BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s9

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 594

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

168

of 198 predictions shown

direction hit

72.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2438

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0671

actual -0.0915

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.054285	0.051587	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-21	oos	0.054325	0.051731	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.047954	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.045528	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.047081	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.051037	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.053659	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.042707	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.041889	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.045647	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.052383	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.063523	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.065189	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.065645	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.063137	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.064618	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.064516	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.05959	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.059929	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.059176	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.06019	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.06265	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.063474	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.06433	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.064692	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.068582	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.068671	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.066799	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.064653	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.061552	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.067506	-2.06%	0.054285	-21.24%	0.2049	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.067097	-1.59%	0.054325	-20.32%	0.1903	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.063817	-3.52%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2557	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.063221	-3.49%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.2936	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.062839	-3.59%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2607	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.05945	-4.82%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1502	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.058353	-4.99%	0.056	-8.82%	0.0802	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.059894	-5.23%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3282	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.05981	-4.53%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3286	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.058735	-5.01%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2374	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.061105	-4.57%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1347	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.061259	-4.65%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0425	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.057315	-5.40%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.1396	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.058958	-4.80%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.1297	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.065032	-3.90%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0065	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.065057	-3.53%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0100	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.065329	-3.08%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0052	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.066666	-3.04%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1079	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.066738	-2.79%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1139	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.068178	-2.09%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1204	✓	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.064312	-4.40%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.0705	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.064449	-4.47%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0385	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.066357	-2.95%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0294	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.064763	-4.54%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0072	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.068438	-3.06%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0518	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.069326	-3.01%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0195	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.073257	-0.00%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.0555	✓	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.071893	-0.45%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.0690	✓	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.066969	-2.96%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.0371	✓	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.07201	-0.37%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.1556	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.071808	-2.24%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.0968	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.071931	-3.37%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1171	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.089514	-1.56%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3189	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.078341	-6.93%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.2191	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.074663	-7.53%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.2084	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.072669	-7.98%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2351	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.071389	-7.79%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2386	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.071428	-8.41%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2246	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.072507	-9.11%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2649	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.068837	-8.33%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.2187	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.069162	-8.24%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.1866	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.070167	-8.33%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2190	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.070286	-8.31%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2663	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.070765	-8.50%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.2796	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.068332	-7.73%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.1458	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.070948	-8.12%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.1909	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.071444	-8.28%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.2110	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.07586	-9.95%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.2649	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.073025	-9.30%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2229	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.070177	-8.52%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.1803	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.06999	-8.49%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.1809	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.069618	-8.24%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1673	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.0692	-7.97%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1584	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.072163	-8.70%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.1995	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.072758	-8.50%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1588	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.073383	-8.49%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1556	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.072871	-8.00%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.1341	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.073129	-7.80%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1460	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.079586	-8.56%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2439	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.077419	-8.47%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.1754	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.077228	-8.51%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1492	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.070471	-7.19%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0433	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.077883	-7.56%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0592	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.079125	-7.36%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0080	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.079403	-7.49%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0115	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.083276	-7.73%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0530	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.084995	-7.73%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.0895	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.084543	-7.83%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.0673	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.084112	-7.91%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0417	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.0825	-7.79%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.0753	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.080719	-7.62%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0486	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.087387	-7.75%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.1515	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.094571	-7.45%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.2067	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.091271	-7.16%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.1679	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.096707	-6.98%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.2774	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.103236	-7.35%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.3173	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.080691	-7.31%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0715	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.079177	-6.89%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0497	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.088971	-6.20%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.1074	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.086767	-6.06%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.1297	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.086564	-5.93%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.1293	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.089512	-5.74%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.1791	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.094927	-6.22%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.2519	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.120239	-7.88%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.4719	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.092716	-7.47%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.2457	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.075955	-6.51%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0118	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.074713	-7.36%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0033	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.06941	-7.30%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.0794	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.062167	-7.23%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.2610	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.065945	-7.24%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1824	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.07754	-7.05%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0446	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.092209	-7.32%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.2203	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.088042	-6.58%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0682	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.087356	-6.84%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0598	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.082572	-6.65%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0270	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.089823	-8.19%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0106	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.087181	-8.55%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0309	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.072264	-7.11%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2469	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.070707	-7.13%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.2848	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.07196	-8.42%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.2417	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.066442	-7.14%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.2847	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.064575	-6.55%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.4161	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.068275	-8.87%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.4000	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.066819	-8.62%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.3828	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.059423	-5.47%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.5228	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.061086	-5.51%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.5807	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.06124	-5.41%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3632	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.065285	-6.91%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.2641	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.062557	-5.79%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.3748	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.059074	-4.93%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.4131	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.059782	-5.15%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4413	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.065449	-6.70%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.3931	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.061266	-5.72%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.5894	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.066439	-6.75%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8563	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.066659	-6.57%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.6644	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.070884	-7.91%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3620	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.069888	-8.46%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.3749	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.057205	-6.05%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.5049	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.058511	-5.95%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.3833	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.058654	-5.66%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.4812	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.064914	-5.59%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5166	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.064891	-5.27%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6587	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.068383	-5.09%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5250	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.067597	-4.93%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5251	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.077598	-7.62%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.2947	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.071796	-6.33%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.4853	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.066746	-5.69%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5254	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.067402	-5.72%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.2937	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.066345	-5.81%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.2812	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.070908	-6.44%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2381	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.070193	-6.30%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1787	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.081087	-6.71%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0189	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.082861	-6.72%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0431	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.102765	-7.02%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2582	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.097404	-7.00%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.3096	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.090681	-7.71%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.1909	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.088425	-8.15%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.1907	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.082826	-8.05%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0516	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.084387	-8.23%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.1075	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.081213	-7.76%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.0928	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.083443	-7.82%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1361	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.087274	-7.86%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.0777	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.091214	-7.83%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2270	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.107244	-7.86%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.3505	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.10176	-7.64%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.3188	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.104154	-7.31%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2806	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.120965	-6.87%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4382	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.129332	-6.60%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.7159	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.127105	-7.20%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.6742	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.124806	-6.73%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.6599	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.125836	-6.56%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.5992	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.115069	-6.21%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.5124	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.127356	-6.23%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.5486	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.108234	-5.67%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.3842	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.120585	-7.70%	0.084	-35.71%	0.3771	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.105408	-7.50%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.3396	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.08117	-5.84%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.1762	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.085757	-5.99%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.1978	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.111533	-9.51%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.4636	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.142948	-13.96%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.6729	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.079431	-7.14%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.1135	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.070361	-6.37%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.1224	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.06166	-6.15%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.3021	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.055521	-6.70%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5596	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.051314	-6.16%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.6017	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.050568	-6.10%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5456	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.050355	-6.04%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5317	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.058127	-6.16%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.3176	✗	1.00