BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

190

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

48.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1402

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0193

actual -0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.050332	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049593	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046855	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048228	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.05225	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055182	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.044079	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.043393	-0.96%	0.05086	+16.08%	0.1464	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047415	-0.94%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0572	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054331	-0.69%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1382	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.06562	-0.93%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2824	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.067299	-1.10%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2251	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067724	-1.17%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1814	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065281	-1.04%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3846	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066887	-0.89%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4093	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066831	-0.44%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3117	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061962	-0.33%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0884	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062344	-0.11%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0870	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061668	-0.33%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1158	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062707	-0.21%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1075	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.065184	-0.06%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0417	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065892	-0.40%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0265	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066672	-0.34%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0069	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066975	-0.32%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0949	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070879	-0.11%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1400	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.071079	-0.08%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1408	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.069208	-0.01%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0990	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.067012	+0.18%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0298	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063827	+0.28%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0409	✓	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.069317	+0.57%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0185	✗	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068573	+0.58%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0052	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.06576	-0.58%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0499	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.065169	-0.52%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0623	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064793	-0.59%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0418	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061724	-1.18%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0234	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060721	-1.14%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0119	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062435	-1.21%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0461	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061943	-1.12%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0540	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.061099	-1.18%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0564	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063269	-1.19%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0134	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063495	-1.17%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0056	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.06003	-0.92%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0407	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.061619	-0.50%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0076	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.067491	-0.26%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0467	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067509	+0.10%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.0687	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.067582	+0.26%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.0657	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068942	+0.27%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.0565	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068971	+0.46%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.0531	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.069996	+0.53%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1109	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.067505	+0.35%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.0929	✗	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.06773	+0.39%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0083	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.068849	+0.69%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0236	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.068272	+0.64%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0309	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.071051	+0.64%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0433	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.072128	+0.91%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0616	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.07403	+1.05%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0676	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.073025	+1.12%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0711	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.069638	+0.91%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0245	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.072845	+0.79%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0607	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.073897	+0.61%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0851	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.074691	+0.34%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0646	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090861	-0.08%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2371	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.082786	-1.65%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1580	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.078361	-2.95%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1433	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.076499	-3.14%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.2009	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.075097	-3.00%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1459	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.075624	-3.03%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1469	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.077503	-2.84%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1511	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.073462	-2.17%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.0909	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.073729	-2.18%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0544	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.074832	-2.23%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0171	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.075036	-2.12%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0398	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.075745	-2.06%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0155	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.072731	-1.79%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.0923	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.07573	-1.92%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0729	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.076449	-1.85%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0035	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.082285	-2.32%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0776	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.07889	-2.01%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0159	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.075311	-1.82%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0236	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.075141	-1.75%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0238	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.074557	-1.73%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0212	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.07397	-1.63%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0210	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.077554	-1.88%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0167	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.078056	-1.83%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0810	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.078734	-1.82%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0151	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.078024	-1.50%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0189	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078212	-1.39%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0202	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.085527	-1.74%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.1040	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.083274	-1.54%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0896	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.083107	-1.55%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0400	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.075072	-1.13%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0604	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.083001	-1.48%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0154	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.084133	-1.50%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0366	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.084463	-1.60%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0519	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.08846	-1.98%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0215	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.090064	-2.23%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0568	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.089606	-2.30%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0621	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.089173	-2.37%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.1797	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.087365	-2.35%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0508	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.085274	-2.41%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0174	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.091928	-2.95%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1166	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.098549	-3.56%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1025	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.094831	-3.53%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0458	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.099869	-3.94%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.0817	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.106486	-4.43%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1628	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.084199	-3.28%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0268	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.082285	-3.24%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0386	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.091202	-3.85%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0598	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.088415	-4.27%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1425	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.087823	-4.56%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.1030	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.090305	-4.90%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.1183	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.095709	-5.45%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.1271	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.120919	-7.36%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.3704	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.094829	-5.36%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.1810	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.078194	-3.76%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.1251	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.077494	-3.91%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.1173	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.072646	-2.98%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.1909	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.06572	-1.93%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3316	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.069399	-2.38%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3511	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.080049	-4.04%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.5027	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.094791	-4.72%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.1026	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.090418	-4.06%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0620	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.089575	-4.47%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0598	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.084704	-4.23%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0700	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.09275	-5.20%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2793	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.090436	-5.13%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.1989	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.075237	-3.29%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1576	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.073777	-3.10%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3458	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.075752	-3.59%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2543	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.070091	-2.04%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3286	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.067964	-1.64%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2666	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.072923	-2.67%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.2949	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.07146	-2.27%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.2991	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.062334	-0.84%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1809	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.064068	-0.90%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1199	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.064143	-0.92%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1596	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.069007	-1.60%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0040	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.065875	-0.79%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0009	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.062045	-0.15%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1553	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062751	-0.44%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1563	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.069242	-1.29%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0607	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.064466	-0.79%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0866	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.06991	-1.88%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0515	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.069972	-1.93%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1710	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.074921	-2.67%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.0923	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.074474	-2.46%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0221	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060374	-0.85%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.2065	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.06164	-0.92%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.3016	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.061569	-0.98%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.2097	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.067887	-1.26%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1382	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.067726	-1.13%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.1029	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.071278	-1.07%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1201	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070476	-0.88%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1113	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.082436	-1.86%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2565	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.075616	-1.35%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1583	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.069951	-1.16%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.1074	✓	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.07066	-1.16%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0307	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.069567	-1.24%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0106	✓	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.074731	-1.40%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0210	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.073925	-1.31%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0014	✓	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.085654	-1.46%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0078	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.087249	-1.78%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1145	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.107055	-3.13%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.3975	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.102236	-2.38%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3306	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.096469	-1.82%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2836	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.094647	-1.69%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.2064	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.088844	-1.37%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1637	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.090494	-1.59%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0467	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.087171	-0.99%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0351	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.089454	-1.18%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2147	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.092981	-1.84%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.1042	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.096571	-2.41%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0136	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.113065	-2.86%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1755	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.106959	-2.92%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1863	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.108696	-3.27%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.1978	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.125295	-3.54%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.4024	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.133291	-3.74%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4454	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.1318	-3.77%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3620	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.129749	-3.04%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2694	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.129958	-3.50%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1235	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.118076	-3.76%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0791	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.130164	-4.16%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1214	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.109877	-4.24%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.1992	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.123075	-5.80%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.107471	-5.69%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.2229	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.082217	-4.62%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.4234	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.086667	-4.99%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.4158	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.115245	-6.50%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.150599	-9.36%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.1439	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.082036	-4.09%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.2914	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.073046	-2.79%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5526	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064512	-1.81%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5501	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.05849	-1.71%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3454	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.053877	-1.48%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.4909	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.053032	-1.53%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7887	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.052745	-1.58%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.1016	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.06087	-1.73%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2888	✗	1.00