XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s8

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

46.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1803

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0192

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004287	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004266	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004287	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004224	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004428	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004448	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004481	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004255	-1.94%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0291	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004092	-1.77%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0583	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004045	-1.82%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0764	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003944	-1.71%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0851	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003973	-1.75%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1292	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003979	-1.77%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1326	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.00385	-1.74%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1741	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004071	-1.73%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0616	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004056	-1.55%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0265	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004016	-1.50%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0239	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004362	-1.58%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0879	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003758	-1.54%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0688	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004873	-2.31%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1893	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004898	-2.38%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2295	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004883	-2.59%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1663	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004196	-1.68%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0057	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004455	-1.91%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0741	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004381	-1.66%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0214	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004534	-1.79%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1706	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004635	-1.97%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0755	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004984	-2.57%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0089	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004367	-1.55%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1339	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004307	-1.08%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0190	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004297	-0.91%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0454	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004288	-1.93%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0524	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.00447	-2.04%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0464	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004681	-2.37%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0231	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005217	-4.26%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0015	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004233	-2.55%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0652	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003774	-1.65%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1989	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003809	-1.68%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1606	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003609	-0.99%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2051	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003073	+0.58%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4050	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003848	-0.94%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2293	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003933	-0.89%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3255	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003979	-0.76%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0822	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004843	-1.18%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2412	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.00479	-0.93%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2147	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004702	-0.33%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2635	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004532	+0.06%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.4009	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004765	+0.45%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2108	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005124	+1.15%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2703	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005032	+0.32%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2232	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005035	+0.85%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0229	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004743	+1.58%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0208	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005126	+1.58%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0750	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005212	+2.12%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1357	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005314	+2.21%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.1080	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005542	+2.92%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0864	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005573	+2.86%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.1113	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005385	+2.96%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0798	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005439	+3.08%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1540	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005327	+2.90%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0544	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005214	+2.49%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0164	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.00508	+3.11%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0215	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005709	-1.23%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0697	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005616	-2.30%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0465	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.00564	-3.09%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0928	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005703	-3.18%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.0959	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005787	-3.39%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1320	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005788	-3.41%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1490	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005713	-3.43%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1691	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005728	-3.40%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0054	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005862	-3.40%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0287	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.00625	-3.45%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0732	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006559	-3.51%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1083	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006547	-3.46%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0856	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006237	-3.37%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0368	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006698	-3.53%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1207	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006822	-3.60%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1387	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007032	-3.94%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1454	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006324	-3.72%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0237	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006146	-3.71%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.1008	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005856	-3.52%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1473	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005752	-3.44%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1173	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005807	-3.36%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1804	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005793	-3.12%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2001	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.00585	-2.97%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2243	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005692	-2.76%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1432	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005948	-2.82%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0704	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006149	-2.95%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0143	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006128	-2.94%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0305	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006093	-2.93%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0158	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006032	-2.87%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0090	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005955	-2.88%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0125	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006138	-3.45%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0475	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006021	-3.66%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0143	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005608	-3.34%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1240	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005611	-3.26%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1165	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005608	-3.28%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1134	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.00582	-3.66%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0695	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005868	-3.91%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0483	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006144	-4.74%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005237	-3.73%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1306	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005614	-4.25%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005267	-3.93%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004825	-3.50%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1874	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005319	-4.97%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003989	-2.28%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3869	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003782	-2.11%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5078	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003185	-1.70%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5629	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003197	-1.39%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6040	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002956	-1.48%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.6071	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.00235	-3.78%	0.005	+104.73%	0.7297	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006464	-2.42%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1712	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.00704	-2.07%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5824	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006821	-1.61%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6473	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007737	-2.23%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9322	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008575	-2.39%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0395	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008773	-2.43%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1243	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008943	-2.46%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3391	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009083	-2.47%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3450	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.01017	-2.70%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3300	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.