BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s9
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
31.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2905
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0550
actual +0.2213
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.5818 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.56 | -5.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9116 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8395 | -6.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.215 | -8.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2159 | -9.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.7815 | -7.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.6891 | -7.02% | 1.6621 | -8.51% | 0.0215 | ✓ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.1446 | -9.91% | 1.6423 | -31.00% | 0.2252 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.8786 | -10.05% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0814 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5977 | -8.68% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.2094 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.4955 | -8.01% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4500 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.465 | -7.52% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4822 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4534 | -7.73% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2639 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.299 | -6.73% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3434 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.214 | -6.44% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6422 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.14 | -6.06% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5620 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1537 | -6.48% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3441 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1624 | -6.69% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2840 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.982055 | -5.36% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4394 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2817 | -7.22% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1651 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3074 | -7.82% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0041 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2257 | -7.77% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0508 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2699 | -8.56% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0039 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0369 | -7.35% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.2239 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1244 | -7.89% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1499 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.931116 | -7.03% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.1159 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1868 | -9.77% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1613 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.885272 | -7.24% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4813 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.952961 | -8.17% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.3146 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.838114 | -6.65% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.762507 | -4.77% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.701355 | -6.12% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.5143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.587835 | -0.42% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.4944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.618912 | -1.79% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.678372 | -5.77% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.699105 | -6.81% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2924 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.657077 | -6.80% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.559942 | -3.89% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2554 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.675156 | -8.07% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0460 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.534098 | -2.94% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.500061 | -1.72% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1849 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.48911 | -2.19% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3890 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450788 | -0.07% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.437773 | +0.01% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.452392 | +0.30% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.451297 | +0.87% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.453928 | +0.38% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.456762 | +0.05% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.456096 | +0.37% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1519 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.483182 | -1.31% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 1.00 |