DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s9

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1056

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0286

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.5687	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.0685	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.8632	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.8213	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.8027	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.1475	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.5235	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.4771	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.7396	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.6994	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.1277	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.3089	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.892	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.8004	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.5217	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.863	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.0515	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.8947	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8455	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7929	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7273	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9467	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6639	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.386	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0476	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8136	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.2763	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8061	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.8274	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.3248	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.6579	-1.74%	15.295	-14.89%	0.1201	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8212	-2.78%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1492	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0025	-2.86%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1644	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.1438	-3.36%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1822	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.9555	-5.32%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1552	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.134	-3.52%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0823	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.315	-2.96%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0153	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.0602	-3.79%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0260	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.649	-4.18%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0145	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.4861	-3.56%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0108	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.3522	-3.28%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0215	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.0668	-3.16%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0529	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.0317	-2.72%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0477	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.7476	-3.52%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0074	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.5356	-1.60%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1127	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.3886	-1.27%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0663	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.6857	-1.30%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1133	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.3607	-1.26%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1185	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.2441	-0.35%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2174	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.7467	-1.44%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2060	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2122	-1.20%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1644	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4669	-0.53%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1892	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.961	-0.75%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1975	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2209	-0.22%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1707	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1053	-0.17%	18.519	+31.07%	0.2031	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1097	+1.28%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2143	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.029	+1.29%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1776	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.9016	+1.73%	18.268	+33.68%	0.2105	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.1783	+2.36%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1966	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.4611	+1.47%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1674	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.121	+0.97%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1383	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.2064	+1.54%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2376	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.814	-1.18%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3010	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.6753	-2.12%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2751	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.3889	-2.76%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2202	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.7202	-2.96%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1183	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.6075	-3.02%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0445	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.661	-3.12%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1308	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.5906	-3.17%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1332	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.7393	-3.30%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1050	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.8133	-3.53%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0875	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.3066	-5.22%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0377	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.1125	-5.25%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0929	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.2499	-5.42%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1465	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.115	-5.34%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0552	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.0899	-5.20%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0905	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.8726	-5.10%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0625	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.3006	-5.21%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0142	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.6796	-5.27%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1345	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.5916	-5.12%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1085	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.5908	-4.83%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0782	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.4899	-4.68%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0878	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.5078	-4.94%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1093	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.862	-5.47%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0999	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.1983	-3.87%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0385	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.1019	-4.14%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0023	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.7281	-4.07%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0453	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.1779	-4.34%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0244	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.0653	-4.45%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0266	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.0641	-4.57%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0673	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.4175	-4.80%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0413	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	11.8596	-4.89%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0679	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.003	-4.73%	11.955	-5.11%	0.0918	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.1065	-4.89%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0736	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.1405	-4.56%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0359	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.1779	-4.23%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0035	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.0989	-3.86%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0053	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.8424	-3.70%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0531	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0087	-3.65%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0564	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.2438	-3.78%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0631	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.9451	-4.54%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0091	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.7589	-3.60%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1022	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.9519	-2.68%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1527	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.8604	-2.68%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1661	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.7215	-2.64%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1528	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.6835	-2.62%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1395	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.7121	-2.72%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1417	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.8891	-2.91%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1669	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.8199	-2.92%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2061	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.9531	-2.94%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1864	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.138	-3.01%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1577	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.8603	-2.88%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1689	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6459	-2.69%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1697	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.4576	-2.53%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1727	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9715	-2.74%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0074	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8285	-2.50%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0061	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2143	-2.39%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0550	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9573	-2.14%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0080	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6869	-2.49%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0188	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.8216	-2.93%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0569	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.878	-2.67%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0634	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2225	-2.52%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0757	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.1308	-2.64%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0784	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5838	-2.44%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0790	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3196	-2.56%	12.72	+9.49%	0.0978	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1845	-2.57%	12.716	+10.78%	0.0983	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7778	-2.18%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0748	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.1556	-1.89%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1212	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.4469	-1.76%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1052	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.5469	-2.07%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1036	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.9194	-2.64%	12.513	+2.21%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.7105	-2.67%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.872	-2.46%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0568	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5614	-2.29%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7184	-2.04%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0262	-2.00%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.146	-1.91%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0983	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.1029	-1.52%	11.216	-8.74%	0.1266	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9176	-1.52%	11.145	-7.91%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8761	-2.10%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.1206	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.1694	-2.32%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1862	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.359	-2.62%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.1479	-2.99%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1520	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.4447	-3.48%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1354	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.