UMX

UMX · · lstm_s8

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 204

Track record at +30d

assessed

38

of 68 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1704

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1078

actual -0.2663

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.041845	0.039206	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.03934	0.036649	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.040293	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.052311	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.052302	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.052501	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.05517	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.055189	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.055305	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.05558	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.055905	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.056027	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.056008	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.056033	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.055434	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.056587	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.057193	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.056937	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.057016	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.056248	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.056382	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.056323	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.056025	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.055911	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.055439	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.055689	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.055847	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.055654	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.055898	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.055852	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.055839	-8.06%	0.041845	-31.10%	0.2758	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.056247	-8.05%	0.03934	-35.69%	0.3405	✓	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.055323	-9.95%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.2659	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.054589	-9.71%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0060	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.055209	-10.04%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0043	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.054421	-11.00%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0069	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.055081	-11.17%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0352	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.05424	-10.88%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0429	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.05438	-10.15%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0594	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.054476	-10.37%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0372	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.05599	-10.55%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0396	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.057885	-11.01%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0131	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.057875	-11.04%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0041	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.058082	-10.45%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0078	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.059375	-10.71%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.0123	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.060756	-10.74%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.0246	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.06248	-10.65%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.0677	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.064109	-10.80%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.1100	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.064399	-10.64%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.1249	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.066311	-9.32%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.066091	-10.98%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.066523	-10.56%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.1707	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.067563	-9.86%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.068073	-10.18%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.1804	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.067982	-9.51%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.1793	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.069056	-9.53%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.2100	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.071254	-7.41%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.2047	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.075486	-8.13%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.2766	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.076742	-8.15%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.2987	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.082102	-7.45%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.3604	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.079609	-8.20%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.3740	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.079376	-8.46%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.3773	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.077712	-6.89%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.2706	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.073533	-11.15%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3025	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.07381	-13.02%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.3390	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.07283	-14.27%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.3406	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.072554	-14.29%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.3234	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.072257	-14.45%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.3564	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.