XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s8

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +30d

assessed

91

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

71.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2366

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0882

actual -0.0970

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004227	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004232	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004244	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004251	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004189	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.00437	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004383	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004409	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.00417	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004016	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003941	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003861	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003874	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003869	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003725	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003961	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003986	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003948	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004332	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003654	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004813	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004854	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004817	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004091	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004365	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004307	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004469	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004575	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004964	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004301	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004266	-2.01%	0.004312	-0.97%	0.0029	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004259	-1.77%	0.004312	-0.57%	0.0040	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004143	-5.24%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0542	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004339	-4.91%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0087	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004551	-5.08%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0522	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.004928	-9.57%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0745	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004008	-7.73%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1378	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003586	-6.54%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2803	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003657	-5.60%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1839	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003444	-5.53%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.2093	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.002889	-5.47%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3661	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003673	-5.44%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.1047	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003738	-5.81%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0948	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003802	-5.19%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0742	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004628	-5.58%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1574	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004569	-5.50%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0868	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004509	-4.43%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0778	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004354	-3.87%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0510	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.00459	-3.25%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0180	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004944	-2.42%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2484	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004824	-3.83%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0607	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004831	-3.24%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0656	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004511	-3.40%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1214	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004908	-2.75%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1222	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.004996	-2.13%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0801	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005101	-1.88%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1163	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005368	-0.32%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1371	✓	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005381	-0.68%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1121	✓	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.00519	-0.77%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0060	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005264	-0.23%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1525	✓	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005134	-0.83%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1335	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.00503	-1.11%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1121	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004899	-0.56%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1037	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005599	-3.13%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2172	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005445	-5.28%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1395	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005431	-6.68%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0116	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005486	-6.86%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2483	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005541	-7.50%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3853	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005549	-7.40%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3806	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005489	-7.22%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4284	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005495	-7.33%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6071	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005606	-7.62%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3873	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.005967	-7.83%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4264	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006268	-7.79%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4642	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006269	-7.56%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2664	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005968	-7.54%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2321	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006424	-7.46%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3326	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006542	-7.55%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3927	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006778	-7.41%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3796	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006061	-7.73%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1840	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005877	-7.93%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1552	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005589	-7.92%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1091	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005474	-8.09%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1460	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005515	-8.22%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0765	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005506	-7.92%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0760	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005523	-8.40%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0578	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005364	-8.37%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0087	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005569	-9.02%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0244	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.00577	-8.93%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.0901	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.00572	-9.40%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0631	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005674	-9.60%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0731	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005623	-9.46%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.0915	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005569	-9.18%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1235	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005721	-10.00%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0103	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005579	-10.75%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0355	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005217	-10.08%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.1094	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005228	-9.87%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1184	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005211	-10.13%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1354	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005379	-10.95%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.1052	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005439	-10.94%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0786	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005668	-12.12%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0694	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004864	-10.59%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2029	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005206	-11.20%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2213	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004921	-10.25%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3209	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004526	-9.49%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3933	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.004991	-10.83%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2301	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003711	-9.09%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5846	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003478	-9.99%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6956	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.002809	-13.32%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.9486	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.002723	-15.99%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.8731	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002055	-31.51%	0.006383	+112.76%	1.1274	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.000585437	-76.03%	0.00607	+148.53%	2.3231	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006291	-5.03%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006791	-5.54%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1689	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006547	-5.56%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1914	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007441	-5.97%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2705	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008219	-6.44%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4103	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008402	-6.56%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3776	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.00856	-6.64%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.3861	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.00869	-6.69%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.3936	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009722	-6.99%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.4870	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.