BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s9
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1154
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0185
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0694 | -1.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0049 | -1.87% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0441 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.928 | -1.95% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0781 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3479 | -2.79% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1805 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3604 | -3.19% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0346 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8787 | -2.55% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2585 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7744 | -2.32% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0715 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2955 | -3.57% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2244 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0152 | -3.50% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1419 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.702 | -2.72% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2288 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.589 | -2.26% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0622 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5525 | -2.00% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0596 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5423 | -2.09% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0333 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3683 | -1.76% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1566 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2754 | -1.71% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0593 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1942 | -1.59% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0428 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2117 | -1.78% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0022 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2228 | -1.85% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0048 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0238 | -1.34% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2329 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3516 | -2.17% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2593 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3822 | -2.54% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0077 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2942 | -2.61% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1197 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3475 | -2.97% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0157 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0915 | -2.48% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2449 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1874 | -2.73% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0829 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.977345 | -2.42% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2234 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2688 | -3.54% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2291 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.93096 | -2.46% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3393 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0083 | -2.84% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0548 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.877979 | -2.21% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.787969 | -1.59% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.733168 | -1.86% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.589697 | -0.10% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.627087 | -0.49% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0649 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.706004 | -1.93% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.731888 | -2.44% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.687636 | -2.47% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0797 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.574005 | -1.48% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.712665 | -2.97% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.544449 | -1.06% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3054 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.50544 | -0.66% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0843 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.495993 | -0.81% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450414 | -0.15% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.437078 | -0.15% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.450358 | -0.15% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.447073 | -0.07% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.45129 | -0.20% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.455186 | -0.30% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.453222 | -0.26% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.48743 | -0.44% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1201 | ✓ | 1.00 |