	-1.89%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0471	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6647	-2.22%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0231	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.5063	-2.28%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0069	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4622	-2.28%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0085	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2427	-2.14%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0055	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6464	-2.55%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0126	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.9737	-3.07%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.8679	-3.03%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0141	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.8226	-3.08%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0124	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.6937	-3.12%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0277	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.7122	-3.39%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0314	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.076	-3.90%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0367	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4681	-1.56%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1128	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4121	-1.46%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1563	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0377	-1.30%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1877	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5167	-1.44%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1662	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4236	-1.35%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1603	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4434	-1.29%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1587	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8302	-1.36%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1447	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.2868	-1.47%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0215	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.426	-1.37%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0318	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4807	-1.95%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0870	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.453	-2.10%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0735	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4244	-2.29%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0628	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.2814	-2.40%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0605	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.8564	-3.60%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.0890	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.9608	-4.01%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0592	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.1636	-4.36%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0667	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.0845	-3.42%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0121	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.8997	-2.44%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0533	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.088	-1.47%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1227	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0064	-1.38%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1372	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8622	-1.36%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1968	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8238	-1.34%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1860	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8623	-1.36%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2131	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0473	-1.50%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1496	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.972	-1.55%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1036	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0996	-1.64%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2822	-1.75%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0345	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0029	-1.61%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0239	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7886	-1.38%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0169	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6126	-1.08%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0339	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1146	-1.47%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0449	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9626	-1.29%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0410	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3138	-1.52%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0466	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0325	-1.47%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0052	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7945	-1.51%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0109	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9313	-2.03%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0740	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0403	-1.22%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0332	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.3713	-1.23%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0472	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3066	-1.11%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0373	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7336	-1.17%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0480	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4931	-1.07%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0302	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3769	-0.89%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9155	-1.03%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0771	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2536	-1.10%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5224	-1.16%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.641	-1.33%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0752	-1.36%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8937	-1.15%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.047	-1.03%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.7702	-0.52%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.915	-0.39%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.1975	-0.60%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.308	-0.60%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.3056	+0.13%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0623	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.1294	+0.23%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0483	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.0611	-0.69%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.3532	-1.05%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1518	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.4989	-1.68%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1148	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.2248	-2.49%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0927	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.545	-2.85%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0771	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.